Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - April 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/8/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/6/9/5)-(6/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/9/5)-(6/2/7)-(6/9/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(6/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(6/9/4/5)-(1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/5)-(6/9/11/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/5)-(6/9/11/4/5)-(6/9/11/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/4/5)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/5)-(1/3/2)-(4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/5/3)-(8/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(8/2/4)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-6   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(4/3/1)-(3/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/1/6)-(2/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHENTICATED Mar29 Mar02       (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 117 3.00 47% 1.20    
2  GIRL GONE WILD Mar22 Feb28 Feb02 Dec28   (magee kieron)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 6.00    
3  KAYA STAR Jan18 Nov27 Nov04     (magee kier)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 103 30.00    
SCR  SHAMELESS VISIONS Mar21 Feb28 Feb13 Jan15 Dec12 (shanley mar)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 30.00    
5  GOTTAHOPPERTUNITY Mar23 Feb09 Jan24 Dec21 Nov29 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAP TO THE MOON Mar30 Mar23 Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 5.00 7% 12.80    
7  BEHIND SCHEDULE Mar29 Mar02 Feb09     (smith hamil)BURNHAM MATILDA 106 8.00    
8  SHE GOT THE MUNNI Feb02 Nov28 Nov03 Oct11 Jul20 (mancil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.00 17% 5.00    
9  WICKED MELISSA Mar23 Mar02       (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  LORD'S LADY Mar14         (allen fer)DEL SARA 110 15.00    
 
LRL-2   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($63K) 3 F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHKHARA FIRE Mar28 Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 Jan17 (corrales)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 2.50    
2  GREAT ANDREI Mar08 Nov09 Sep11 Aug31 Aug14 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  MALIBU HOOCH Mar08 Feb07 Dec07 Nov16 Oct12 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 124 3.50    
SCR  FLAMING EYES Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan15 (st ur)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 30.00    
5  NOT TOO LATE Mar08 Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Nov09 (st uriah)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
6  SAFE TRUST Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 Dec07 Nov16 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
7  GREEN EYED MONSTER Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Sep15 Aug25 (robb john)CARRASCO R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY MISS JILL Mar28 Feb22 Jan19 Jan05 Dec14 (rodriguez r)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.00    
2  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Feb27 Jan27 Nov20 Nov08 Oct09 (meister willi)RODRIGUEZ YAN 119 15.00    
3  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Apr04 Feb19 Jan10 Dec28 Dec06 (leaf robert)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
4  BRAQUET Feb28 Feb19 Jan09 Dec07 Nov14 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWEET HEIDELBERG Apr04 Mar02 Feb15 Feb08 Jan26 (keefe timothy)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Mar01 Feb07 Jan26 Dec22 Dec06 (sanchez-sal)HAMILTON WESTON 123 3.00 62% 0.60    
7  THE HAUNTED ROOM Mar22 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 Nov08 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 112 20.00    
SCR  OUT OF LUCK Mar23 Mar01 Jan17 Dec29 Dec20 (smith jas)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
9  COAL MINE Jan26 Dec20 Dec07 Oct03 Sep15 (singh somra)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 4.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  DIVINE EXCHANGE Aug28 Aug08 Jul13 Jun26 May17 (kelly blake)CENTENO E 123 6.00    
11  AT FIRST SIGHT Mar22 Feb16 Dec28 Dec07 Aug11 (mancilla os)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-4   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 3 ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HACKSAW RIDGE Mar08 Dec22       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  TOP BLOOD Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 Feb08 Dec13 (corrales j)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  STRAIGHT TO WATER Mar30         (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 2.00 25% 2.90    
4  TETHERED SOUL Mar13 Sep19       (mcmahon hug)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 121 4.50    
5  CHANGE MY WORLD Mar23 Mar07 Feb14 Feb02 Dec15 (eppler mary)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00    
6  ROLL ON JESSE Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
 
LRL-5   04/12/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Native Dancer Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S MALIBU Feb21 Dec15 Nov28 Nov06 Sep14 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TONASAH by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  ARMANDO R Jan26 Dec27 Nov29 Oct18 Sep13 (dilodovico r)NO RIDER 120 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of ALPACA FINA by BIG BROWN)
3  FEELING WOOZY Mar08 Jan18 Dec27 Dec06 Nov15 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STORMY LOVE AFFAIR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  SPEEDYNESS Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.40 52% 0.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HARTIGAN by INCLUDE)
5  FILM STAR Jan25 Dec21 Oct26 Sep21 Aug03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.50 19% 4.20    
  (by FLATTER out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
6  CATALEYA STRIKE Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Dec21 Nov29 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of EIFFEL TOWER by SMART STRIKE)
 
LRL-6   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Heavenly Cause Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAILINTIN Feb15 Feb07 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of MANDOLIN by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  CATHERINE WHEEL Mar15 Feb02 Feb09 Nov03 Sep17 (brown c)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE Mar08 Dec21 Nov15 Oct12 Aug29 (beattie m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SUNDAY IN MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
4  OPUS FORTY TWO Feb08 Feb17 Jan13 Nov11 Sep29 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  VINCEY GIRL Mar12 Sep22 Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of GRACIOUS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  REGALED Feb16 Dec21 Nov30 Oct23 Aug31 (davis s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ASCOT WALK by DAAHER)
SCR  TAKETHEMONEYHONEY Mar15 Feb22 Jul10     (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 120 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of GOODONEHONEY by GREAT NOTION)
8  ROYAL SPA Feb15 Jan25 Dec21 Nov23 Oct13 (brisset ro)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  INTREPID DREAM Aug04 Jul24 May17 Apr13 Mar02 (capuano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of INTREPID TOUR by JUMP START)
SCR  ONCOURTCOMMENTATOR Jan18 Dec21 Oct27 Sep07 Aug18 (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CURLIN'S FOX by CURLIN)
11  SEA DANCER Apr05 Feb15 Dec21 Oct27 Sep28 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of CUYATHY by CONGRATS)
 
LRL-7   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Primonetta Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUDSLIDE Mar22 Feb26 Jan25 Dec14 Oct10 (deiter lyn)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SAN GREGORIA by FAIRBANKS)
SCR  B G WARRIOR Mar20 Mar01 Jan25 Dec14 Oct24 (brisset rod)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 6.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  ADMIRAL HOPPER Feb22 Oct18 Aug23 Aug09 Jun23 (nixon justi)HAMILTON WESTON 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of FLOWER CLASS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  FIRSTLADY ROSALYNN Mar13 Feb19 Nov27 Jun23 May15 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GRIS GRIS by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  ALL CLASS Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 Oct26 Sep07 (rice linda)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of COMMENTARY by THE FACTOR)
6  DISCO EBO Mar02 Feb06 Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 124 4.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
7  TIPPLE Feb23 Jan31 Aug14 Jul27   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
 
LRL-8   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Frank Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTOR IT IN Mar23 Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 May25 (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 120 15.00 12% 7.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  CIRCLE P Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  WORCESTER Mar01 Jan26 Dec27 Nov10 Aug04 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
4  NEW KING Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Dec08 Jan28 (russell t)NO RIDER 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HOLLYWOOD ROYAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  BARTLETT Nov09 Oct22 Sep25 Aug21 Jul08 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BRILLIANT SUNSHINE by SMARTY JONES)
6  SEVEN'S ELEVEN Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 Dec21 (mohan r)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
 
LRL-9   04/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST PEARL Mar29 Feb21 Feb01 Dec20 Oct02 (perri gina)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 8.00 7% 14.10    
2  MAGICALLY VANISHED Apr05 Feb14 Jun23     (frock charl)HAMILTON WESTON 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  UMBRAL Mar29 Mar08 Jan31 Dec24 Dec01 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 126 4.00    
SCR  STAR VENEZUELAN Mar29 Mar20 Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 (siculiet)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 113 6.00    
5  WHATSYOURBIGIDEA Mar29 Feb14 Nov17 Oct20 May09 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S A GEM Apr05 Mar22       (gonzalez cl)DEL SARA 115 15.00    
7  GHEE FOR THE WIN Feb14 Dec19 Nov02 Sep28 Aug30 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.