Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORBOTHOR Sep14 Sep05 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
GOLD FELLOW Jul28 Jun11 May12 Apr29 Apr02 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
DON'T DARE ME Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 Jun11 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 21% 3.80    
DETANGLER Sep21 Sep14 Aug29 Aug02 Jul21 (rojas eduardo)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
SPECIAL STORY Sep06 Aug30 Aug01 Jul20 Jul06 (torelli stacy)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00    
CATHMOR Sep14 Aug01 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
PID-2   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CALIFORNIA Sep07 Jul07 Mar23 Feb26   (guciardo)MARTINEZ A 117 4.00 13% 6.50    
TALES OF MAKENNA Aug17 May06       (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80    
SONNET Jul13 May10 Apr09     (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 117 10.00 35% 1.90    
PRECISION PRADO Sep07 Jul28 Jun27 Jan11   (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
HIGHWAY QUEEN Sep05 Aug08 Jul14 Jun17 May14 (klesaris ste)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.50    
HALF BIRTHDAY Sep08 Aug22 Jul14 Jun19 Apr29 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 117 4.50    
 
PID-3   09/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YADI Sep21 Sep08 Aug30 Jul28 Jul19 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
ORAZIO Aug23 Aug09 Jul14 Jun15 May24 (walsh ry)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
MY FRIEND FRANK Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 (mcclellan eri)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
AULT Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Jul06 (radosevich shelly )SPIETH S 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
ADIOS BOBBY Sep06 Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 Apr05 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
PAUPING Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 (walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 122 8.00    
 
PID-4   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN WEIGELIA Aug23 Jul28       (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00    
JOSH'S HONOR Aug22 Jul09       (pino v)SPIETH S 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
MOMENT AT SEA         (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 120 10.00    
SCR  HOPE SHE COMES         (morrell justi)WALKER M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD FORTUNE         (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  COLONEL POPPY Sep07 Jul19 Jun28     (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
WILLIE WANDO Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19   (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 120 6.00    
WHISKEYMAC Sep07         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
 
PID-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANCAN SAREE Sep12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 2.50    
MAMA LONGLEGS Sep14 Aug17 Aug01 Mar02 Feb17 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
ORGANZA Sep08 Aug17 Jul19 Jun29   (herrington call)STANLEY O 121 12.00 19% 4.40    
COUPLE OF NIKKIS Aug23 Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 121 8.00    
LA REINA DEL NORTE Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul12   (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 121 1.60 19% 4.10    
A WISH FOR TRISH Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jun22 May09 (kurtinecz li)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 10.00    
DONTLOSETHATNUMBER Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 12.00 9% 10.00    
 
PID-6   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACTUS KEVIN         (walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
BIALYSTOCK Sep12         (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
DUST STORM Sep10 Jun27       (fletcher kevin)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
MO ANGELL Aug14 Jul02       (thomas jonath)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
FURIOUSLY Aug22         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
GOTTA GO GATOR Sep13         (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00    
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Sep12 Jul28 Jun28 Jun14   (weaver casson)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00    
DR. HYDE Sep12 Aug22 Aug02     (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00    
 
PID-7   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAID THE PREACHER Sep06 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
KEYSTONE HANK Sep06 Aug24 Aug08 Jul25 Jul13 (morrell r)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
PURE SPRING Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 Jun29 (boyer j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
BISHI Sep20 Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 12.00    
SCR  AEGONTHECONQUEROR Sep20 Sep08 Aug08     (rotunno sydne)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
SHOOT YOUR CUFFS Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00    
COMMODORE BARRY Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul11   (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 70% 0.40    
 
PID-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRETCH RUNNER Sep14 Jul13 Jun27 Jun13 May25 (girten tim)WALKER M 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
NOTACATBUTACARD Sep13 Sep06 Jul27 Jun27 Jun21 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
SAMURAI ZIP Sep13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul11 Jul05 (radosevich sh)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
CLAW Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Aug17 Aug01 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
BIG CHICKEN MAN Sep13 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul19 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 5.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  NO DRAMA Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
ANOTHER BREEZE Sep05 Aug01 Jul05 Jun16 Jun06 (kintz matth)BECKMAN ALICE 115 10.00    
DR. LLOYD Sep05 Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jul13 (dominguez carlos)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.