Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELK-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.40 $1.40 35%
ELK-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-4 $24.00 $12.00 100%
ELK-7   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $26.20 $14.20 118%
ELK-8   EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $13.40 $1.40 12%
ELK-9   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-2 $74.20 $56.20 312%
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/6)-(8/4/2/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00  8-2-4 $234.40 $198.40 551%

Simulator Race results

 
ELK-3   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
1:102         1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER N LOVE 4 1 2½ 1½   13 1¾ (dominguez jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 119 2.00 48% 1.10 1.70 W
  (by OM out of SEA ROYALTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
FORZA ROAD 3 4 3 3   23 2¾ (domin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 4.00 2.20  
  (by MO FORZA out of EDGEHILL ROAD by OLD FORESTER)
CALVALRY 1 3 411½ 412½   35 3 (mitchell r)ALAYA ERIC 122 6.00 29% 2.40 2.20 S
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOKECHERYMARY by CAPSIZED)
HARRIET IN CHARGE 2 2 1½ 2½   48 410½ (mitchell )IRONEYES R 119 10.00 2.50  
  (by JESS MO out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
SCR  SEEKINGPERFECTSOLE               (jensen)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 8.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of PERFECT MINE by MINESHAFT)
 
ELK-5   08/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
1:203         1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYIN A THIRST 1 5 32 2½   1 1¼ (doming)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 117 6.00 18% 4.50 4.10 W
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EDAMAME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SWININGDWNTHELN 3 2 2½ 31   2 2¼ (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.30 P
  (by LAKERVILLE out of CINDYS SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
DEEP CREEK STORM 2 3 1½ 1½   3 33 (carter rona)CERVANTES OSCAR 122 4.00 1.90  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of YEREVAN STORM by TACTICAL CAT)
GRIZZLED 4 1 43 4   415½ 419¾ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 122 8.00 5.00  
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of HANNAH GOT EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
VEGUITA 5 4 54 5   519½ 524 (nolazco jesus)ALAYA ERIC 124 10.00 5% 17.20 6.00  
  (by TOUCHDOWN KY out of ZOOM TO THE TUNE by HERE COMES CHARLIE)
SCR  BLAZING VALERIE               (dominguez)IRONEYES R 117 10.00    
  (by POINT ENCOUNTER out of SMOKIN VALENTINE by WESTERN FAME)
 
ELK-6   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIZE LORD 2 1 1½ 2½   12 1 (vickery bret)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00 11% 7.80 1.60 W
HUNTER QUICK 1 3 3 3   22 2 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00 5.20  
DISCO DANZING 3 5 613½ 615½   411 315 (luna cesa)JENSEN P 124 8.00 5.90  
REGINALD AURELIUS 6 2 2½ 1½   38 417 (theurer jos)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 1.60 65% 0.50 3.80  
CHUMLY 4 4 4 410½   513 518 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
RIVER TIBER (IRE) 5 6 511½ 513½   615 619¼ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 2.50 3.40  
 
ELK-7   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:141         1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST N JACK 2 4 4 4   32 1½ (jensen mark)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00 6% 17.10 4.70 W
GOODBYE NOW 1 1 1½ 1   1nk 2½ (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 32% 2.10 2.60 P
HER LITTLE INDIAN 3 2 2½ 2   2nk 32 (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 125 2.50 1.20  
SCREAMING VIRGINIA 5 5 3 3   45 46 (mitchell ch)CERVANTES OSCAR 120 8.00 30% 2.30 3.40  
KIJANI 4 3 5 5   510 515¾ (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 125 10.00 5.90  
 
ELK-8   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
1:084         1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NON TOXIC 4 1 2nk 21   1½ 1 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 125 1.60 65% 0.50 1.70 W
STAR STUDDED BANNA 1 3 1nk 11   2½ 2 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 117 6.00 9% 10.40 1.80 P
KLOE'S LADYBUG 2 4 45 35   3 39 (mccracken)JENSEN P 120 4.00 6.40  
CRONE ZONE 3 5 513 515   511 411¼ (amezcua ruben)GAMEZ M 125 3.50 2.30  
WILDCAT NEWLY 5 2 32 47   4 512½ (livingston )CERVANTES OSCAR 125 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
SCR  TITO'S N KENZ               (nolazco jesu)NUNNALLY BLAKE 120 2.00    
 
ELK-9   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAY'S RUBY LOVE 8 1 3½ 3   2½ 1 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 33% 2.10 3.30 W
ADIOS MUCHACHAS 2 3 2nk 1½   1½ 2 (mitch)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 12% 7.50 6.40 P
CRIMSON LADY 4 5 4 4   3 3 (scudde)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 3.50 29% 2.50 6.10 S
HERE'S THE THING 6 6 5 5   412½ 416 (tschirgi bri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 1.60 1.30  
LATEST ATTRACTION 1 4 6 610½   616 521½ (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 7.90  
IRISH PRANCER 7 2 1nk 2½   515½ 621¾ (mitchell ch)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 4.00 8.30  
CLIPPERVILE GIRL 5 7 7 711½   718 724¼ (crystal d)JENSEN P 124 6.00 18.00  
SARI'S TIGER 3 8 811½ 813½   824 832¾ (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 124 2.50 13.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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