Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lethbridge
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-3   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $15.10 $7.10 89%
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $70.35 $58.35 486%
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-4-ALL $138.90 $114.90 479%
LBG-5   TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5-4 $16.35 $10.35 173%
Simulator Race results
 
LBG-2   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TEEMANS FLAIR 4 1 21 21   11 12¾ (brown alle)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 9.50  
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
7  MAGICAL TAP IN 6 5 76 55   32 22¾ (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00 1.30  
  (by RALIS out of MAGIC VIXEN by TAPIT)
6  SIKSIKA SHARKIE 5 2 42 44   43½ 37¼ (calfrobe shawn)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 30% 2.30 4.75 S
  (by GOLDEN RIDGE out of LITTLE BOPPIN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  TIMMY DANCER 1 6 54 65½   55 49¾ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 12.00 6.55  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
4  LITTLECHILD 3 7 66 76½   66 514 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 35% 1.80 2.65  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHITEY'S GOLD by PETIONVILLE)
3  CAPE FOREST 2 3 11 11   21 615¼ (mead col)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CANDALIER by OLD FORESTER)
8  B B CITI STORM 7 4 31½ 32   78 730 (mcconaghie shaw)NELSON RYAN 124 12.00 7% 12.80 42.00  
  (by CITIDELLINO out of ELUSIVE STORM by HURRICANE CENTER)
SCR  SIZZLIN ROSE               (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.80    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
 
LBG-3   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPORT COAT 3 4 43 46   31 12¾ (fike jordie)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 15% 5.80 6.55 W
4  IMPERIAL GO BOY 4 6 613 510   53 22¾ (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 22.75 P
8  TOLEDO ROCKET 6 3 11 12   1½ 32¾ (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00 3.90  
6  QUALITY GRANDSON 5 1 21 22   2½ 43¼ (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 19% 4.20 5.00  
1  MIRRORED 1 2 32 34   42 56¼ (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.60 0.70  
2  FLYING SUN 2 5 59 618   66 612½ (constant gordo)POWELL ANDRE 124 7.00 12.95  
SCR  KITON               (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  NICE BOOTS               (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 15.00    
 
LBG-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:103         1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BERNALINHO 2 6 72¼ 56   34 13½ (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.00 21% 3.80 1.25 W
3  FULLOUT FIRE 3 7 83¼ 67   44 23½ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 28.85  
5  WEAR THE CROWN 5 2 1½ 11   13 34 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.40 S
8  DROP A CARIBOU 8 3 31 32   23 44½ (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.80 23% 3.30 1.55  
7  SPEEDING STYLE 7 4 52 43   55 55 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 25% 3.10 9.15  
6  AMERICAN POSSE 6 8 2½ 21   67 67½ (fike cai)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00 14.55  
4  SILENT DECLARATION 4 1 62¼ 78   710 715½ (birdrattler)EDWARDS A 124 12.00 44.00  
1  REDDISH 1 5 42 8100   8100 8100 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 12.30  
 
LBG-5   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bullys Futurity Purse ($10.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:103         1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OKI 3 1 11 11   13 11¾ (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 34% 2.00 0.50 W
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
5  SNOW GHOST 5 5 55 45   34 21¾ (magnuson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 25% 3.00 4.25 P
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
4  ITALIAN GRIZ 4 3 21 21   23 35½ (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.65 S
  (by FED BIZ out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
1  MERT'S TREE LOT 1 4 44 55   55½ 48¼ (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.00 4.70  
  (by IT'S A DANZIG out of MISTY DO IT by MISTER DO IT)
2  THAT LITTLE LADY 2 2 32 32   45 58¼ (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 10.30  
  (by FED BIZ out of EVENT OF DEFAULT by HARD SPUN)
 
LBG-6   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
1:101         1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHRISTINE'S JACK 4 6 21 2nk   11 12½ (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 18% 4.70 3.15 W
5  CONRADO 5 8 85¾ 87   87½ 22½ (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 1.40 59% 0.70 1.60 P
2  ALTITUDE 2 5 54 4¼   43½ 33½ (cameron dean)SIMPSON W 124 8.00 19.60  
6  YOLA 6 7 31½ 3.2   21 44¼ (ferguson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 8.20  
1  PERFORMATIVE 1 4 64 64½   66½ 57 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.35  
3  GRAY LIKE ALEX 3 1 11 1nk   32 67¾ (mcconaghie )GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
8  AGENT C 8 3 75½ 76½   77½ 710 (oberholtzer d)FUENTES FREDY 124 5.00 10.05  
7  LITTLE CASINO 7 2 42 54¼   55½ 810¼ (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 7.00 9.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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