Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Keeneland
Thursday - April 09, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(11/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(11/9)-(7/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-2   WIN (11/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/9)-(11/5/3/2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (11/9)-(11/5/3/2/9)-(11/5/3/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/9)-(7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (11/9)-(7/8/6)-(3/5/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-3   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/3/6)-(7/8/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(3/5/4/2)-(8/1/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-4   WIN (3/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
KEE-5   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(4/1/10/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(4/1/10/6/3)-(1/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-6   WIN (4/1/10/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/6/3)-(4/1/10/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/6/3)-(4/1/10/6/3)-(4/1/10/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/10/6/3)-(1/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/10/6/3)-(1/3/6)-(2/8/6/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
KEE-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
KEE-8   WIN (2/8/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/9/5)-(2/8/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/9/5)-(2/8/6/9/5)-(2/8/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/6/9/5)-(9/12/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
KEE-9   WIN (9/12/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/12/5)-(9/12/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
KEE-1   04/09/2026 2970ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAYTOWN NORA         (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 116 15.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
CROSSFIRE         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BARBARIANSMILE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GATES OF EDEN         (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by KINGMAMBO out of RESPECT MY CANDOR by THE FACTOR)
UNCLE WITH MONEY         (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 7% 14.40    
  (by UPSTART out of ROLL UP MO MONEY by UNCLE MO)
SKARA BRAE         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 116 1.20 47% 1.10    
  (by WILD ZONE out of BOO PATCH by NAEVUS)
MR. FETE         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 7% 12.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of FI by LANGFUHR)
ZEE R ONE         (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of COLOUR PARTY by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SCR  RUIVA         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINHA PAIXAO by CURLIN)
 
KEE-2   04/09/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTISSERIE Mar12 Feb11 Jan03 Nov28 Nov01 (lauer michae)MONCADA IRVING 118 20.00    
SAFE SPACE         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
SEA ZEST Mar06 Dec18 Nov14 Oct09 Sep10 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
CROWN OF VIOLENCE Mar19 Feb28 Feb12 Jan21 Dec27 (moreno tit)HERNANDEZ N 118 15.00    
SHARING WISDOM (GB) Mar12 Dec27 Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
VOLUNTOLD Feb05 Jan15 Dec12     (newton troy)SHEEHY DANNY 118 30.00    
BUGS MALONE Mar26 Feb20 Jan31 Dec20   (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE EMPRESS Feb11         (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
HYLLA Mar12 Feb26 Jul14 Jun11   (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MARIPOSA MOON Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 Dec18 Nov28 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 15.00    
11  CLICK Mar14 Feb19 Jan15 Dec11 Oct22 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.50 74% 0.30    
12  DENISE SAYS NO Mar06 Feb14 Jan01 Dec12 Nov26 (moger jr)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 20.00    
13  DODECAHEDRON Mar26 Mar07 Feb18 Jan14 Dec18 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 125 12.00    
SCR  LEXICO Mar13 Feb26 Jan01 Nov28 Oct22 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  GUS'S GAL Feb27 Jan15 Dec07     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  QUEEN MCKINZIE Feb19 Jan25 Oct12 Sep13 Aug10 (salvad)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 120 4.00    
 
KEE-3   04/09/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MA RAE'S GIRL Mar11 Feb22 Dec20 Nov30 Aug10 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
FOURFIFTYSEVEN Mar18 Feb25 Feb12 Dec21 Nov22 (barrett a)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
MOM'S CHEESECAKE Mar25 Feb28 Jan03 Dec03 Nov07 (kerrick lacy)CURTIS BEN 124 6.00    
ASHKENAZI Mar11 Jan14 Nov26 Nov02 Oct10 (hiles rick)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  YUME Jun25 May22 Mar06     (lee joseph)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00    
DANZIG'S DORA Feb22 Jan15 Dec18 Nov14   (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLAME DANCER Mar25 Feb12 Dec04 Oct26 Sep26 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
SWEET SCORECARD Jan12 Nov11 Oct06 Sep15 Jun24 (eggleston )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
VIRAL PLANE LADY Jan02 Dec18 Nov07 Oct02 Sep20 (labra )GUTIERREZ RAMOS 119 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/09/2026 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLMEYOURMAJESTY Feb14 Jan17       (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
BACKGAMMON Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Nov27 Oct18 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMBERGLEN (IRE) Nov27 Oct23       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
TIDEOFTIME Mar07 Jan03 Nov06 Oct12   (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 17.30    
TRUST ACCOUNT Mar07 Oct03 Aug18     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
SOUTH PHILLY SLIDE Mar07 Feb12 Dec26 Nov08 Nov01 (gree)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 20.00    
MOTHER GREEN Feb12 Dec21 Nov14 Sep13   (mott rile)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
WHITE SMOKE Jan17 Dec20       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
LUSTER Aug17         (carroll josie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  HUCK'S AGENDA Mar16 Feb27 Jan25 Dec27 Dec07 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
 
KEE-5   04/09/2026 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGINNESONTAP Jan17 Dec21 Oct25 Sep04 Jul21 (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
FOURTH DIMENSION Feb07 Dec27 Oct24 Sep13   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of AUREUM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BEARISTER Mar21 Jan17       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JERSEY JULES by SCAT DADDY)
SPARTACUS Jan25         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
HICKMAN CREEK Feb28         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
  (by SEATTLE SLEW out of CALM WATER by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MR. MIRACLE Feb07 Dec06       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of CHERRY LODGE by BERNARDINI)
STAKEHOLDER Mar20 Feb07 Nov29     (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEPUTY MINISTER out of OUR DEAR SUE by ROBERTO)
ROYAL CRESCENT Feb28 Jan25       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
KEE-6   04/09/2026 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY GRAY Feb14 Jan10       (proctor thomas)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
BOLD TIME Nov02 Oct04 Aug31     (carroll josie)MORAN PIETRO 118 10.00    
PETRONELLA Jan22 Dec21 Nov08 Aug28   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
EAST JABIP (IRE) Feb26         (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
RHYTHM LADY Mar21 Feb25 Jan22     (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
THREE TO G Feb21 Dec07       (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  KOKOMOTION Mar07 Feb07       (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40    
RED BERETTA Mar04 Feb06 Jan09 Oct22 Oct03 (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 118 30.00    
JUST A MINUTE Feb07 Nov26       (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
10  SOLOIST Oct03 Aug31 Aug03     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
KEE-7   04/09/2026 5610ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME PRECIOUS Mar07 Feb07 Nov22 Oct15 Sep10 (lynch a)MORAN PIETRO 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
MARKET CHILL Jan11 Oct03 Sep04 Jul25   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
MAJESTICAL Feb14 Dec27 Nov29     (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 17% 4.90    
HONOR AZTECA Feb27 Jan30 Jan09 Dec26 Nov28 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
GO TO GIRL Nov29 Oct26 Oct03 Aug08 Jun27 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
QUEENSTOWN Mar04 Jan22 Dec03 Oct31   (harty eoi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
KEE-8   04/09/2026 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY Feb18 Jan21 Dec20 Nov14 Oct17 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
RISK TOLERANCE (IRE) Jan24 Dec26 Oct04 Jul27 Apr21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
SIMULATE Jan31 Dec13 Oct25 Aug30 Aug09 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
SCR  FOND FAREWELL Mar05 Feb05 Jul18 Jun06   (walden wi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
CLEVER AGAIN Sep06 Aug01 Jun21 May17 Mar30 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
REAGAN'S WIT Jan17 Jul04 May17 Apr07 Mar08 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 9% 9.90    
PINELAND Mar16 Jan24 Dec27 Oct25 Oct11 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
MOUNTAIN BEAR (IRE) Oct08 Aug31 Jul05 May25 Oct05 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 23% 3.30    
MCRAVIN Mar04 Jan03 Oct25 Sep20   (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 9% 10.20    
10  ESMARK Aug02 Jun20 May26 Apr13 Aug31 (oliver vict)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
11  CAIRO CAPER Mar06 Dec06 Oct31 Oct19 Sep01 (vassilieva k)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
12  EJTIMAA Feb22 May11 Apr06 Mar22 Feb22 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
SCR  TOUGH LITTLE NUT Jun08 May11 Apr07 Feb22 Dec28 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  JOEJOE GO Feb06 Dec27 Nov23 Oct25 Aug22 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SPECIAL CALIBER Mar06 Apr30 Apr09 Feb22 Jan18 (douaihy m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00    
SCR  END OF ROMANCE (IRE) Aug09 Jun21 Apr26 Mar22   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-9   04/09/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORMAGGIO Mar06 Feb13 Jan15 Dec04 Oct30 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 15.00    
ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY Feb26 Dec20 Nov20 Sep26 Sep17 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50    
SCR  MAMARSHA Mar11 Feb26 Jan17 Dec17 Oct30 (holsappl)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
RIDE THE BROOM Mar19 Feb05 Jan15 Dec19 Oct30 (roberts joe )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
MUSTANG LADY Feb20 Feb05 Jan15 Oct30 Sep26 (newton troy)SHEEHY DANNY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
RHAENYS Mar18 Aug30 Jul17 Sep14 Aug29 (cook b)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
ZAFYRE Mar12 Feb28 Feb05 Jan03 Dec17 (antonuik j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
STAR WATCH Mar27 Feb20 Dec11 Nov01 Oct04 (manning j)BERMUDEZ E 124 50.00    
HALEAKALA (IRE) Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Dec17 Nov06 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
10  CAROL'S MELODY Feb28 Feb11 Jan17 Dec10 Aug11 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  BUT SERIOUSLY Mar20 Feb11 Jan15 Dec27 Dec05 (girten )DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
12  MERRY MADISON Mar11 Feb19 Nov28 Nov06 Oct04 (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
13  BRAVE SAMANTHA Mar27 Mar13 Dec05 Nov21 Sep25 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
SCR  RED ROYALTY Mar13 Mar03 Feb11 Jan05 Dec27 (meyers shane)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC ANGEL Apr03 Dec26 Nov23 Oct30 Oct09 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.