Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-2   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
TIL-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
TIL-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
TIL-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
TIL-8   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
TIL-10   WIN (3/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2)-(3/7/4/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
TIL-11   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TIL-12   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-2   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S LATER BURT Aug07 Jul10       (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 3.00    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of NON PAREIL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
2  DOS ZENSATION Aug07 Jul05 Jun22 May31   (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 124 3.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of ANGEL Z by ZENSATIONAL)
3  MORDIGAN Aug06 Aug07 Jun30 Jun22 Jun15 (dickinson jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 4.00 ★    
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
4  COME ON AMP Jun29 Apr03       (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
5  ONE BOLD BID Jun12 May23 Apr27 Mar01 Feb10 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 ★    
  (by BLAME out of INDIAN VALLEY by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
TIL-4   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME DUDE Jul05 Jun29 Jun15     (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.80 49% 1.00    
2  KIJANI         (cox s)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00    
3  JUST GOTTA SHINE Aug07 Jul18 Jun28 Jun06 May18 (van debb)SAMUELS JAKE 124 2.00    
4  TREASURE MESA Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun07 Aug10 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  THIRSTY LOV Jul10 Jun29 Sep02 Aug25 Jul26 (maelfeyt bruno)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
TIL-5   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST OHBPA Sprint Purse ($7.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAW THE FOUL Jul19 Jul13 Jun08 Apr18 Mar30 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 128 2.50    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of MAHEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  UPRIGHT Jun14 May25 May04 Apr14 Mar23 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 128 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
3  AWESOME MOVE Jul20 Jun28 Jun14 May11 Aug09 (birdwell tena)SAMUELS JAKE 126 1.60    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of I AM SARAH by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  TRIBUNAL LOVE May17 Apr27 Mar10 Jan30 Jan14 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 126 8.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of LE GRAND AMOUR by MONTJEU)
5  AIN'T NO SISSY Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 Sep13 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 128 4.00 8% 11.00    
  (by GOLD ALY out of MISSISISSY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
TIL-7   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST OHBPA Sprint Purse ($7.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN RUSH Jun29 Jun15 Jun07 Oct07 Sep16 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 128 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by ATREIDES out of LIVIA DRUSILLA by ROMAN RULER)
2  RUN SNAPPY Jun15 Sep29 Sep09 Jul20 Jun23 (lowe n)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 128 1.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FLORAL PARK by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  THIRSTY THURSDAY Jul27 Jul20 Jul12 Jun01 May18 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BRILLIANT MELODY by CORNISH PRINCE)
4  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Jul05 Jun22 Oct06 Sep23 Sep16 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 128 4.50    
  (by WINNING CAUSE out of LEAPS 'N BOUNDS by VRONSKY)
5  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Oct12 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 128 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
 
TIL-8   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Aug07 Jul04 Jun22 Jun15 Sep29 (boyle mary)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00    
2  BELLS AND WHISTLES Jul11 Jun22 Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.50    
3  TESSA (GB) Jul10 Jul04 Jun08 May30 May09 (lyons)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOFIA STRONG Aug07 Jul26 Jul19 Jun07 Oct14 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 5.00    
5  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Aug07 Jul11 Jun14 Oct13 Oct06 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
6  MISCHIEF MAME Jul10 Jun28 Jun14 Oct07 Sep15 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 8.00 7% 13.40    
7  LOW DOSE Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 Oct26 (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 3.00 65% 0.50    
 
TIL-10   08/09/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Slim Williams Memorial Purse ($7.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACCHIATO D'ORO Jun29 Jun08 Apr30 Apr19 Mar31 (mendoza eloy)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ARABICA by WATER BANK)
2  TANGLEDUPINGREY Jun28 Jun15 Apr05 Feb23 Jan26 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of GONE REBEL by MACABE)
3  SMILING GOODBYE Jul13 Jun13 May10 Apr19 Mar20 (peery de)GUGLIELMINO KASSIE 126 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of QUICKLY GONE by MUQTARIB)
4  COUNT ASHER Jul04 Jun28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 6% 16.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELINVAR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  MOUNT PELLIAR Jun21 Jun07 May18 Feb15 Jan26 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of HURRICAN SOURCE by HURRICANE RUN)
6  SECRET SAGA Jul11 Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 Oct14 (harsh)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 5.00    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of FORTY SOMETHING by FORTY WON)
7  BUZZED BY A TIGER Jun28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug24 (hurley de)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 126 12.00 11% 7.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of KADLEY by SILENT NAME)
 
TIL-11   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESALILRUNAWAY Jul10 Jun28 Jun15 Oct13 Sep29 (harris jo)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 8.00    
2  TRULY FABULOUS May05 Apr14 Mar23 Feb24 Feb09 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
SCR  COWLITZ Jul04 Jun22 Jun15 Oct14 Oct07 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 64% 0.60    
4  SARI'S TIGER Jul04 Jun21       (cox jo)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00    
5  GET'EM TIGER Jul10 Jul04 Jun14 Sep01 Aug10 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY Jun28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Aug07 Jul10 Jun28 Jun22 Jun14 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 10.00    
 
TIL-12   08/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTICIPATED Jun22 Jun08 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 3.00    
2  MASTER RECOVERY Jun22 Jun15 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 (beckner t)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 2.50 71% 0.40    
3  FULLY LOADED Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 Aug08 Jun23 (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00    
4  TOO TALL TO CALL Jul11 Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr19 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00 ★    
5  KEEN JAMES Jul10 Jul04 Jun29 Oct14 Oct06 (cox s)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.