Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00  3 $3.20 $1.20 60%
TIL-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.80 $3.80 63%
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUST GOTTA SHINE   (van d)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00 1.50  
  (by KLIMT out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
6  IT'S LATER BURT   (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 6.00 8.70  
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of NON PAREIL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
5  DOS ZENSATION   (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 124 2.50 0.50  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of ANGEL Z by ZENSATIONAL)
3  SENOR AT WAR   (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  COME ON AMP   (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  RED AND READY   (stewart l)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
 
TIL-3   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMOKENSILVER   (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 74% 0.30 0.60 W
5  MR MAKUNOUCHI   (mccracken ro)SMITH E 126 4.00 2.30  
4  DAD'S JUBILEE   (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 ★ 1.80 S
SCR  TREASURE MESA   (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 3.00    
SCR  WAITINGATTHEBAR   (birdrattl)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 4.50 ★    
 
TIL-5   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STEEL NERVES   (hurley de)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 8.00 2.30  
1  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN   (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.00 43% 1.30 0.50 P
5  JIM'S JET   (harshman )JENSEN P 126 3.50 1.80  
SCR  CAL   (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN   (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 2.50    
SCR  YANKEE PANKEE   (hoover cindy)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00    
 
TIL-7   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEFS LIL PEARL   (boyle mary)SAMUELS JAKE 126 8.00 23% 3.40 3.90 W
2  THE GREAT HAYNES   (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 1.50  
4  SOFIA STRONG   (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 5.00 3.20  
5  HERE'S THE THING   (stewa)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 4.00 27% 2.80 4.60  
6  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP   (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 14% 6.10 6.50  
7  BACALAR   (maelfeyt bruno)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 6.50  
SCR  BELLS AND WHISTLES   (pollard eli)SMITH E 126 2.50    
 
TIL-8   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CORN POP   (shiffer h)JENSEN P 126 2.50 1.30  
5  WITHEE   (abrahamson mar)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 34% 2.00 1.00 P
1  POLACCO   (cantrell ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00 24% 3.10 1.70 S
SCR  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO   (birdrattler )SMITH E 126 4.50    
SCR  SPEEDY TOM   (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.