Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.20 $5.20 87%
TIL-8   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-2   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S LATER BURT 1 1 22 2½   1nk 12¾ (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 3.00 4.80  
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of NON PAREIL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
4  COME ON AMP 4 3 12 1½   2nk 22¾ (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 58% 0.70 0.80 P
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
3  MORDIGAN 3 2 34 32   32 33 (dickinson jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 4.00 ★ 9.50 S
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
2  DOS ZENSATION 2 4 45½ 43   45 45¼ (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 124 3.00 4.10  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of ANGEL Z by ZENSATIONAL)
5  ONE BOLD BID 5 5 513½ 511   510 58 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 ★ 2.70  
  (by BLAME out of INDIAN VALLEY by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
TIL-4   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:032         1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUST GOTTA SHINE 3 3 1nk 1nk   12 12¾ (van debb)SAMUELS JAKE 124 2.00 1.00  
1  BIG TIME DUDE 1 4 53¼ 54   53¾ 22¾ (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.80 49% 1.00 2.90 P
4  TREASURE MESA 4 2 31 31½   22 33¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 5.00 5% 19.00 5.10 S
2  KIJANI 2 1 41¼ 42½   42¼ 45¼ (cox s)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00 6.10  
5  THIRSTY LOV 5 5 2nk 2nk   32 59¾ (maelfeyt bruno)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 24% 3.10 3.10  
 
TIL-5   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST OHBPA Sprint Purse ($7.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:011         1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAW THE FOUL 1 1 11 11   12 15 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 128 2.50 4.40  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of MAHEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  UPRIGHT 2 4 21 21   22 25 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 128 3.00 53% 0.90 1.60 P
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
3  AWESOME MOVE 3 3 32½ 44   45 38¾ (birdwell tena)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.60 1.30  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of I AM SARAH by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  AIN'T NO SISSY 4 2 42½ 34   35 49 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 128 4.00 8% 11.00 2.40  
  (by GOLD ALY out of MISSISISSY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SCR  TRIBUNAL LOVE               (birdrattle)CARLSON J 126 8.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of LE GRAND AMOUR by MONTJEU)
 
TIL-7   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST OHBPA Sprint Purse ($7.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:011         1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHRISTINE'S JACK 5 2 41¾ 3.2   1nk 14¾ (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 128 2.50 55% 0.80 4.60 W
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
1  ROMAN RUSH 1 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 24¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 128 3.00 20% 3.90 5.20 P
  (by ATREIDES out of LIVIA DRUSILLA by ROMAN RULER)
4  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE 4 3 2nk 1nk   32 36½ (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 128 4.50 3.50  
  (by WINNING CAUSE out of LEAPS 'N BOUNDS by VRONSKY)
2  RUN SNAPPY 2 5 31½ 41¼   44 414½ (lowe n)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 128 1.60 0.70  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FLORAL PARK by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  THIRSTY THURSDAY 3 4 56¾ 57¼   510 517¾ (birdrattle)CARLSON J 126 6.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BRILLIANT MELODY by CORNISH PRINCE)
 
TIL-8   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:024         1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TESSA (GB) 2 5 57½ 55   42½ 1¾ (lyons)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00 5% 19.00 3.00 W
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES 1 1 22 22   11 2¾ (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.50 4.50  
5  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN 4 4 33½ 33   21 31¼ (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.50 2.40  
4  SOFIA STRONG 3 3 68 68   64½ 42½ (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 5.00 6.10  
7  LOW DOSE 6 6 44½ 45   53½ 56¾ (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 3.00 65% 0.50 3.20  
6  MISCHIEF MAME 5 2 12 12   31 67½ (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 8.00 7% 13.40 4.10  
SCR  CHIEFS LIL PEARL               (boyle mary)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00    
 
TIL-10   08/09/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Slim Williams Memorial Purse ($7.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:59         1:59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOUNT PELLIAR 5 5 55 56½ 33 12 16½ (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 3.30  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of HURRICAN SOURCE by HURRICANE RUN)
1  MACCHIATO D'ORO 1 2 1½ 11 1½ 22 26½ (mendoza eloy)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 2.10  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ARABICA by WATER BANK)
6  SECRET SAGA 6 3 32½ 33 43 44½ 313¾ (harsh)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 5.00 4.00  
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of FORTY SOMETHING by FORTY WON)
3  SMILING GOODBYE 3 1 2½ 21 2½ 33 415¾ (peery de)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 126 2.50 59% 0.70 2.80  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of QUICKLY GONE by MUQTARIB)
4  COUNT ASHER 4 6 68 69½ 67 511½ 517¾ (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 6% 16.20 17.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELINVAR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  BUZZED BY A TIGER 7 7 711 714½ 713 615½ 618 (hurley de)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 126 12.00 11% 7.90 8.00  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of KADLEY by SILENT NAME)
2  TANGLEDUPINGREY 2 4 42½ 43 55½ 718½ 735¼ (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of GONE REBEL by MACABE)
 
TIL-11   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GET'EM TIGER 4 2 22 21   11 11½ (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 8.00 10% 9.00 1.70 W
1  SHESALILRUNAWAY 1 1 12 11   21 21½ (harris jo)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 8.00 3.60  
4  SARI'S TIGER 3 3 35 37   36 312¾ (cox jo)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 2.00  
2  TRULY FABULOUS 2 4 410 412   410 413¾ (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 1.60  
SCR  COWLITZ               (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP               (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 10.00    
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY               (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-12   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
1:023         1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTICIPATED 1 2 33 33   21 1hd (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 6.30  
4  TOO TALL TO CALL 4 3 1nk 12   11 2hd (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 ★ 0.80 P
2  MASTER RECOVERY 2 5 57¼ 58   54½ 35¼ (beckner t)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 2.50 71% 0.40 3.70 S
5  KEEN JAMES 5 4 43¼ 43   42½ 47½ (cox s)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
3  FULLY LOADED 3 1 2nk 22   32½ 59¼ (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00 5.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.