Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL SPENT Jun24 May29 Apr16 Mar06   (combs bentle)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
2  MIA BEA STAR Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 May27 Apr02 (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 117 5.00    
3  NEW YORK BANKER Jul16 Jun18 May27 May06 Apr03 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  TOWERING GAZE Jul30 Jun17 Apr27 Apr03 Mar26 (goberdhan chan)LEZCANO JOSE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Jul15 Jun23 May19 Apr29 Mar26 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 ★    
6  INDIAN BELLA Jun25 May21 Apr29 Mar26 Mar06 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
 
SAR-2   08/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul29 Jun30 Jun19 May21 Apr24 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 ★    
2  OUR JESSICA Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 Apr10 (donk david)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
SCR  MAMA RINA Jul16 Jul01       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
4  MASABEEH Jun19 May20 Apr14 Jan14   (de h)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
5  QUARIA THUNDER Jul03 Jun10 May20 Mar04 Feb12 (kantarmaci m)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  MISS INVINCIBLE Jul27 Jun19 Jun12 May22 Apr24 (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
7  COMMAND POINT         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
8  LAUGH AND PLAY May15 Mar12 Jan15     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
9  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Apr30 Mar11       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER Jul02 Jun12 May22 May08 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  CLARA BELLE Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar09 Feb14 (maker j)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE OTHER CHAD Jun09         (sum)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
2  DEVIL OR ANGEL Jul10 Jun23 May21     (donk david)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  BARONE MARCHIS Jul10 May06 Apr16     (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  MAKART Jul22 Jun18 May15 Feb25   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
5  JAY'STALKER         (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
6  CAPT' REMINGTON Jun29 May31       (davis edmund)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  MY SLICK NICK         (taylor joseph)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 ★    
 
SAR-4   08/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PETE Jun23 May22 May06 Apr24 Mar18 (davis edmun)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 ★    
2  JEMOGRAPHY Jul10 Jun23 Jun16 May14 Mar27 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 7% 13.80    
3  TAPIZEARANCE Jul04 May21 Apr16 Mar26 Feb20 (rodriguez gust)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  BREAKING STONES Jul08 Jun12 May28 Apr22 Apr10 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
5  MAGNETRON Jul13 May31 Apr30 Mar26 Mar19 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  FOREVER WICKED Jul15 Jul04 Jun16 May29 May08 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 8.00    
7  GANDY DANCING May21 May14 Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/05/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAD NATION Jul02 Apr28 Apr02     (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  BABY MAN Jul10 Jun10 May07 Mar27   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50    
SCR  SANTA GIULIA (FR) Jul14         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50    
2  NOBLE ENTERPRISE Jul16 Jun19 Apr27 Mar24 Feb24 (pugh pete)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00    
3  BALLYMORE STAR (IRE) May30 May08 Apr23     (sweezey kent)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00    
4  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Jun17 May12 Apr13 Feb26 Jan28 (albertra)SANTANA JR 125 12.00 ★    
5  RHEAUME Jul10 Jun25 May30 Apr28   (dickinson m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00 ★    
6  SEQUIST Jul01 Jun11 May06 Mar26 Feb18 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
7  GOOD MEASURE Jun24 May26 Apr01 Feb25 Jan16 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 125 8.00 8% 11.20    
8  MY SWEET STORY Jul11 Jun17       (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
9  ST MAARTEN GIRL Jul14 May13 Apr15 Mar30 Mar02 (rohena j)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
10  HAIL TO Jul10 May20 Apr02     (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  WASP Jul10 Jun12 Mar13 Feb06   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
SAR-6   08/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN FOR COVER         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8% 10.90    
2  LOVE TANK Jun30 Jun05       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
3  EXTESSA         (chichakl)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 119 20.00 7% 13.00    
4  AZTEC NIGHTS         (catalano wayn)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 8% 12.00    
5  SIRIUS LIGHT Jun29         (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
6  INFLUENTIALOUS Jun05         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
7  PEACH STREET Jul26         (stall alber)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
8  STELLAR LADY Jul20         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
9  BELLA COSA         (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 8% 12.00    
10  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW Jun29         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVEST May21 Apr28 Mar19 Feb24 Jan16 (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
2  DARK STORM Jul14 Jun30 May29 May06 Mar27 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  LIL COMMISSIONER Jul09 May07 Apr02 Jan13   (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  DIRECT ORDER Jun24 Jun03 May12 Mar26 Mar05 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
5  RAGTIME BLUES May15 Apr28 Mar18 Feb20 Feb01 (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 9% 10.70    
6  PARADE FIELD Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 Apr21 Mar05 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 20.00    
7  HANDY Jul09 Jun03 May15 Mar27 Feb21 (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 13% 6.40    
8  O SHEA CAN U SEE Jun24 May21 Apr21 Apr01 Mar04 (laxme)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 15.00    
9  AUBURN HILLS Jul28 Jul14 Jun24 May06 Apr08 (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00 6% 16.50    
 
SAR-8   08/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANCEUX Jul04 May29 Apr23 Mar20 Jan30 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ROSALIND by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Jun22 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jan30 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of JAHWHOL by ESKENDEREYA)
3  WIT Jun11 Apr09       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 4.00 39% 1.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NUMERO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  WOW WHATA SUMMER Jul02 Jun03 Apr23     (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
5  STOLEN BASE Jul09 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jan30 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 ★    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  READY TO PURRFORM Jul04 May21       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 10% 8.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
7  DOUBLE CLUTCH Jul04 Apr16 Feb26     (arnold george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
8  CELESTIAL CITY Jul02 May29 May05 Mar26 Jan30 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 9% 10.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
9  TIZ THE BOMB Jul09 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Feb05 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
 
SAR-9   08/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPYCRAFT Jun22 May24 Apr23     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISCREET CAT out of SUGARCRAFT by BERNARDINI)
2  YES AND YES Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 May05   (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
  (by SIDNEY'S CANDY out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ARZAK Jul02 May15 Apr17     (trombetta mich)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DELIGHTFUL MELODY by TAPIT)
4  CAROTARI Jun19 May21       (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
5  GOLDEN PAL Apr09         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 0.50 36% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY SHIPMAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  TRUE VALOUR (IRE) Jun11 Apr23       (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 8.00 ★    
  (by KODIAC (GB) out of SUTTON VENY (IRE) by ACCLAMATION (GB))
7  THIN WHITE DUKE Jul28 Jul02 Jun03 May06 Apr16 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 30.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
SAR-10   08/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MALALA Jul17 Jun16 May21 Apr22 Apr03 (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 119 30.00    
2  KUKARO         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
3  REGAL REBEL Jun25         (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
4  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Jul17 Jun02 May07 Apr22 Mar25 (grossman r)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  ROZ Jul17 Jul01 May08 Apr21 Mar18 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 14.80    
6  WICKED LADY Jul16 Jun16       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
7  SKYWARD PRINCESS Jul17 Jun04       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
8  CAIAROSSA         (bond harold )HARKIE K 119 15.00    
9  JET SET JULIET Jun25 May27       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 8% 11.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.