Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TIL-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
TIL-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TIL-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TIL-8   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-1   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED AND READY Jul10 Jun29 Oct07 Sep23 Jul13 (stewart l)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
SCR  COME ON AMP Jun29 Apr03       (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
3  SENOR AT WAR Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 Sep23 Jun16 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  JUST GOTTA SHINE Jul18 Jun28 Jun06 May18 Mar06 (van d)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of ADJUST by AFFIRMED)
5  DOS ZENSATION Jul05 Jun22 May31     (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 124 2.50    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of ANGEL Z by ZENSATIONAL)
6  IT'S LATER BURT Jul10         (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 6.00    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of NON PAREIL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
 
TIL-3   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAITINGATTHEBAR Jul19 Jun01 May17 Mar25 Mar05 (birdrattl)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  TREASURE MESA Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun07 Aug10 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 3.00    
3  SMOKENSILVER Jul05 Jun29 Jun14 Oct14 Sep30 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 74% 0.30    
4  DAD'S JUBILEE Jun29 Oct20 Sep01 Aug10 Jul21 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 ★    
5  MR MAKUNOUCHI Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 Jun06 (mccracken ro)SMITH E 126 4.00    
 
TIL-5   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Jul11 Jun14 Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  CAL Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 Jul12 Jun23 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  YANKEE PANKEE Jun15 Oct07 Aug08 Jul11 Jun23 (hoover cindy)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00    
SCR  IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN Jul05 Jun29 Jun22 May09 Mar30 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 2.50    
5  JIM'S JET Jul09 Sep08 Aug04 Jul20 Jun21 (harshman )JENSEN P 126 3.50    
6  STEEL NERVES Jul10 Jun29 Jun14 Oct14 Oct07 (hurley de)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 8.00    
 
TIL-7   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Jul04 Jun22 Jun15 Sep29 Sep15 (boyle mary)SAMUELS JAKE 126 8.00 23% 3.40    
2  THE GREAT HAYNES Jun22 Jun08 May17 Mar30 Dec08 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
SCR  BELLS AND WHISTLES Jul11 Jun22 Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 (pollard eli)SMITH E 126 2.50    
4  SOFIA STRONG Jul26 Jul19 Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 5.00    
5  HERE'S THE THING Jul11 Jun29 Jun22 Jun07 Aug31 (stewa)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jul10 Jun28 Jun22 Jun14 Oct14 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 14% 6.10    
7  BACALAR Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 May24 May04 (maelfeyt bruno)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00    
 
TIL-8   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLACCO Jun28 Jun15 Oct14 Sep29 Sep15 (cantrell ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  SPEEDY TOM Jul05 Jun28 Oct13 Oct07 Sep29 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 2.00    
3  CORN POP Jun29 Apr22 Apr01 Mar19 Feb24 (shiffer h)JENSEN P 126 2.50    
SCR  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul27 Jul19 Sep06 Sep01 Jul28 (birdrattler )SMITH E 126 4.50    
5  WITHEE Jul05 Jun07 Oct14 Oct06 Sep30 (abrahamson mar)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.