Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(2/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/1/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5)-(2/7/4)-(3/9/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(3/9/5/2)-(3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2)-(3/9/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/5/2)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5/2)-(3/4/7)-(2/8/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(2/8/5/3)-(3/10/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/3)-(3/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/6)-(3/10/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/6)-(3/10/4/9/6)-(3/10/4/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   10/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MASHIGINA         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LANTIZ by TIZWAY)
FELONIOUS         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by CHARLATAN out of CRIMINAL MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
LIKENESS Aug07         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of GUCCI GULCH by GULCH)
UNCLE ALDO Aug23 Aug02       (d'angelo jose )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of JETMORE by RUNHAPPY)
BROOKLYN STYLES Oct07 Aug29 Aug01     (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
ENDERNITE         (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of HESSONITE by FREUD)
 
BAQ-2   10/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KULEANA Sep26 Aug31       (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WOW by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
TWIRLING LAD Sep26 Aug30 Jul31     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 73% 0.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KERRY GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
TIM AND SAM Sep26 Aug15 Jul16     (de h)SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of BUDDY'S MEMORY by LEMON DROP KID)
ZIP FOR RICK Sep26         (legall ric)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 30.00    
  (by CUPID out of SPEEDY ANALYSIS by CITY ZIP)
YOU'RE LOOKIN GOOD Sep25 Aug30       (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
FAZZONE         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
  (by GAME WINNER out of WARRANTY by ARTIE SCHILLER)
REIGN IT IN Sep26         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of ALL OVER THE MAP by LIAM'S MAP)
SCR  THE OBLITERATOR Sep25 Sep13 Jul31 Jul06   (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ETERNAL GRACE by GILDED TIME)
SCR  TALK TO ME JIMMY Sep26         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80    
  (by MOON PROSPECTOR out of GOLD NATIVE by KISSIN KRIS)
 
BAQ-3   10/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF ESTHER Sep18 Aug23 Aug13 Jul31 Jun12 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
CHA CHA WREN Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Nov24 Oct17 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
FURRY FOX Jan16 Nov21 Sep20     (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
ANOTHER CLEESHAY Aug24 Aug06 Jul11 Jun20 Jan11 (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
THAT'STHEFACTJACK Aug31 Jul31 Jul10 Jun12 May11 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 7% 13.80    
HANDLE ON YOU Sep25 Aug31 Aug06 Jul31 Jul10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 10.00 11% 8.30    
TOXIC GIRL Sep18 Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 May24 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
SCR  TWIRLY Sep14 Aug01 Jun22 May15 Apr24 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILD MAMA Nov02 Sep15       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
WITH THE ANGELS Nov17 Oct27 Sep22 Aug22   (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  SPORTING LADY Oct05 Aug23 Jul30 Jul09 May30 (brion keri)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
LOOKS FIRST Sep11 Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 Jun27 (samsundar rosh)LUZZI J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SARIR Aug24 Jul19 Jun26 Jun07 May09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
PRACTICAL LOV Sep21 Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 Apr16 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50    
FILLY CRYSTAL Oct03 Mar29 Apr30 Apr06 Mar09 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
BAQ-5   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAFFLE Apr30         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLEASE FLATTER ME by MUNNINGS)
FULL OF TACT Sep12         (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TACITUS out of FONTANNE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MS SOPHISTICATION Sep20         (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 36% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIVINE ELEGANCE by UNCLE MO)
SARATOGA PARTY Aug16         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of DELAVIE by UNION RAGS)
QUIDDITY (IRE) Aug28         (tagg bar)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 21% 3.90    
  (by DIESIS (GB) out of THE STRAND (GB) by GONE WEST)
SHILLING Sep20         (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of POUNDS TO PENNIES by EXCHANGE RATE)
TIZ THE LADY         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MEDIA MADNESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
BACKSTREETS         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BLOOD CURDLING by FED BIZ)
BRITAIN         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by TIZNOW out of LACADENA by FASLIYEV)
 
BAQ-6   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY Sep14 Aug07 Jun21 May26 May02 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50    
SPUN SIZE Sep14 Aug15 Jul27 Jun12 May11 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SAILAWAY Sep25 Jul31 Jul16 May30 May18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
CARARRA Oct09 Sep11 Jun22 May26 Mar15 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 30% 2.40    
SHE'S COMPLICATED Sep18 Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
SIGHT TO SEE Sep11 Apr23 Feb15 Dec29 Dec13 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
MEG'S FOXY GREY Aug07 Jul05 Jun13 May15 Apr25 (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MELLE MEL Sep14 Aug13 Jul20 Jun12 Apr12 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTIVE ORDER Aug03 Jun08 Apr26 Dec07 Oct05 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
NIAGARA SKYLINE Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Jun01 (charalambous jo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
HILARIOUS AFFAIR Sep09 Aug01 Jul03 Apr09 Mar22 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FINESTKIND Sep12 Aug13       (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
WINNEBAGO (IRE) Sep04 Aug07 Jul05     (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  NO EVIDENCE Aug10 Jul13 Apr18 Mar22 Feb16 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
FORE HARP Sep13 Aug15 Jul19 Jun06 May17 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 123 8.00    
INNATE (IRE) Sep18 Aug10 Jul16 Oct28 Jun11 (antonacc)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
ALAN TURING Sep14 Aug16 Jul20 Jun29 May18 (quick patri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
SCR  GEORGIA MAGIC Aug31 Jul27 Jun27 Apr06 Feb14 (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  COMPLEX MUSIC Sep12 Aug18 Jun27 May18 Apr23 (chichakly)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSIDER ME FIRST         (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of NOT UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
TAKE HOME GOLD         (duarte j)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CRIMSON MAPLE by RAHY)
BELLE OF GEORGIA (IRE) Sep18         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of CHICA WHOPA by OASIS DREAM)
MIS BRUNELLAS Aug28         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FAROFA by TIZNOW)
JUST ALOOF         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ALOOF by GALILEO)
JUST TELL ANNE Aug31         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KISS THE GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  GREAT ACTRESS Sep20 Aug28 Aug06 Jun29   (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by FORTUNATE PROSPECT out of STAGEDOOR FRANNY by DEFENSIVE PLAY)
KAFFEINATE (GB)         (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 10.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of SURCINGLE by EMPIRE MAKER)
MARKET HOURS Aug28         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENCHANTED SUNRISE by VERRAZANO)
10  FONZI ANGEL Aug21 Jul24       (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00 28% 2.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DURGA DEVI by GALILEO)
SCR  COME ON GET HAPPY Jul26         (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of BARN DANCE GAL by RAHY)
SCR  YEAR END BONUS         (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
  (by BROAD BRUSH out of CHRISTMAS GIFT by GREEN DESERT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.