Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/3/4/7)-(1/3/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/7)-(1/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/7)-(1/3/7/5)-(3/8/10/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5)-(1/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/5)-(3/8/10/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/5)-(3/8/10/7/5)-(1/3/5/7/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/8/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/10/7/5)-(3/8/10/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/10/7/5)-(3/8/10/7/5)-(3/8/10/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/10/7/5)-(1/3/5/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/8/10/7/5)-(1/3/5/7/6)-(9/12/13/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-5   WIN (1/3/5/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/7/6)-(1/3/5/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/7/6)-(1/3/5/7/6)-(1/3/5/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/5/7/6)-(9/12/13/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/7/6)-(9/12/13/4)-(5/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (9/12/13/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/13/4)-(9/12/13/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/13/4)-(9/12/13/5/7/4)-(9/12/13/5/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
    DD (9/12/13/4)-(5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/12/13/4)-(5/1/7)-(10/2/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(10/2/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (10/2/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/9)-(10/2/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/9)-(10/2/5/1/9)-(10/2/5/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   10/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECURED LENDER Aug17 Jul13 Jun07 Apr13 Jan01 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.80 16% 5.20    
SHOOT THE NICKEL Sep13 Aug17 May23 Apr26 Mar08 (devaux adriann)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
TURN AND COUNT Oct11 Aug10 May25 Apr19 Mar22 (martin c)SANTANA JR 120 2.50    
SIR KARTRITE Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 Jun28 Dec15 (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
KEEP ON COMING Aug12 May05       (allard t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
TAPWRITS TEMPER Oct04 Jul16 Jun12 May23 Apr26 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSPICIOUSLY NAMED Oct05 Sep19 Aug15 Jul26 Jun27 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LITTLE MARYRUTH by BADGE OF SILVER)
UP FOR AN OSCAR Jan25         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of POST SCRIPT by QUALITY ROAD)
DISCLAIMER Sep20 Aug08 Oct25     (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by CARACARO out of TARA ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
ATOMIC AGE Sep14 Oct12 Jul27     (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of AMERICAN WEST by CURLIN)
WICKED IMPROBABLE Sep20 Aug08 Jul04     (morley t)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BAFFLE ME by FIRST SAMURAI)
TEAM OF RIVALS Jul19         (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TEAM OF TEAMS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
IN THE DARK Sep20 Aug14 Jul05     (barker edw)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SHE'S RIGHT AGAIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  RADAUTI Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 Dec07 Nov10 (clement miguel)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80    
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SALVATION Oct03 Jul27 Nov07 Oct03 Aug21 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LOVELY RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
BAQ-3   10/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FIRST LOVE Sep28 May01 Apr03 Mar16 Feb13 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
COQUITO Sep28 Jul27 Jul03 Jun13 Apr04 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00    
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Jul27 Jun29 May26 May02 Apr18 (rodriguez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
BEIRA Sep11 Jul23 Jun21 May02 Apr11 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00    
IT TAKES HEART Aug29 Aug01 Jun29 Jun13 May16 (ferraro )SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO IN ETERNITY Sep28 Jul25 Jun06 May02 Apr11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Sep28 Sep14 Aug29 Aug06 Jul27 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
FLORIDA FLOWER Sep30 Aug29 Jul27 Jun28 Jun12 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RODEO STAR Sep25 Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00    
DANNEEL Oct03 Aug29 Aug10 Jun28 May11 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 124 30.00    
ENIGMATIC Sep17 Aug31 Jun14 Mar07 Jan24 (synnefias panag)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
DOLCE SERA Oct03 Sep14 Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00    
BROOKLYN DANTZ Sep25 Aug31 Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEST IMPRESSION Sep25 Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 Jun07 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
STRESS RELIEVER Oct08 Aug07 Jun18 Jun05 May24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00 6% 14.40    
SHE'S COOL Sep25 Jul31 Jul11 May24 Apr18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
RUNWAY LIGHTS Aug15 Jul16 May25 Apr13 Mar26 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
10  SIGHT TO SEE Oct16 Sep11 Apr23 Feb15 Dec29 (dutrow r)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
BAQ-5   10/23/2025 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO DUCKS Aug03         (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
SKIP FORWARD (JPN)         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
GRUMBLYRUMHOGAN Sep28         (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
HELMET OF WILL Oct04 Sep07       (maker micha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
DILIELLO Sep26 Aug30 Aug08 Jul16   (morley t)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 18% 4.60    
B RAGING ON Sep13 Aug03 Jul04     (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ESCAPE HALL Sep14 Aug08       (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 10% 8.60    
BOLD LOVE Oct09 Aug31       (summers ch)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
FORT GRIFFIN Oct09 Sep14       (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
10  RAGING SEA CAPTAIN         (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOROPO Aug31         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
  (by VENEZUELAN HUG out of BARRE by MIZZEN MAST)
AMICUS CURIAE Sep27 Aug28       (levine bruc)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 30.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of CELESTIA by UNCLE MO)
BANCO DI SICILIA Sep27 Aug28       (englehart chri)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
INTOTHEWILDERNESS Oct03         (barker edw)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REGAL CLASSIC out of HALF A DOZEN by SARATOGA SIX)
COACH OF THE YEAR         (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of DANCING ONTHEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
MORNING PRAYER Sep27         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of AWESOME PRAYER by AWESOME AGAIN)
JETTIES         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by SLUMBER out of NANTUCKET SUMMER by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ATENEA (ECU) Sep27 Sep14 Aug06 Jul19   (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by SAHARA HEAT out of RISTY by HOLIDAY SPIRIT)
CONSIDERATE CITY Sep27 Sep11       (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CONSIDERATE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
10  ROSE LISA Oct04 Aug31       (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of BRUJA ESCARLATA by STREET BOSS)
11  NESHIKA Sep11 Jun29       (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KISS IS A KISS by BROKEN VOW)
12  STARSHIP AVA Sep27         (nevin miche)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of GOODYEARFORROSES by AZAMOUR)
13  RAYNHAM HALL Oct05 Sep01 Aug06     (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 7% 12.50    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of CLOUD JUMPER by SLEW'S ROYALTY)
SCR  BE GOLDEN         (nevin miche)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 20.00    
  (by TOUCH GOLD out of COULD BE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  CREDIT RISK Sep12         (bartkows)SANTANA JR 119 2.00    
  (by TACITUS out of LITTLE BULLET by GREEK ANSWER)
SCR  MAGIC IN MY EYES Aug28         (green j)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISS NARCISSIST by FREUD)
 
BAQ-7   10/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER FORCE Sep26 Aug29 Jul16 May24 Apr26 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
PURPOSE Aug29 Jul10 Jun13 Mar23 Feb28 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
SCR  CHASING DAYLIGHT Aug05 Jul10 Jun08 May15 Apr26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
BACKCHECK Sep21 Aug23 Jul05 Jun13 May03 (clement mi)RIVERA R 120 5.00    
GRACE AND GRIT Sep21 Aug21 Jul16 Jun12 May17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
CAPITAL GAL Sep26 Aug06 Jul09 Nov01 Jul22 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Sep26 Aug29 Aug06 Jun29 Jun12 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/23/2025 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYLA'S KAUSE Sep26 Jul30 Oct10 Aug25   (morley thomas)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.50    
TOUGH LOVE TORRES May10 Mar22       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 32% 2.20    
GOLD STAMP Aug27 Jul20 Jun16 May24 Apr25 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
MIDNIGHTLOVEAFFAIR Aug30 Jun26 Dec29 Nov01   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
MAC TO MOORE Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 Oct15 Sep16 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SECOND CHANCE (VEN) Sep19 Aug29 Jul26 Jun21 Oct06 (schetti)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00    
AERIALIST Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 Jul12 May16 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
LESLIE'S STAR Sep26 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 Jun21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
MY ANTICIPATION Sep26 Jul03 May11 Mar16 Feb15 (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  PARADE RING (IRE) Sep26 Aug24 Jul25 Apr12 Mar05 (dutrow a)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  SERENE SPIRIT Aug14 Jul12 Jun01 Oct06 Aug17 (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  BEMBRIDGE LEDGE Sep06 Jul26 Jun14 Dec04 Nov01 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
SCR  FIFI LA FUME Oct02 Aug24 Jul30 Jul06 Jun13 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
SCR  TAMMY'S CRUISER Apr11 Dec20 Nov15 Oct24 Aug14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.