Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - September 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2)-(6/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/2)-(6/3/2/5)-(5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/5)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/5)-(5/6/2)-(3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/1/2)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/5/2)-(1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/2)-(5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/6/1)-(5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKHAMIAN Sep18 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul17 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
VINCENZINO Sep09 Aug26 Jun18 May27 May08 (castillo jabd)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTURE MI Sep08 Aug18 Jul02 Jun12 May17 (vlaun man)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 5.00 12% 7.50    
FAT DADDY Sep08 Aug29 Jul15 Jun30 Jun10 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
CHARGER Aug18 Jul02 Jun12 May26 May08 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
DON'T CROSS JACK Sep11 Aug13 Jul03 Jun10 May06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
MAJESTIC FLAG Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 May08 Oct22 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO MUCH STYLE Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (morales s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 8.00    
STYLE IN TIME Apr06 Jan17 Jan03 Dec20 Nov20 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.50 7% 12.40    
GEEGEE'S STORY Sep15 Jun29 May18 Apr10 Mar06 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
FREEDOM PRINCESS Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jul07 (morales m)PEREZ A 115 15.00    
RED DELICIOUS Apr01 Feb28 Jan07 Sep22 Jul29 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHAPTER AND VERSE Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jun21 Apr04 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 48% 1.10    
DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
 
TDN-3   09/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHY TOO Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 Jul14 Jul03 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
KRABI Sep08 Aug18 Aug06 Jul08 Aug14 (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIONA Sep17 Aug18 Jul14 Jun18 May26 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 123 6.00    
ELIKA Feb06 Jan27 Jan08 Dec12 Dec03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 36% 1.70    
PASSIONFORTREASURE Aug05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul02 May22 (lopez enr)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-4   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDS N DEW Sep07 Aug24 Jul25 Jun15 May25 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 4.00 12% 7.60    
CHILLVILLE Sep16 Jun23 Jun07 Nov16 Oct23 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Sep15 Aug29 Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
DOLCE MARIE Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jun26 (genovese ric)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 5.00    
POWER BANKER Sep08 Aug07 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.50    
DANCE DRAMA Jul08 Jun18 May28 Apr23 Mar03 (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
 
TDN-5   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO JAKES Nov18 Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 Aug12 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
BOOGIE BOOGEE Sep16 Jul08 Jun16 May19 Apr23 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 6% 16.30    
LADY FORTUNE Sep01 Aug18 Jul08 Jun02 May03 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00    
MISSION GIRL Sep22 Aug29 Aug12 Jul01 Jun18 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
HIGH FIRE Sep08 Aug18 May08 Apr05 Mar10 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 3.00 14% 6.20    
KAT TRAX Jun26 Jun07 Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.00    
SCR  CITY SIGNS Jul01 Jun16 May08 Apr22 Apr09 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMANIAC Sep08 Aug20 Aug07 Jul01 Jun18 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
RAINBOW SHIP Sep08 Aug29 Sep09 Jul30 Jul03 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 123 15.00 7% 14.20    
DANZA MAGIC Aug20 Aug07 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
THE KID'S PRAYER Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00    
SCR  BOX STEP Aug20 Aug07 Jun27 May18 Apr24 (yoder d)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80    
 
TDN-7   09/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUNDBALL ROCK Sep17 Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00 8% 11.80    
FINISTERE Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jun19 Jun11 (sondej amy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
AURA OF GOLD Sep08 Aug18 Jul02 Jun10 May17 (madrigal rodri)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
GAMBOLING GHOST Sep12 Aug28 Aug20 May19 May06 (dacosta jason)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
THANKS FRANK Sep18 Jun24 Jun04 May17 Apr18 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-8   09/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PITTSBURGH May26 Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Sep26 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 1.80    
CUGINE Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 May22 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 123 4.00    
NOT YET CHARLIE Sep08 Aug29 Jul16 Jun25 Nov18 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
LEMON CREEK LOUIE Sep10 Jul05 Jun20 May24 Nov15 (canegata j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Sep03 Aug05 Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 56% 0.80    
WILL E SUTTON Sep08 Jun19 May30 Oct10 Aug23 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
AGNELLO'S DREAM Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Jul10 Jun27 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 123 15.00 12% 7.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.