Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - April 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/4/1)-(3/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(3/1/5/4)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(6/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(1/8/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(1/8/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMMEDAMONEY Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 (lecess)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
MAX FOSTER Nov20 Nov05 Oct23 Oct01 Sep11 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
MORTGAGE RATE Nov27 Nov20 Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
SMOOTH TALES Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 Aug21 Aug07 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BARFLY Nov20 Nov11 Oct29 Oct09 Sep03 (tho)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
SCR  INVALUABLE WILL Nov13 Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
CONFORMIST Nov26 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
FL-2   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIDOW Oct28 Sep26 Jul11 Nov20 Oct18 (housel tamara)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
TOAST TO SUCCESS Nov25 Nov06 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 124 2.00    
SWEET LILAC Mar29 Mar08 Jan25 Jan01   (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
CREWS IN TO WIN Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Sep10 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
LA INDECENTE Nov09 Oct24 Sep26 Jun20 May25 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
CRYSTAL Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 Sep11 Aug28 (mur)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
 
FL-3   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKING SOLO Nov12 Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 Sep04 (davis d)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY INSTEAD Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 Oct02 Sep02 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
BOBBY THE TANK Mar05 Feb25 Jan27 Jan15 Dec18 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
INDEPENDENT PAUL Mar08 Feb28 Feb06 Jan24 Jan05 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
MORE VINO Jan31 Jan16 Dec06 Nov21 Nov03 (mur)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00    
HAY HAY HARRY Nov25 Nov12 Oct30 Oct01 Sep17 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
 
FL-4   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A FREUD Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 Sep24 Sep09 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
DREAMERY Nov25 Nov13 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 118 8.00    
THE SHOE LADY Mar21 Jan17 Dec12 Oct20 Sep13 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
IXODES Nov26 Nov05 Oct02 Sep03 Aug19 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
REGENERATOR Nov19 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 (gutters)NAVARRO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
HILLBILLY LADY Nov19 Oct22 Oct02 Aug12 Jul01 (tho)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 5.00    
EQUINAMOUS Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 (dixon k)CRUZ JOEL 118 12.00    
BUSTIN TIME Nov21 Nov05 Oct11 Aug05 Jul04 (davis d)COA J 120 4.00    
 
FL-5   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN RUN RULE Mar01 Feb08 Jan18     (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 2.00    
M G DASH Jan10 Jan02 Nov27 Nov06 Oct04 (acquilano jame)COA J 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
BLOODHOUND Aug19 Aug05 May20 Oct10 Sep25 (dixon k)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
SWAY THE JURY Feb08 Jan18       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
PAINT THE LINE Nov27 Nov04 Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  YOHEDA MONEY MAKER Oct16 Oct08 Sep23     (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 120 10.00    
 
FL-6   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL LOVE Nov26 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Sep30 (lopez arcadio)PENA LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GONNA BE DANCING Mar15 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep25 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00    
PERUVIAN BOY Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Mar02 (gutterson katlynn)PEREZ E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Nov26 Nov05 Oct14 Sep03 Aug12 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Feb19 Jan30 Jan09 Nov20 Nov05 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 6.00    
COLLECTED SPECIAL Mar21 Feb14 Jan11 Dec15 Nov08 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 4.00    
COACH BAHE Nov20 Nov06 Oct21 Sep24 Sep02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
POT OF GOLD Nov27 Nov11 Oct29 Oct21 Oct02 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 6.00    
 
FL-7   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA BANKER Oct23 Aug28 Jul14 Jun19 May20 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50    
OLD MAN WINTER Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 Sep02 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 118 4.00 7% 12.40    
ALMOND CIDER Mar31 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 Nov26 (vasquez ramon)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUTTON BREEZE Nov05 Oct23 Oct14 Sep30 Sep11 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
LOOKIN' SUPER Dec30 Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
BREAKING STONES Nov11 Oct23 Oct08 Sep10 May22 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
OLAZABAL Apr09 Mar20 Sep24 Aug29 Jul19 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   04/29/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Mar08 Jan24 Oct28 Jan14 Dec08 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
THE SAXON STORY Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 Feb23 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
NOT TODAY GOVERNOR Oct02 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
FRONTAL VISION Feb23 Nov18       (dixon k)DIAZ J 120 15.00    
SCR  TIP OF THE BOOT Mar16 Jan26 Aug23 Jul21 Jul07 (henry n)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
AMERICAN DAY Nov27 Oct30 Oct16 Oct02 Sep06 (davis d)FRET STEVEN 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
ONE WITHEVERYTHING Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 5.00    
SUPPORT THE CAT Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 Aug26 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.