Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - May 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/1/5)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/4/1)-(7/9/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7/9/4)-(8/9/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/4)-(7/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9/4)-(7/9/4)-(7/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/9/4)-(8/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4)-(8/9/4/5)-(5/6/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (8/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/5)-(8/9/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/5)-(8/9/4/6/5)-(8/9/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/4/5)-(5/6/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/5)-(5/6/4/8)-(2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/8)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFECRACKER SUE May01 Mar07 Feb15 Feb07 Jan30 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  ARRIVEDERCCI May15 Apr24 Apr03 Jul11   (rivelli larry)FELIX E 118 3.00    
SCR  WAGGLE PASS May15 Jan03 Oct25     (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 4.00 14% 6.00    
ENTICING OPTION May01 Apr10 Mar30 Jan17 Dec21 (young r)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
WILD DREAMS May08         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00    
 
HAW-2   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. UNIVERSE May08 Sep13 Aug17 Jul10 Jun19 (perez man)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 8.00 15% 5.80    
ANCIENT MAN May15 Apr24 Apr17 Apr03 Mar27 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 6.00    
VANISKY May01 Feb28 Feb14 Feb03 Jan03 (simonovich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.60    
UNCAPTURED PULSE May08 Apr27 Apr03 Oct06 Sep05 (rosas rig)ULLOA JOAN 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Apr24 Apr17 Apr03 Feb13 Jan30 (rosas rigo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ICE AXE May15 Apr17 Apr06 Feb28 Jan02 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-3   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROARING VIXEN Apr27         (cristel j)FELIX E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TRAVELING TIGER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MARY MOONGLOW Apr22 Jun23       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00 68% 0.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LITTLE MISS RAELYN by SUPER NINETY NINE)
SCR  ESCOVEDO Dec13 Oct03       (rivelli la)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 4.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MS. SHORT FUZE by ZENSATIONAL)
OMAHA STAMP Sep07 Aug22       (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CLASSIC JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
LA REYNITA Apr27 Apr06 Mar19 Feb15 Jan17 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 118 2.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
BALLYBAY BEAUTY         (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of AFFAGATO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
HAW-4   05/22/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAASAI WARRIOR May03 Apr09 Mar04 Feb08 Jan17 (leonard ii)FELIX E 122 3.50    
SCR  EVEN THE WIND Oct13 Sep12 Aug22 Jul21 Jul06 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
LINE TO GAIN May04 Apr17 Mar27 Feb01 Jan17 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
NEW YEAR SURPRISE Sep05 Aug22 Aug04 Mar09 Feb12 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 20.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  FROSTY VIEW Apr27 Sep19 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 (berndt jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 15.00    
SCR  DOUBLE NEAT Mar29 Feb27 Feb06 Dec26 Nov04 (van tho)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
SHARP STICK May01 Apr10 Oct13 Sep26 Sep08 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 59% 0.70    
NATHANIEL'S HOPE Mar20 Mar05 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 (martinez j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
LITTLE STEVEN Apr17 Mar08 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
HAW-5   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRICAL VIEW May01 Jun16 May30 Oct18 Sep02 (divito p)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
SUPRISE ME AGAIN Sep29 Aug29 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 (block chris)FELIX E 122 12.00    
SECRET OPERATION May01 Apr10 Dec03 Nov13 Oct03 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  CLIQUE Apr22 Nov24 Sep24 Sep04 Jul27 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
THERDGOESONFOREVER Apr03 Mar21 Feb24     (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUNSET EXPRESS Apr27 Mar29 Mar13 Feb14 Jan11 (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00    
SCR  WORD GAME Dec13 Oct23 Oct08     (pompell r)TROXTELL BRITTANY 106 30.00    
SMOKED Apr29 Apr03       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
SWEET MUSIC (CHI) May01 Nov13 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 116 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
HAW-6   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Apr20 Apr03 Feb20 Jan30 Dec22 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00    
JOE THE TAILOR Oct13 Aug25 Jul18 Jun29 May25 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
EXCELLENT EMPIRE Sep23 Aug31 Jul13     (tracy tan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 116 15.00    
DICK BEST May03 Apr13 Jul07 Jun02 Apr21 (simonovich dani)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
GOLD SWEEP May01 Mar07 Dec14 Oct30 Sep14 (haran john)FELIX E 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
PLUNDER May04 Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MONDOGETSBUCKETS Apr20 Mar30 Jun30 May12   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50    
BALADINE Apr27 Apr10 Oct30 Oct10 Sep22 (poulos de)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   05/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE DEE KAY Apr27 Apr06 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
PHILIPSBURG (IRE) May04 Apr24 Oct19 Oct05 Aug25 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  BLOW TORCH Apr24 Mar14 Feb28 Jan19 Dec27 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
SHACKLEFORD STRONG May11 Apr26 Mar09 Jul14 Jun08 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50    
COALMINER'S KITTEN Apr24 Apr03 Nov02 Jun30 Jun08 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
SUPREMELY Apr24 Apr03 Mar06 Feb16 Jan30 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
SCR  FAITHFUL RULER Apr26 Aug29 Aug01 Jun10 May11 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
LUCKY SHOT Apr11 Mar02 Feb09 Oct06 Sep22 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.