Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-2   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ARP-3   WIN (7/9/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/2/3)-(7/9/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/2/3)-(7/9/2/5/3)-(7/9/2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/9/2/3)-(1/2/4/5)-(5/3/9/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ARP-4   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/7/5)-(1/2/4/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/5)-(5/3/9/2/8)-(7/6/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/3/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/2/8)-(5/3/9/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/2/8)-(5/3/9/2/8)-(5/3/9/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ARP-6   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS VANELLOPE Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 Aug10 Jul11 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
2  UNKNOWN CALLER Oct04 Sep19 Sep02 Aug25 Jul29 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  ANCHORS AND SPURS Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 Jul05 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 124 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO FANCY Sep28 Sep21 Aug29 Jun22 May17 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
5  PRINCESS AMANDA Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (tsosie terrill)ARANA MINOR 124 12.00    
6  TAP THE HEART Oct04 Sep03 Aug19 Aug02 Jul25 (haar j)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 5% 18.30    
7  PAYTON'S INDIAN Oct05 Sep14 Aug19 Jul21 Jul04 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 124 2.00    
 
ARP-2   10/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORDER VIGIL Sep20 Sep13 Aug17 Apr23 Apr15 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 5.00 65% 0.50    
2  AUX ARCS Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 Aug01 Jul18 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
3  MR. BIZ Oct03 Dec12       (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
4  TIME TO SKIP TOWN Sep28 Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 Aug12 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 4.50 ★    
5  GRAN SENOR DEL ORO Sep27 Aug03 Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
6  BOSS DOWN Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug06 Jul26 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 120 3.50    
7  GRACE'S HANK Sep27 Sep01 Aug06 Jun17 May25 (esquibel mark)RAMEY CASH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-3   10/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR ENCOUNTER Sep27 Aug31 Nov30 Nov16 Oct19 (villamar cand)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
2  DEONTE         (vicchrilli russ)CRUZ M 124 10.00 23% 3.40    
3  SILENCE'S NATION Nov16 Oct18 Sep09 Aug27 Aug07 (chavez veronica)RAMOS B 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRACEY'S KITCHEN Sep27 Jul05 Aug30 Aug24   (tsosie terrill)ARANA MINOR 124 4.50    
5  DELIGHTFUL RESERVE Sep20 Sep05 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (quezada z)IRONEYES R 120 3.50 ★    
6  SUNTASTIC Sep27         (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00    
7  MR. THIRSTY Aug17 Jul05 Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 (mckinney kyndra)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  MAJOR TIMING Sep27 Jun20 May16 Sep09 Aug20 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 5.00    
9  ACE DIAMOND         (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
ARP-4   10/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN FOR LOKI Sep28 Nov17 Oct26 Sep22 Aug28 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
2  CHUCK NAZTY Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Oct20 Sep14 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Sep27 Sep06 Jul26 Jul19 Jul13 (stubblefi)IRONEYES R 124 15.00    
4  KANDEREL Jun28 Jun08 Apr30 Apr19 Mar03 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 13% 6.70    
5  MONGOLIAN MOON Aug02 Jun28 Jun13 May31 May17 (graber jessic)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  AWESOME FAMILY Oct03 Sep20 Aug15 Jul31 Jul13 (stortzum cady)CARRENO J 124 10.00    
7  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 2.50 ★    
8  FLEET OF HOOF Oct03 Aug16 Jul31 Jul03 Jun02 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 5.00    
9  RIVERSPORT Sep12 Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 (ibanez alberto)BAEZ M 124 8.00    
 
ARP-5   10/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTTA PRADA Sep14 Nov17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep27 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
2  CHEERING FOR LAYLA Sep28 Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 (villamar candel)CRUZ M 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  SOUTHERN SPEIGHT Oct03 Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  CAN'T WANT THAT Sep21 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun28 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
5  EXTRA INDY Oct04 Aug27 Aug16 Aug03 Jul24 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  WEATHER MAP Aug25 Jul09 Apr12 Feb27 Feb14 (kemper kerry)BOWERS JADA 124 8.00    
7  HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH Sep12 Aug02 Jul19 Jul13 Jun15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
8  THORN CROWN Oct04 Sep12 Aug25 Jul27 Jun27 (stortzum cady)COUTON JULIEN 124 12.00 8% 11.60    
9  ILA VEIW TOO Sep21 Aug31 Aug16 Aug03 May31 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50 10% 8.60    
 
ARP-6   10/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTHELONGHAUL Sep20 Sep01 Aug08 Jun14 May31 (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 6% 14.80    
2  TAPITBOY Sep13 May24 May16 May03 Apr13 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.00    
3  MONTUCKY Sep28 Sep20 Aug30 Jul26 Jun20 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FERRARI RED Sep20 Aug22 Jul27 Oct13 Oct04 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 3.50    
6  EL SIETE LEGUAS Oct03 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 Jun08 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50 8% 11.90    
7  NON TOXIC Sep21 Aug30 Aug15 Aug09 Jul26 (mitchell r)RAMOS B 124 8.00 60% 0.70    
8  KAE GAE Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 (long vaughn)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
9  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Sep27 Sep06 Aug29 Jul19 Jun29 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  SWAYING LASSIE Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Aug03 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.