Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-2   WIN (4/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/3)-(4/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/3)-(4/6/8/3)-(4/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/3)-(5/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LBG-3   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-4   WIN (7/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5)-(7/8/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-6   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-2   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIZZLIN ROSE Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.80    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
2  TIMMY DANCER Aug31         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
3  CAPE FOREST Sep15 Sep01 Aug17     (mead col)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CANDALIER by OLD FORESTER)
4  LITTLECHILD Aug24         (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHITEY'S GOLD by PETIONVILLE)
5  TEEMANS FLAIR Aug03 Sep23 Sep10 Aug29 Aug01 (brown alle)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
6  SIKSIKA SHARKIE Aug18         (calfrobe shawn)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GOLDEN RIDGE out of LITTLE BOPPIN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  MAGICAL TAP IN Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jun26 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00    
  (by RALIS out of MAGIC VIXEN by TAPIT)
8  B B CITI STORM         (mcconaghie shaw)NELSON RYAN 124 12.00 7% 12.80    
  (by CITIDELLINO out of ELUSIVE STORM by HURRICANE CENTER)
 
LBG-3   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRRORED Sep29 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.60    
2  FLYING SUN Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jul16 Jul01 (constant gordo)POWELL ANDRE 124 7.00    
3  SPORT COAT Sep28 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun28 (fike jordie)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
4  IMPERIAL GO BOY Sep29 Sep21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KITON Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19 (cameron )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
6  QUALITY GRANDSON Sep21 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 Jun23 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  NICE BOOTS Jul20 Jul07       (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 15.00    
8  TOLEDO ROCKET Aug10 Jul13 Mar06 Feb10 Jan06 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
 
LBG-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDDISH Oct06 Sep14 Sep02 Aug18 Aug04 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
2  BERNALINHO Oct06 Sep22 Sep14 Aug17 Aug10 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  FULLOUT FIRE Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug11 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
4  SILENT DECLARATION Sep22 Sep08 Jul28 Jul20 Jul13 (birdrattler)EDWARDS A 124 12.00    
5  WEAR THE CROWN Oct06 Sep07 Sep01 Jun29 Jun01 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMERICAN POSSE Sep15 Aug31 Aug24 Aug17 Aug05 (fike cai)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
7  SPEEDING STYLE Sep28 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug04 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
8  DROP A CARIBOU Sep28 Sep09 Aug28 Aug20 Jul23 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
 
LBG-5   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bullys Futurity Purse ($10.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERT'S TREE LOT Sep07         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 4.00    
  (by IT'S A DANZIG out of MISTY DO IT by MISTER DO IT)
2  THAT LITTLE LADY Sep07 Aug10       (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of EVENT OF DEFAULT by HARD SPUN)
3  OKI Sep13 Aug10 Jul17     (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
4  ITALIAN GRIZ Sep07 Aug31 Aug10     (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
5  SNOW GHOST         (magnuson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
 
LBG-6   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFORMATIVE Sep29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALTITUDE Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug17 (cameron dean)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
3  GRAY LIKE ALEX Aug20 Aug05       (mcconaghie )GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHRISTINE'S JACK Sep29 Jul28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
5  CONRADO Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
6  YOLA Oct05 Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug14 (ferguson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
7  LITTLE CASINO Sep28 Aug25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 7.00    
8  AGENT C Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (oberholtzer d)FUENTES FREDY 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.