Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(2/5/1)-(5/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/1/2)-(1/4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(9/2/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(9/2/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(9/2/7/8)-(8/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (9/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8)-(9/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/7/8)-(8/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/8)-(8/2/5)-(5/4/10/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/5)-(8/2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/2/5)-(8/2/3/5)-(8/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/2/5)-(5/4/10/7/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5)-(5/4/10/7/8)-(2/7/1/4/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/4/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/10/7/8)-(5/4/10/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/4/10/7/8)-(5/4/10/7/8)-(5/4/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/10/7/8)-(2/7/1/4/5) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/7/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4/5)-(2/7/1/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4/5)-(2/7/1/4/5)-(2/7/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   07/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR TITO'S Jul09 Jun23 Jun11 Mar22 Feb22 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 12.00    
SCR  FERRARI KID Jun29 Jun11 Jun02 May10 Apr14 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00    
SAMARITANO Jul03 Jun11 Apr25 Mar30 Oct18 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 6.00    
NIGHT RIDE Jul08 Jun17 May27 Mar28 Feb19 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 123 3.50    
I LUCKED OUT Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Mar21 Mar13 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
CASTAGNO Jul07 Jun24 May31 May22 Apr25 (brooks e)MARTINEZ W 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
CLASSIC KING Jul04 Jun17 May26 Apr27 Apr12 (skawinski a)GARCIA F 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   07/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THENAME OF THEGAME Jul04 Jun23 Feb08 Jan23 Dec01 (schaber debbi)DELGADO DAVID 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
GROWTH CAPITAL Jun11 May27 Apr30 Mar26 Feb28 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
CITY LEADER Jul04 Jun17 May28 Oct16 Oct02 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 123 6.00    
LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jul09 Jun23 Jun10 Oct08 Sep18 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 8.00    
TRUTH AND HONESTY Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 Mar26 Mar07 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
OSCARSSON Jul03 Jun25 May28 Apr16 Mar21 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.50    
SCR  YARDMAN Jul09 Jun23 Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 (musarro josep)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00    
 
PID-3   07/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT SUNDAY Jul02 Feb08 Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 (morey william )ALLEN D 123 2.50 18% 4.40    
Q F SEVENTY FIVE Jun30 May20 Apr18 Mar16 Feb22 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
DECLARED Jun23 May28 Aug21 Jul15 Jun24 (bourke john)MORALES PABLO 123 5.00    
ALEMAN Jul09 Jun17 May22 Apr09 Mar22 (jarvis k)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00    
HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Jul03 Jun23 May21 Mar30 Mar16 (connelly)GALLARDO A 123 1.20 38% 1.60    
 
PID-4   07/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S WREATH Jul07 Nov10 Sep28 Sep13   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
NELIDA Jul03 Jun10 Apr27 Apr02 Oct19 (gonzalez ald)AYALA J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
LA CREMA Jul07 Jun04 Oct24 Sep13 Aug24 (bondar e)MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
CURLIN'S GIRL Jun14 May17 Aug14 Jun22 May27 (rice lin)GALLARDO A 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
WHEREVER WE ARE Jul03 Jun10 May27 Oct06   (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLOAT AWAY Jul04 Jun23 May21 Oct24 Oct14 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 5.00    
WAITINGFORTHELIGHT Jun17 May19 Mar22 Feb13 Jan17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
ANHINGA Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 Mar07 Jan29 (connelly teresa)MARTINEZ W 118 4.00    
 
PID-5   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME TO MAMA Jul08 Jun10 May26 Apr27 Mar29 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 123 5.00    
KITTY KITANA (GB) Jun13 May17 Mar17 Jan23 Dec13 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
MITOLE MAGIC May21 Oct21 Sep16 Jul30 Jun17 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
SCR  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Jun27 Oct21 Oct03 Jul16 Jun25 (mcclella)GALLARDO A 123 8.00    
TRIAL Mar19 Feb14 Jan01 Dec05 Nov06 (drury jr)MARTINEZ W 123 2.50    
MY JANNET Jul15 Jul07 Jun02 May02 Apr09 (kleine l)GARCIA F 125 12.00    
I RECALL May27 May08 Apr12 Sep26 Sep09 (bourke john)ALLEN D 123 8.00 6% 16.40    
FROLIC IN THE PARK Aug12 Jun11 Mar09     (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT NOW Jul08 Jun10 May19 Mar22 Feb27 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
PID-6   07/28/2025 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMIKAMI Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May27 Oct09 (baez n)AYALA J 119 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of COURAGE AND INTENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
RUSTY MY BROTHER Jul21 Jul08 Jun23 Oct07 Sep17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of ESTAPRIMO by PRIMAL STORM)
JEANNE MARIE Jun27 Apr28 Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 119 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BOUQUET OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SUSANOO Jun18 Jun03 Oct16 Aug06 Jul23 (baez n)BELISARIO JUAN 119 50.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of COURAGE AND INTENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jul02 Jun23 Oct07 Sep26 Sep17 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALPHA out of LADY CARSON M D by LORD CARSON)
SCR  FOXY JUNIOR Jul15 Jun14 May12 Nov09 Oct12 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 119 1.80    
  (by CUBA out of FOXY DRUMMER by FLATTER)
CORINNA Jun27 Sep14 Aug24 Jul26 Jun15 (matz r)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of MIDNIGHT RAMBLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CANDY REWARD Jun23 Mar07 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 1.60 64% 0.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
PID-7   07/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HECTOR Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Mar15 Oct21 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 10.00    
SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Jul02 Oct03 Aug06 Jul10 Oct18 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 15.00    
TODDCHERO Jul07 Jun04 May01 Apr10 Feb22 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
YOU BET A FORTUNE Jul02 Jun09 Apr20 Oct12 Aug11 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 125 5.00 27% 2.70    
URBAN LEGEND Jun06 Apr30 Apr09 Feb28 Nov15 (d'angelo)RODRIGUEZ O 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
SCOOT DADDY Mar05 Feb21 Jan16 Dec12 Oct19 (bernardini jay)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00    
SPIRITED SOL Jul02 Jun04 May21 Sep20 Aug31 (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT GOAR Jul02 Jun04 Apr05 Mar10 Jul15 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BLESS AMERICA Jun21 May24 Apr26 Apr03 Oct15 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 123 12.00    
10  DIAMOND DUST Jul07 Jun11 May21 Oct26 Sep20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
PID-8   07/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITZA KITTY Jul14 Jun25 May18 Apr17   (rice lin)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50 13% 6.60    
BUCCHINI Jul14 Oct19 Sep21 Aug23   (guciardo)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
MY ANGEL DOES Jul14 Jun02 Mar01 Feb12 Jan04 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00    
N K P ONE         (russell rand)BELISARIO JUAN 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
CITIZENS QUEEN Jul14 Jun25 May03     (kleine l)GARCIA F 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PROBLEM KID Jul14 May14 Apr08 Mar25   (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
STARSHIP LEGACY Jul09 Jun30 Jun09     (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 125 4.50 25% 3.00    
STRAWBERRY SKY Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 May27 Oct23 (antus lawre)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 10.00    
SADIE WAR LADY Jun25 Jun03 Apr28 Oct02 Aug26 (thompson marc)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00    
10  FILLYRULES Jul04 Jun25 Jun10     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.