Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/7)-(3/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(3/4/7)-(6/2/3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(6/2/3/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(6/2/3/5/7)-(3/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/2/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5/7)-(6/2/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5/7)-(6/2/3/5/7)-(6/2/3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5/7)-(3/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(7/5/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/7)-(7/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE CAT Mar08 Dec18 Nov04 Sep26 Aug19 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
ARDIS Dec04 Nov11 Oct29 Jul31 Jun27 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 4.50    
CAT ATTACK Feb21 Oct13 Sep22 Aug22 Jul14 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
IZZY'S MONSTER Nov11 Oct06 Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 1.80 18% 4.60    
UNION DOLLY Feb26 Nov08 Sep22 Jul20 Dec21 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   04/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD TO BE PRINCE Apr03 Feb20 Jan30 Dec22 Dec07 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00    
CARAMBASO Apr03 Mar08 Feb02 Jan09 Dec19 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50    
VIA DEL CORSO Mar30         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
TAKEITAWAY Oct29 Oct06 Aug25 Jul14   (boyce michele)FELIX E 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
JOURNEY Oct29 Sep08 Aug11     (boyce michele)MOJICA O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MISSISSIPPI MAN Mar20         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
HAW-3   04/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Mar17 Mar05 Feb08 Dec28 Apr12 (jansen kenny)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
CITY OF CLOUDS Mar30 Feb28 Jan17 Dec18 Nov15 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 5.00    
ALL ABOUT TONITE Mar30 Feb17 Jan16 Dec26 Dec05 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 1.60    
SPANISH KISS Oct10 Sep21 Sep09 Aug23 Aug02 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Mar30 Mar06 Feb08 Jan04 Dec08 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
WE MISS ARLINGTON Apr03 Mar09 Feb14 Jan19 Dec26 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
EL MUCHO Apr03 Nov25 Oct24 Mar24 Dec07 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   04/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN DESTINY Mar22 Feb28 Dec28 Feb16 Jan20 (clay pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
LAVENDER EARL Apr03 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 (ramirez carlos)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
SOUL COAXING Dec05 Nov05 Oct10 Sep15 Aug15 (villa francisco)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
READTHECLIFFNOTES Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug08 Jul06 (boyce michele)MOJICA O 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
CATEGORY TEN Mar15 Feb21 Dec13 Nov20 Oct19 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.50    
SCR  CONI'S COUP Sep15 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May18 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
GLOBAL EMPIRE Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May26 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   04/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RODAVLAS         (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LA TIA by CITY PLACE)
MONDOGETSBUCKETS Mar30 Jun30 May12     (block chris)COHEN DAVID 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of MY MISS CHIFF by INTO MISCHIEF)
TAUNTING Oct03 Sep15       (block chris)COLON H 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
MELLIFLUOUS Mar28 Mar07 Jan12 Dec13 Aug29 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
T C GOLD Sep21 Sep07       (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 15.00 13% 6.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DANA'S LUCKY LADY by LUCKY LIONEL)
BRODY Sep19 Apr26 Apr13 Mar23 Mar01 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CINNIE by MARTE)
REGAINED POWER Apr10 Mar30 Feb13     (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REINA MARIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
STEELY EYE         (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
  (by STROLL out of WILD PENNY by CONGRATS)
HIGH PROBABILITY Oct10         (clay pat)MOJICA O 118 12.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of RUTH AND NEVA by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
HAW-6   04/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONGER TOGETHER Apr06 Oct10 Sep15 Aug18 Jul28 (campbell joel)REYES FRANK 122 4.00    
NILES CHANNEL Mar30 Mar06 Feb17 Dec28 Dec13 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00    
MCMONEY Jan26 Jan04 Dec12 Sep12 Aug29 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 56% 0.80    
CHAOS REIGNS Mar30 Feb14 Jan05 Sep26 Jun08 (divito p)FELIX E 122 3.50    
CODE RUNNER Apr06 Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 Sep15 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
CONTRABANDISTA Mar25 Feb24 Feb08 Jan23 Dec27 (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JET FLIGHT Sep08 Jul28 Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   04/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HONOR HIS HALF Mar30 Mar14 Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 116 2.50    
LITTLE SASS Oct31 Sep21 Sep05 Jun26 May16 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FREEDOM ATTACK Dec16 Sep29 Sep12 Jul25 Jun09 (rednour jr)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
LUNARCHY Mar30 Oct13 Sep29 Sep19 Sep08 (flores pe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00    
QUEEN ANNA T Mar30 Feb27 Feb01 Oct15 Sep29 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Mar30 Feb27 Jan29 Jan09 Dec21 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
FAST N HAPPY Apr06 Mar14 Feb27 Jan18 Dec19 (young ter)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.50 39% 1.50    
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Oct29 Oct15 Sep12 Aug27 Jul13 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.