Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/4/6)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/4/3)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/5/6)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/3/5)-(5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/7)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(2/1/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(2/1/6/4)-(8/1/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(8/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/11)-(8/1/11/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/11)-(8/1/11/9/4)-(8/1/11/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM LOWKEY Sep23 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jun22 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GAVEL Feb16 Jan30 Dec12 Sep01 Jul31 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
MAMAS FIRE Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug31 Aug10 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
YO DAWG Oct03 Sep22 Aug29 Aug03 Jul07 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
STRANGE ARRANGE Oct13 Sep21 Aug25 Aug08 Jul14 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 1.40 27% 2.80    
 
HAW-2   04/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCELERATING BABE Mar09 Feb14 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (candelas blan)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50    
SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Mar08 Feb16 Dec27 Sep05 Aug17 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
DESSERT FIRST Feb16 Dec28 Nov29 Oct31 Oct06 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50    
DIAMONDS JOY Feb20 Jan26 Dec28 Dec16 Oct17 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
FAST N HAPPY Mar14 Feb27 Jan18 Dec19 Oct15 (young r)COLON H 122 5.00    
SISTER SWEDE Sep16 Sep01 Aug16 Jun17 May18 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-3   04/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTLASS KING Mar08 Feb16 Oct27 Oct03 Sep11 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of KISS THE KING by ROMAN RULER)
MISSED OPTION Feb21 Jan16       (young ter)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of THE BEST OPTION by PLEASANT TAP)
ALADANTE Dec04 Nov02 Oct10     (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of FLOWERS TEWMEY by COMMISSIONER)
OLIVERIO Mar20 Feb15       (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 8.00 17% 4.70    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SUGAR CURL by CURLIN)
BIGFOOT SIGHTING Mar30 Feb14 Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of VOYELLE by BROKEN VOW)
JUSTAWALKINTHEPARK Mar13 Jan27 Dec29 Dec07   (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 2.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of HEAVENLY JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
HAW-4   04/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER CHARMING Mar27 Oct19 Sep26 Sep08 Aug15 (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
DANVILLE Mar30 Mar03 Jan27 Dec18 Oct24 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 Jun09 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 3.50    
SCR  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Mar30 Oct10 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 8.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE Jan27 Jan07 Dec02 Nov06 Oct13 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SON OF GRACE Mar27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep15 Sep08 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   04/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAYLLEN RICHARD Jan09 Dec29 Dec06 Nov13   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 118 2.50    
BLACK RUSSIAN Sep19 Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 8.00    
MALIBU FINALE Mar30 Dec21 Nov02     (watkins m)FELIX E 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
RAYFIELD Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 Dec15 Nov24 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00    
MONEY AGENT Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jun08 May05 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 8% 11.40    
RAMESSES Mar27 Feb13 Jan23 Dec11 Nov06 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
HAW-6   04/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Dec01 Nov17 Oct01 Sep07 Aug20 (spraggins)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
SCR  UNCASHED Mar22 Feb13 Jan18 Jan04 Dec11 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50    
SCR  GLOBAL EMPIRE Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May26 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
SCR  GUANARE Feb12 Jan03 Dec07 May04 Apr06 (vanden ber)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
GOLDEN HORNET Mar30 Mar03 Apr06 Mar12 Feb25 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
IT'S BOBS BUSINESS Oct13 Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 Jul28 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
CORTESE Jan30 Jan05 Oct17 Sep12 Jun08 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 9% 9.50    
 
HAW-7   04/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE THUNDER Feb07 Dec13 Oct03 Sep01 Aug04 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
SIXWILLBERICH Feb26 Jan03 Nov27 Nov10 Oct18 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
SEMINOLE BEACH Dec11 Nov20 Oct31 Oct22 Oct05 (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
ICE AXE Feb28 Jan02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STRONGER TOGETHER Oct10 Sep15 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
CODE RUNNER Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 Sep15 Sep03 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
ROCKET HOTSHOT Mar06 Feb02 Jan10 Oct19 Sep22 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50    
 
HAW-8   04/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACQUEL BLUE Feb08 Jan19 Dec22     (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DIAMANTE DE FUEGO by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  MARY MOONGLOW Jun23         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LITTLE MISS RAELYN by SUPER NINETY NINE)
SCR  TRINITYTHREEINONE Sep26 Sep08       (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 118 15.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
FAITH HOPE N LOVE Oct31 Oct12 Oct03 Sep10 Aug24 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
CATNIP HILL Nov06 Oct18 Sep13     (horvath fr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 30.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
UNKEPT PROMISES Mar21         (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CHEERS DARLING by CUVEE)
SMILING BONITA Sep15         (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ACCOMPLISHEDSISTER by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SPINNING GLORY Mar22 Mar06       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 76% 0.30    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of JADED GLORY by SMART STRIKE)
VEGAS CONDO Feb17 Nov08 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  LA REYNITA Mar19 Feb15 Jan17     (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
11  STELLA BELLA Sep16 Aug16 Jul29 May24   (tracy tanner)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of KRISTELLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.