Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY RYAN         (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 ★    
2  WICKED SAUCY Sep02 Aug13 Jul10 Jul02   (carvajal jr)WALES GARY 118 30.00    
3  SANTAFE EXPRESS Sep06 Aug23 Aug06 Jul02 Jun13 (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 ★    
4  BAYOU MELODY Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 Jun12 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00 11% 8.20    
5  I'M A CUTIE Sep05 Aug06 Feb04 Jan05   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  N Y FANCY Sep02 Aug12 Jun25     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00    
7  KAMENSHEK Sep04 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 May30 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 1.40 36% 1.80    
8  NOBLE PRESENT Aug24 Jul26 Jul12 Jul02 Jun19 (rodrigu)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
MTH-2   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THAT SUN OF A GUN         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 ★    
2  IMPETUD         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 4.00 ★    
3  ENGLISH STORM Sep04 Aug15 Aug01 Jul08   (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00    
4  FREAKY FRESH Aug21         (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 20.00    
5  ICY INTENT Aug21         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 12% 7.40    
6  ANTONOV Sep03 Jul31       (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 10.00    
7  CAPT COMPLICATED Aug27         (hernandez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
8  SPLENDOR BEAUTY         (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00 ★    
9  EASY AS A. B. C. Aug14 Jul23       (breen j)ORTIZ L 117 2.00 65% 0.50    
 
MTH-3   09/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Aug15 Jul15 Jun10 Apr16 Mar16 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  TE AMO Sep05 Aug28 Aug15 Jul30   (russo v)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
3  FAR HEART Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jun11   (gomez pom)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00    
4  ROUNDABOUT Jul28 Jun30 May15     (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUDGEMENT TIME Sep02 Aug15 Jul24 Jul15 Jun10 (thompson r)JUAREZ NIK 123 5.00    
6  BALLON         (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
7  SARAH'S SPLENDOR Aug12 Jul16 Jun04     (abreu r)CARDENAS LUIS 118 6.00    
8  CITY SPEAKER Aug28 Jul09       (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
9  SILVER SPRINTER Aug15 Jul29 Jun19     (mazza w)MOYA F 118 15.00    
10  DANCING SOPHIA Jul28 Jul04 Mar11 Feb16   (ryerson j)VARGAS A 118 4.00 47% 1.10    
11  RIPLEY EFFECT Apr23 Mar25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00 10% 9.40    
 
MTH-4   09/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($78.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIB'S CONTENTO Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (husto)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 ★    
2  HIT ME I'M LUCKY Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 May29 (huston k)FERRER C 120 12.00    
3  OPTIC WAY Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 May15   (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  IRISH BOOLUM Sep02 Aug22 Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 (lynch cathal)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00    
5  STEFANO Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 May15   (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
6  IRISH MEADOW Aug28 Jul24 Jun12 May28 May15 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
7  LAST ROMANCE Aug28 Jul10 Jun11 May08 Apr09 (lynch cathal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
MTH-5   09/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANADERO Aug22 Jul30 Apr27 Apr10 Mar18 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00    
2  DOUBLE DAVID Sep02 Aug22 Jul30 Jun24 May28 (sweeze)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 20.00    
3  BIG RED ROCKS Sep02 Jul30 Jul09     (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
SCR  ORIGO Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 May21 Apr24 (mccarth)GONZALEZ LUIS 115 30.00    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN Aug21 Jul30 Jun16 May06 Apr08 (englehart je)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
6  JO JO KATZ Sep02 Aug26 Jun24 Jun05 May07 (farro patric)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00 ★    
7  HARD KNOCKING Sep02 Aug12 Jul10 Jun18   (wilson to)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.50 19% 4.40    
8  SPARK (PER) Aug12 Jul30 Jun24 Jun17   (hollendorf)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00    
9  PRINCE OF CAPS Sep02 Aug22 Jul31 Jun15 May29 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 20% 3.90    
10  NOBLE CONQUEST Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 May20 (abreu r)CARDENAS LUIS 124 6.00    
11  SHIMMERING LIGHT Aug19 Jul29 Jun11 May29 Apr17 (rodriguez dar)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
12  BEAU BROWN Aug29 Aug12 Jun25 Jun05 Mar06 (hennig mark)FERRER C 124 8.00    
13  SIR TERRE Sep05 Aug17 Jul29 Jul09 Jun10 (parra hernan)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  FEISTY KITTEN Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 (forde ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
 
MTH-6   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOUTY'S GIRL Aug21 Jun17       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  THREE CARATS         (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.50    
3  SUPER CARO Sep02         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 6.00    
4  CLASSIC FAREWELL         (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00    
5  MOTOWN MIKA         (o'connor rober)RENDON JAIRO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHIDABHUTI         (brown c)ORTIZ L 117 2.50 38% 1.70    
7  VIOLETS SMILE         (ryan s)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELIKA         (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 ★    
 
MTH-7   09/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY EDITION Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 May30 Mar04 (mcmullin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00    
2  ULIKEAPPLES Aug13 Jun17 Jun03 May06 Apr16 (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 6.00 ★    
3  BAND SWEETHEART Jul30 Jul03 Jun12 May28 Feb19 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 ★    
4  ZUBOSHI Aug07 Jul16 Jun19     (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 6.00    
5  PRUDENT SONG Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 May29 (carvajal )RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Aug21 Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 May29 (russo fra)VARGAS A 115 12.00    
7  MERCURY HEAD Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 Feb21 Jan13 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 5.00    
8  STUCK ON KITTEN Aug28 Aug04 Jul08     (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
9  PATTY CAKES Aug14 Jul31 Jun12 May30 May08 (mcburney p)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 12.00 11% 8.10    
10  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Aug21 Jul09 Jun12 Apr09 Mar16 (o'connor rober)RENDON JAIRO 115 10.00    
SCR  ELLARELLA Aug13 Jul30       (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
SCR  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Aug28 Jul30 Jun18 May14   (wilson tony)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00    
 
MTH-8   09/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S THRILL Aug19 Jun26 Jun10 May14 Apr24 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  RELISHMENT Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (hogan william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 10.00    
3  ORBERT Sep02 Jun24 Jun10 May15   (poalucci frank )RIVERA JR 124 8.00    
4  TEN PIN ALLY Sep11 Aug20 Jul09     (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 6.00 ★    
5  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Apr30 Apr09 Mar04 Feb16 Jan16 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
6  BRIDGEKEEPER Jun10 May21 Apr20 Apr10 Mar19 (russo v)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
7  BLOOD MOON Aug21 Jul08 Jun04 May12 Apr30 (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  CLIFFY Aug26 Aug07 Jul04 Jun17 May28 (tessore b)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
9  SICILIA MIKE Jul28 Jul09 Jun04 May21 Apr29 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 ★    
10  GONE ASTRAY KISS Sep04 Aug28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul15 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00    
 
MTH-9   09/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R GIRL FAITH Aug20 Jul08       (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00    
2  COUNTLESS DREAMS Aug05 Jul22 Jun09 May15 Mar11 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 20.00    
3  NONNA PATRIZIA Sep13 Aug22 Aug07 Jul23 Jul04 (ryan dere)VARGAS A 115 20.00    
4  UNMARKED MONEY Aug06 Jun30 May07 Apr16 Feb18 (avila carlo)FERRER C 121 20.00 12% 7.50    
5  MYSTIC DREAMS Sep10 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun25 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 ★    
6  MAGIC SURPRISE Sep04 Aug20 Jul23 Jun18 May28 (wilson tony)TORRES JOMAR 120 30.00    
7  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul08 Jun23 (follett norma)CARDENAS LUIS 119 30.00    
8  APPRECIATE Aug31 Jun05 May22 Apr29 Apr02 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
9  STILL DOING TIME Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 Jul04 (tessore b)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
10  EXCULPATE Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 20.00    
11  LITTLE RED BUTTON Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 (rodriguez dar)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
12  BLUE NEITH Sep02 Jul15 Jun23 May28 May06 (sanchez loz)JUAREZ NIK 117 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS BLAKELY Jul16 Apr09 Jan09     (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 4.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  INVESTMENT INCOME Sep03 Jul28 Jun04 Mar11   (schultz li)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
MTH-10   09/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABRA CHICA Aug29 Aug05 Jul08 Jun25 May05 (farro patricia)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 ★    
2  LOVE'S MISERY Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May15 (delgado h)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00 ★    
3  SEDONA ROCKS Aug27 Aug06 Jul10     (wilson tony)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00    
4  SPANIKOPITA Aug29 Jun26 May30 May15 Apr16 (cole-davis ti)SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00 ★    
5  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Aug29 Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 May22 (simmonds mich)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 10.00    
6  ITSY BITSY BETTY Aug20 Aug06 Jun18 Jun04 May06 (schultz linds)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  AKEMI Aug29 Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 May13 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00    
8  KASHAN Aug06 Jun25 Mar19 Feb19   (perkins ben )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 34% 2.00    
9  CHAMPAGNE SISTER Aug29 Jul31 Jul08 May26   (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 112 5.00    
10  BROADWAY PEGGY Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 Jul01 May21 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
 
MTH-11   09/17/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Aug19         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 115 8.00 5% 18.50    
2  POWER ATTACK Jul30 Jul08 Jun09     (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  TORIGO Aug13         (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 20.00    
4  EL DE CHIMI Aug21 Jul23       (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 31% 2.30    
5  TORRONE Aug12         (breen j)NO RIDER 117 15.00    
6  LOVE ME NOT Sep03 Aug12       (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 6.00    
7  OXYMORE Aug19 Jul01       (brown c)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
8  BRAMBLE BLAZE Aug14         (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 ★    
9  CONMAN Aug10 Jul17       (casse mark)JUAREZ NIK 115 10.00    
10  WEBSLINGER Aug31 Aug06       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 115 10.00    
 
MTH-12   09/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Aug15 Jun23 May22 Apr29 Apr02 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 118 10.00 ★    
2  GROWTH MINDSET Aug13         (abreu r)CARDENAS LUIS 118 2.50 9% 10.50    
3  JERSEY PERFECTION Aug28 Aug12 Jul31 May08   (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 12.00    
4  SLEW OF TALENT Aug12 Jul31       (berrios manuel)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00    
5  COLD ROCK Sep04 Aug19       (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 30.00    
6  LEOPARDI Aug13 Aug05 Jun19 May12 Apr24 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
7  DADASHEV Aug22 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 6.00 ★    
8  STRASBOURG Aug27 Jul30 Jul10 Apr29   (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.