Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREONNA         (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
2  PARKIN IN THE REAR May31 May07 Mar20 Feb12   (shorter aar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  QUEEN LOUISE May20 Mar26 Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 (kordenbrock m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 14% 6.00    
4  MARCIE'S CANDY Jun03 May14 Feb16     (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
5  SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE Jun03 May14 Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00    
6  L. A. STAR Jun03         (lucas wayne)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
7  SUMMER STORM May26 May01 Feb25 Jan14   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
CD-2   06/18/2022 7920ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAKWENA May22 Apr30 Mar17 Feb19   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 4.00    
SCR  FULL CHARGE Jun09 May12 Apr15 Feb23 Jan13 (west w)BEJARANO R 124 8.00    
3  ALWAYS ABOVE May30 Apr22 Mar12 Feb12   (nihei michell)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  ARABIAN PRINCE May28 May06 Apr13 Mar20 Jan22 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50    
5  JARREAU May22 Apr24 Mar10 Feb13 Jan16 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00    
6  WESTERN RIVER May14 Apr02 Feb26     (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
CD-3   06/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKEDOWN STREET         (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
2  MASTER OF ARMS Jun05 May07 Apr09 Mar05 Jan08 (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  DIVISION STREET May22 Apr02       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
4  GENERAL STRIKE Jun08 May07 Mar19     (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  UNCLE BERLEY May14 Apr07 Mar26 Feb12 Jan09 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
6  UNCLE NICK         (vaccarezza car)LEZCANO ABEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMARTY JOHN May22 May04 Jan22     (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
 
CD-4   06/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T MONEY         (vacc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 8.00    
2  DIALED A DAME         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14% 6.40    
3  ON SPOT Jun08         (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
4  RIGHT OF RUSH May28 May04 Apr20     (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 5.00    
5  EAST OF INDIA May26         (vanden br)ROCCO S 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  MIZZEN MAN Jun08 May21 Apr16 Mar26 Mar03 (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
7  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF Apr30         (meyers sha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
8  OFFUTT COLE May13 Apr27 Apr02     (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   06/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP DANCING LADY May06 Apr02 Mar05 Feb24 Jan08 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 3.00    
2  SOCIETY May06         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 52% 0.90    
3  GLACKEN'S CAUSE May31 Apr08 Mar22 Mar05 Feb01 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
4  IMOGENE MALVINA May06 Apr08 Feb19     (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
5  MISS YEARWOOD May20 Apr30 Apr10 Jan30   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50    
 
CD-6   06/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY BETRAYAL May27 Apr14 Mar10 Jan09   (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  SEAU Jun10 May22 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Apr24 Feb13 Jan21 Jan02   (barnett c)COURT K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALL WEST Apr16 Mar27 Mar12 Jan16   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
5  EAGLE PASS Jun08 May27 May15 Apr23 Apr09 (vance davi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
6  CRIME SPREE May27 Apr14 Feb26 Feb05 Jan09 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
7  WIN WITH PRIDE May27 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
8  BEVERLY PARK Jun02 May22 May12 May07 Apr21 (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  CAN IMAGINE May27 Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 Mar04 (brennan )SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   06/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENID May13 Apr02 Mar17 Feb16   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  ABSAM Jun02 Apr27 Jan15     (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00    
3  BRIEFCASE BULLY May15         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
4  KITTANSETT May07         (lobo pau)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
5  FAN CLUB May07 Apr15 Mar18 Jan29 Jan02 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
6  DOUBLE CROWN Jun05 Mar24 Feb21 Jan29   (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  EBBEN May28 Apr16 Mar18 Feb03   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00    
 
CD-8   06/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S MALIBU Apr22 Mar16 Feb03 Jan13   (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 ★    
2  SAILOR'S RETURN May30 May05 Mar18 Feb20 Jan21 (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WARRIOR JOHNY May07 Apr14 Mar04 Jan22   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.80 73% 0.40    
SCR  PAID TWICE Jun17 May20       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
5  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) May20         (stewart )SANTANA JR null      
6  CONSPIRACY FACT May30 May07       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★    
7  ROARING GAP May20         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00    
8  BOLD MEDICATION         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00    
 
CD-9   06/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT-10:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANTRY FLATS Mar19         (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAJESTIC WEST Jun04 May20 May04 Apr09 Mar19 (cash l)COURT K 118 10.00    
3  PEEKACHO Apr29 Mar26 Feb23 Feb10   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
4  FROSTED GRACE May25 May07 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
5  LORD DRAGON May21 Apr22 Mar26 Mar01 Jan29 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  TIZ OUR TURN May12 Apr08 Feb19 Jan07   (bindner walter )LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  TO KALON May15 Apr21 Feb16     (cundiff waylon)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00    
8  ZANESVILLE May21 Jan10       (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 14% 6.10    
9  PALACE COUP Mar19 Jan29       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
CD-10   06/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT-10:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SPEED May14 Apr16 Mar23 Feb26   (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
2  ONTHEONESANDTWOS May28 May06       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 16% 5.30    
3  RING ME DARLING May22         (garcia genar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 ★    
4  CANCEL THIS May28 Apr02 Mar10 Feb06   (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI May06 Apr22 Mar18 Feb19   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
6  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR May13 Apr08 Feb11     (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
7  FAMED Jan07         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  RAIN CHECK May06 Feb20       (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
9  TARABI         (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
10  JUMAKAN BOURBON May29 Apr27 Apr02 Mar12   (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
 
CD-11   06/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADBAND         (tay)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
1A  DIVINE HOPE May26         (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
2  LANDED GENTRY         (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
3  ROMANCE NOVEL         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
4  EXPLICATE         (bicknell wh)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
5  PARK ANGEL         (mackey way)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 15.00    
6  REPEALING         (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
7  CLASSIC COYNE Jun04 May06 Apr08     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 14% 5.90    
8  ROYAL FLOWER May19 Feb19       (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 8% 12.20    
9  BROADWAY BLAZE May21         (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00    
10  LADY PELE Apr22         (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.