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Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 17, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/5/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/5/3/2)-(4/6/1/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CD-2   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(4/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/2)-(4/6/1/3)-(1/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/3)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/3)-(1/5/6)-(8/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(8/6/2)-(8/1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(8/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(8/1/4/3)-(9/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (8/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3)-(8/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/4/3)-(9/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/3)-(9/6/5/1)-(2/3/7/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-7   WIN (9/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/11/1)-(9/6/5/11/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/5/1)-(2/3/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5/1)-(2/3/7/9)-(7/6/2/10/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/3/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/9)-(2/3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/9)-(2/3/7/9)-(2/3/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/9)-(7/6/2/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (7/6/2/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/10/5)-(7/6/2/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/10/5)-(7/6/2/10/5)-(7/6/2/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards

IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/17/2026 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AL AMJAAD Apr12 Mar13 Feb14     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  PAY HEED Feb12         (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
3  WHATEVER Apr12 Feb01 Jan08 Dec04 Oct29 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 21% 3.70    
4  HUTCHINSON Apr19 Mar16 Feb21 Jul11   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  PRAYER Apr26 Mar25 Jul20 Jun15 Mar29 (arnold ge)CARRASCO R 125 1.20    
SCR  CONSEQUENTIAL May07 Mar13 Feb13 Nov30 Nov02 (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
7  MUSIC THEORY Apr21 Mar05       (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRAJECT Apr23 Apr03 Mar07 Dec19 Nov01 (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUIBBLE Mar22 Feb26 Dec26 Oct15 Sep22 (lauer michael)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 6% 14.60    
4  TURKISH PISTACHIO Apr23 Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 Jan04 (david a)MENDOZA AMIR 113 3.00    
5  FERMI Apr23 Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 Feb26 (sweezey j)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  BACHELOR PARTY Apr12 Feb20 Dec04 Oct31   (fawkes da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
7  VINNO RONNIE Apr16 Apr03 Mar19 Feb27 Feb08 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
8  MO INDIAN LADY Apr26 Mar20 Feb27     (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC ANGEL May10 Apr03 Dec26 Nov23 Oct30 ( )TBA null      
 
CD-3   05/17/2026 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMPING SIETE         (bahena ismael)PAULY SUMMER 114 20.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  TRIM CASTLE Apr16         (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00    
3  TIZ GENERAL         (munoz carlos)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 8% 11.20    
4  ISSACHAR         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  HEART OF A HERO Apr28         (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
6  CUBALIBRE         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50 10% 8.60    
7  DUVAL         (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
8  JOE JOE DUDE Apr23 Apr03       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
9  CROSS POWER Apr23 Apr03       (carpio j)SAEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
 
CD-4   05/17/2026 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIRITA Apr16 Feb01 Nov21 Oct17   (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  ANSWERED PRAYERS Apr08 Mar15       (mott william)TORRES A 120 3.00    
3  GO TO GIRL Apr09 Nov29 Oct26 Oct03 Aug08 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  SO LIKE SILK Apr07         (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
5  BE THE LIGHT Apr18 Mar13       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  MARKET CHILL Apr09 Jan11 Oct03 Sep04 Jul25 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TETIAROA Apr10 Nov22 Oct18 Sep19 May31 (bauer phil)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO HAIR SAM Apr16 Mar28 Mar12 Aug23 Jul06 (hancock j)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
2  A CAB ON THE ROCKS Mar12 Jan29 Jan04 Dec06 Oct03 (west w)TORRES A 118 12.00 13% 6.60    
3  STEFAN'S TITLE Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb07   (pitts hel)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 30.00    
4  WAR MUNNY Apr25 Mar27 Mar08 Feb14 Dec27 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  LUCIUS VERUS Apr12 Feb19 Jan19 Nov10 Oct03 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 2.50    
SCR  AFTER PARTY Apr19 Apr10 Mar08 Dec27 Oct24 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 16% 5.50    
7  DEWY'S DENALI Apr10 Mar27 Feb12 Dec18 Oct01 (gonzalez rei)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
8  GUARDIAN Apr25 Apr08 Feb28 Feb19 Feb05 (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
CD-6   05/17/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBETTERBEST Apr25 Mar27 Feb27 Dec05 Nov01 (vanden ber)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 30% 2.40    
2  ALL ABOUT ME Apr29 Feb12 Jan25 Jan04 Dec12 (radosevich shel)MEEKS MICAH 111 30.00    
3  LADY ORIENT Apr25 Mar09 Feb05 Jul31 Jul11 (larose ki)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Mar26 Feb11 Jan14 Oct05 May26 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Apr25 Feb12 Dec26 Nov16 Sep26 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
6  COZY CURLIN KITTEN Apr18 Mar19 Nov29 Oct05 Aug29 (foster eric)MENDOZA AMIR 113 6.00    
SCR  FREAK CITY Mar27 Feb26 Jan15 Nov23 Oct30 (jacobs ma)TROXTELL BRITTANY 108 50.00    
8  GOATS ON A TREE Apr10 Mar14 Feb12 Nov15 Oct18 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 35% 1.90    
9  JILL JITTERBUG Apr25 Mar26 Mar11 Feb13 Jan16 (walsh ryan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/17/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY RICH DEAL         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
2  JUSTICE         (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of IRISH BLESSING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  DON'S WINNER         (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of MAP MAKER by LIAM'S MAP)
4  CREVALLI         (simms jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of WILD HICKORY by TERRELL)
5  PUTEKETEKE Apr10 Mar13 Feb21     (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CLEOPATRA'S CHARM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  GREAT MOMENT Apr10 Feb21 Mar19 Feb15 Jan20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by FLATTER out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
7  ECOSYSTEM         (vaughan ed)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LIL MISS MOPPET by UNCLE MO)
8  ARMET Mar21         (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WOKE UP TO ACES by THE FACTOR)
9  DEEP FLAME Apr04 Feb14       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BARBADIA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  MONSTER COOKIE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
  (by YAUPON out of COCO COOKIES by CARPE DIEM (FR))
11  EMBRY SHOW Mar07         (baffert bob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 ★    
  (by MODERNIST out of LILA RUTH by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
 
CD-8   05/17/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENDELA Apr18 Mar12 Feb22 Aug11 Jul12 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
2  ME AND MOLLY MCGEE Feb07 Aug02 Jun22 May17 Apr24 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  UNTAMED MOMENT Apr18 Mar22 Mar07 Feb08 Dec20 (fawkes david)LANERIE J 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  MISS ENCHANTED Mar26 Feb15 May24 Apr13 Mar12 (romans dal)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
5  LOVIN' ON THE RUN Mar27 Feb13 Jan09 Dec14 Nov23 (ortiz a)TORRES A 121 30.00    
SCR  FLASH WEAR Apr04 Nov27 Nov05 Oct05 Sep20 (navarrete ann)MORALES EDGAR 121 50.00    
7  VELVET VORTEX Mar12 Dec28 Jun05 Apr07 Feb15 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
8  BLUE FIRE Apr11 Mar22 Feb06 Jan10 Dec13 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00    
9  L. A. WOMAN Dec21 Oct21 Jul20 Jun27 May26 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BEAUTY REIGNS Apr18 Mar12 Aug02 Jul03 Jun08 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/17/2026 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG POUR Apr12 Feb22 Jan11 Dec07 Nov15 (arnold ge)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
2  POPPA ECHO Apr11 Mar19 Feb22 Feb05 Dec21 (schultz l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 15.00 11% 8.30    
3  ANCIENT HISTORY Mar25 Jun20       (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 118 20.00    
4  ABSOLUTELY HOT Mar15 Feb16 Nov27     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 15.00    
5  MAGIC BREW Jan19 Nov07       (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 7% 13.50    
6  DOUBLE TALKER Apr17 May01 Apr10     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
7  SCHWARZENEGGER Apr19 Oct31 Oct05 Aug29   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 36% 1.70    
8  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE) Apr17 Mar13 Nov30 Oct12 Sep12 (heath destin)MONCADA IRVING 118 30.00    
9  TATERPIE Apr15 Mar21 Feb17 Jan19 Dec27 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
10  ROSE RULER Apr15 Feb13 Jan16 Dec21   (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
11  MEGA MAGIC Jan29 Jan01 Sep26 Aug31 Jul12 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
12  MILITARY CRUISER Apr17 Jan11 Nov12 Sep04 Aug01 (vaccarezza ni)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.