Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
ELK-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-7   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-9   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2/6)-(8/4/2/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-3   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALVALRY Aug15 Jul12 Jun21     (mitchell r)ALAYA ERIC 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOKECHERYMARY by CAPSIZED)
SCR  SEEKINGPERFECTSOLE Aug15         (jensen)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 8.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of PERFECT MINE by MINESHAFT)
3  HARRIET IN CHARGE Jul12         (mitchell )IRONEYES R 119 10.00    
  (by JESS MO out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
4  FORZA ROAD Aug17 Apr10       (domin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 4.00    
  (by MO FORZA out of EDGEHILL ROAD by OLD FORESTER)
5  FOREVER N LOVE         (dominguez jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by OM out of SEA ROYALTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
ELK-5   08/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYIN A THIRST Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Apr10 (doming)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of EDAMAME by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR  BLAZING VALERIE Aug29         (dominguez)IRONEYES R 117 10.00    
  (by POINT ENCOUNTER out of SMOKIN VALENTINE by WESTERN FAME)
3  DEEP CREEK STORM Aug16 Jul05 Sep20 Aug16   (carter rona)CERVANTES OSCAR 122 4.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of YEREVAN STORM by TACTICAL CAT)
4  SWININGDWNTHELN Aug23 Aug17       (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of CINDYS SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
5  GRIZZLED Aug23 Aug16 Aug02 Jun29 Jun15 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 122 8.00    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of HANNAH GOT EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  VEGUITA Aug10 Jul27 May24 May17 May03 (nolazco jesus)ALAYA ERIC 124 10.00 5% 17.20    
  (by TOUCHDOWN KY out of ZOOM TO THE TUNE by HERE COMES CHARLIE)
 
ELK-6   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTER QUICK Aug17 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Aug23 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00    
2  SIZE LORD Aug23 Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 Jun14 (vickery bret)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00 11% 7.80    
3  DISCO DANZING Aug23 Aug16 Aug09 Jul20 Jul13 (luna cesa)JENSEN P 124 8.00    
4  CHUMLY Aug17 Jul05 Sep10 Aug10 Jul02 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RIVER TIBER (IRE) Aug15 Aug09 Jul27 Jul20 Jul06 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 2.50    
6  REGINALD AURELIUS Aug10 Jul13 Jun13 Jun07 May25 (theurer jos)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
 
ELK-7   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBYE NOW Aug23 Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun13 (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  JUST N JACK Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 May30 May16 (jensen mark)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00 6% 17.10    
3  HER LITTLE INDIAN Aug23 Aug16 Aug03 Jul19 Sep21 (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 125 2.50    
4  KIJANI Aug23 Aug15 Aug09     (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 125 10.00    
5  SCREAMING VIRGINIA Aug16 Jul26 Jun07 Jan14 Dec16 (mitchell ch)CERVANTES OSCAR 120 8.00 30% 2.30    
 
ELK-8   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR STUDDED BANNA Aug17 Aug03 Jul19     (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 117 6.00 9% 10.40    
2  KLOE'S LADYBUG Aug08 Jul20 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 (mccracken)JENSEN P 120 4.00    
3  CRONE ZONE Aug15 Jul26 Jun28 Apr23 Mar01 (amezcua ruben)GAMEZ M 125 3.50    
4  NON TOXIC Aug15 Aug09 Jul26 Oct27 Oct12 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 125 1.60 65% 0.50    
5  WILDCAT NEWLY Aug16 Aug31 Aug17     (livingston )CERVANTES OSCAR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TITO'S N KENZ Aug17 Apr28       (nolazco jesu)NUNNALLY BLAKE 120 2.00    
 
ELK-9   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATEST ATTRACTION Aug23 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (hadley jo)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
2  ADIOS MUCHACHAS Aug16 Aug09 Jul19 Apr29 Apr08 (mitch)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
3  SARI'S TIGER Aug16 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21   (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 124 2.50    
4  CRIMSON LADY Aug16 Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 Sep08 (scudde)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  CLIPPERVILE GIRL Aug08 Jul10 Jun28 Jun22 Jun08 (crystal d)JENSEN P 124 6.00    
6  HERE'S THE THING Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 Jun29 Jun22 (tschirgi bri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 1.60 ★    
7  IRISH PRANCER Aug16 Aug09 Aug02 Jun28 Jun21 (mitchell ch)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 4.00    
8  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Aug16 Jul26 Jun13 May24 Apr02 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.