Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(3/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(3/1/4/2)-(7/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(2/8/1/3/4)-(5/4/9/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-6   WIN (2/8/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/3/4)-(2/8/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/3/4)-(2/8/1/3/4)-(2/8/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-7   WIN (5/4/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/8/1)-(5/4/9/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/8/1)-(5/4/9/8/1)-(5/4/9/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-8   WIN (8/10/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/1/7)-(8/10/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/1/7)-(8/10/6/1/7)-(8/10/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/1/7)-(3/7/1/10)-(7/6/1/8/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-9   WIN (3/7/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/10)-(3/9/7/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/10)-(3/9/7/1/10)-(3/9/7/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/1/10)-(7/6/1/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-10   WIN (7/6/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/8/9)-(7/6/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/8/9)-(7/6/1/8/9)-(7/6/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/05/2025 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOR TIGER PAW Sep21 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03   (bethke a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00    
2  HOG HEAVEN Mar15 May03 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 (lemburg mark)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 1.40 41% 1.40    
3  REAL AWESOME Mar29 Sep02 Aug09     (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 115 15.00    
4  CARPE GOLD Aug01 Jul04 Jun09 May18 Aug26 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 5.00    
5  SUBSEQUENT EVENT Feb23 Jul12 Jun15 May11   (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZEN WARRIOR Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Apr14   (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
7  STATE SCHOOL SMART Mar08 Jun10 Mar02 Feb09 Dec30 (schutz pa)IRONEYES R 125 1.60 33% 2.10    
 
FON-2   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P R CALL ME MAYBE Mar16 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 (martinez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of SWEDISH FESTIVAL by LION HEART)
2  ROWDY GALE Mar29 Jun22 Apr07 Mar09 Feb24 (red mason)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
  (by TWICE AS BAD out of NANCY NIGHTINGALE by MY HOME PHONE)
SCR  OH WHAT A MESS         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 51% 0.90    
  (by THE MESS out of BIFURCATION by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
4  WAR IS HELL Mar15 Jan28 Jan02 Nov13 Oct06 (homer jason)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 6.00 7% 12.50    
  (by OM out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
SCR  GUNS Mar15 Aug26 Jul29     (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STORMKEEPER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  CODE ONE Mar08 Jan04 Nov20 Nov05 Oct20 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 2.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
7  ACCEL JOE Jun15 Jun08 Mar02 Apr04 Feb25 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 120 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by DECIBEL out of ROYAL ACCEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
FON-3   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOIN OWEN Mar22 May03 Apr27 Apr13 Mar29 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 30% 2.40    
2  ROCKETSHIP RUN Mar22 Mar01 Aug31 Apr27 Apr14 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL ARE EM Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 Mar03 Oct29 (rushton stac)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00 35% 1.90    
4  WILLHE LOVE Mar21 Mar01 Sep21 Aug16 May03 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
5  ONE LUCKY BOY Mar22 Sep08 Aug31 Jul25 Jul07 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
6  TIZ BRIGHTER Mar22 Sep29 Sep14 Sep07 May11 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
7  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Mar22 Sep29 Sep14 Sep02 May11 (ness j)BAILON JADHIR 125 15.00    
8  LITTLEBIT DON Mar22 Mar23 Mar02 May20 Apr30 (rivera gr)IRONEYES R 125 2.50    
 
FON-4   04/05/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE HEART Mar21 Nov03 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
2  PEACH STREET Mar21 Feb23 Dec05 Sep27 Sep14 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
3  I THINK I KNOW YOU Sep26 Sep15 Sep08 Sep01 Aug19 (gonzalez isai )HISBY RONALD 125 4.50    
4  FIRENSPICE Aug03 Jul13 Jun27 May03 Apr22 (rushton stet)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 2.50 12% 7.40    
5  OUR CLOVER GAL Mar29 Mar21 Mar15 Mar08 Feb28 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 125 12.00 5% 17.40    
6  CHACHA TO CATALINA Mar21 Mar08 Mar02 Feb08 Jan28 (hibdon)BAILON JADHIR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  JILL'S LEMON DROP Mar29 Mar16 Oct11 Jun30 Jun02 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 59% 0.70    
8  P R GIRLFRIEND Mar28 Mar07 Sep28 Sep02 Aug17 (bobier bob)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00    
 
FON-5   04/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINGER RULES Mar23 Sep14 Aug11 Aug05 Jul26 (schutz pa)IRONEYES R 125 15.00    
2  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Mar23 Mar07 Sep21 Sep01 Jun29 (hawley joe)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
3  ROSIE'S BOY Mar07 Feb22 Oct26 Oct12 Sep21 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  AMERICAN SMOOTH Mar28 Mar01 Feb05 Dec18 Dec04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80    
5  BARBIERE Mar07 Nov15 Oct12 Sep29 Sep01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 8.00 9% 9.80    
6  WRONG DIRECTION Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 Nov17 Oct19 (ramaekers eric)HISBY RONALD 125 6.00    
7  TOMBI Mar21 Mar01 Nov15 Oct27 Oct12 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHARMING CHARLIE Mar29 Mar14 Dec04 Nov07 Oct18 (bitting j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
FON-6   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM CATCHER Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Nov26 Sep28 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 4.00 11% 8.40    
2  NORTHWIND Mar22 Mar16 Mar08 Feb22 Jan29 (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 125 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  BACK BAYOU Mar22 Mar08 Feb08 Jan30 Jan02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 10% 9.10    
4  FOREVER COOL Mar22 Mar08 Dec05 Nov06 Oct11 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRAN CHICO Mar22 Mar08 Feb20 Feb08 Jan25 (hibdon)BAILON JADHIR 125 8.00    
6  BLUEGRASS BREEZE Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Dec11 Nov26 (curran ra)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
7  MAGNET AND STEEL Mar22 Mar14 Feb22 Oct06 Sep19 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00    
8  PARTY FOUL Mar08 Feb22 Dec31 Nov20 Sep13 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
9  HEY SISSY Mar15 Jun22 Apr12 Apr07 Mar30 (red mas)PICKNER XAVIER 115 15.00    
 
FON-7   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHTED Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Sep27 Sep14 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DARNQUICK Mar21 Mar08 Feb23 Jan03 Dec07 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
3  LEAOFLITTLEFAITH Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Nov01 Oct07 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 5.00    
4  COOL RIDE Mar22 Mar08 Feb20 Jan31 Jan17 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  VERRAZANO FIRST Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 (gonzalez )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  WILBERT Oct18 Sep28 Aug31 Jul18 Jul03 (big ha)BAILON JADHIR 125 5.00    
7  HULEN Mar22 Sep20 Sep06 Aug19 Jul27 (schutz pa)IRONEYES R 125 10.00    
8  JAMMING EDDY Mar08 Feb22 Dec07 Nov06 Oct15 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  HURTS SO GOOD Mar21 Mar09 Feb22 Dec09 Nov19 (ramaekers er)PICKNER XAVIER 120 15.00 21% 3.80    
10  SOL DEL SUR Feb22 Jan23 Dec17 Nov19 Oct14 (homer jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
 
FON-8   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME MACHINE Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Oct06 Sep06 (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  OCEAN RIDE Oct24 Sep28 Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 (condon schuy)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 15.00    
3  BRICKTOWN BROWN Mar09 Nov29 Oct18 Aug31 Jul11 (johnson m)IRONEYES R 125 10.00    
4  JUDO Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Dec12 Nov11 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 12.00    
5  WEST ISLAND Mar22 Mar09 Aug18 Aug04 Jun22 (donlin)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00    
6  HARD TO COME BY Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Dec13 Nov17 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 10% 9.50    
7  THUNDERSHOOK Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 (dieter dalto)BETHKE A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COPANELLO BAY Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Sep28 Sep01 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 40% 1.50    
9  THREE GOLD PIECES Mar08 Jan04 Dec28 Nov16 Oct29 (chavez veronica)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
10  CALCULATED LUV Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Jan30 Dec13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
FON-9   04/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dowd Mile Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBSIDIZE Mar22 Mar08 Nov17 Oct12 Oct04 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIVA STAR by AMERICAN CHAMP)
2  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Mar22 Feb23 Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 (rushton stet)NUNNALLY BLAKE 120 12.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of FIVE YARD PENALTY by CONSOLIDATOR)
3  ARTHURIAN Mar22 Sep06 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPTAM by PLEASANT TAP)
4  FALSELY ACCUSED Feb22 Dec31 Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 (homer jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 10.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of PRINCESS HILLARY by MARIA'S MON)
5  TIME MUSE Mar16 Mar02 Nov19 Oct31 Oct06 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MELODY MAIDEN by SAINT BALLADO)
6  TOOMANYNAMES Mar22 Feb22 Nov16 Oct27 Sep06 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GREATEST SHOW by STORM CAT)
7  MEDICINE TAIL Mar22 Sep15 Aug19 Jun17 May27 (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEH SHE RUN by PULPIT)
8  DRIVEHAPPY Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb13 Nov30 (hibdon)BAILON JADHIR 120 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ENTRUSTMENT by FORESTRY)
9  FAYETTE WARRIOR Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Nov02 Aug25 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 6.00 ★    
  (by EXCHANGE RATE out of LEGENDARY PEACE by PEACE RULES)
10  FORCED RANKING Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Sep28 Sep21 (condon sc)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
 
FON-10   04/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSTRIKER Mar22 Feb23 Dec07 Nov11 Oct09 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
2  NORTH ARM BAY Mar22 Mar08 Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00    
3  LEGEND OF GOLD Mar08 Feb22 Sep20 Aug31 Jul20 (wise jason)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
4  ARMAVIR Mar22 Mar08 Oct11 Sep28 Sep06 (thomps)BAILON JADHIR 125 4.50    
5  BOUGIE JOE Mar08 Nov23 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 (davis rod)IRONEYES R 125 15.00    
6  SHIPS LOG Mar22 Feb22 Apr07 Mar23 Mar16 (johnson marvin )ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  MY BUDDY MEL Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb13 Nov16 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 42% 1.40    
8  ABSOLUTE CHAOS Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Dec07 Nov01 (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BERNALINHO Mar22 Mar08 Oct12 Oct06 Sep22 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISSION IS A GO Mar08 Sep20 Aug31 Aug04 Jul19 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.