Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(1/3/7/4)-(6/4/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SUN-3   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/4)-(6/4/7/2)-(4/5/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/2)-(4/5/2/7)-(3/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-5   WIN (4/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7)-(4/5/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/7)-(3/6/1)-(3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-7   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-8   WIN (4/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/8)-(9/1/10/8/5)-(8/6/11/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-9   WIN (9/1/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/10/8/5)-(9/1/10/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/10/8/5)-(9/1/10/8/5)-(9/1/10/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/1/10/8/5)-(8/6/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-10   WIN (8/6/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/11/7)-(8/6/5/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/11/7)-(8/6/5/11/7)-(8/6/5/11/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMANDO STYLE Feb13         (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 121 10.00    
SHAME THEM         (martinez edw)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 5.00 20% 4.10    
COLFAX KID Feb06 Jan16 Dec18 Nov11 Sep22 (cros)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.80    
ROYAL MONEY Feb06         (marquez jose )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
W F AMERICAN CAT Feb28 Feb13 Feb06 Jan23 Dec10 (archule)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHAMPS MONEY Mar13 Feb06 Jan16 Dec10   (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
TINAJA Feb13         (cross )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.50    
 
SUN-2   03/21/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPUTY'S ECHO Jan31 Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 Aug20 (gomez steve)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
GUSHER Jan31 Jun16 May18 May05 Apr14 (vaughn lonnie)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG CREED Feb07 Jan23 Dec03 Oct16 Oct05 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 4.00    
GO RED RASCAL Feb20 Feb06 Jan24 Dec09 Jul27 (martinez edwin )ROSENDO J 124 2.50    
DANZ AT COLFAX Mar07 Dec04 Apr16 Jan01 Nov30 (amparan alber)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
Z MARKS THE SPOT Feb28 Jan31 Jan23 Dec04 Nov19 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00    
TSUNAMI GOLD Oct12 Sep19 Mar29 Mar15 Feb22 (oron)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-3   03/21/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BIG RIG Dec10 Nov12 Oct20 Sep25 Sep06 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
RONCHETTI Mar14 Jan23 Jan09 Dec18 Nov25 (wheeler travis)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Feb20 Dec09 Nov11 Sep25 Sep08 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
MONARCHOS DREAM Jan23 Jan09 Dec17 Dec10 Nov19 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
REINING PESOS Feb28 Jan17 Feb29 Jan12 Dec05 (gomez steve)MEDELLIN A 124 4.00    
BLINGO Feb28 Jun22 Jun08 May10 Apr18 (salazar m)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00    
I'M A COOL CAT Nov15 Oct20 Oct04 Sep08 Jul13 (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 124 15.00 7% 13.70    
REAL PENNY Mar07 Feb20 Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 (vaughn)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 10.00    
SCR  CYCLONE MESA Mar13 Nov11 Sep29 May19 Apr13 (trujill)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
 
SUN-4   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH DELIGHT Feb13 Dec18 Dec02 Dec19 Apr23 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 3.00    
WHAT'S CRACKIN Jan30 Dec19 Oct28 Sep27 Sep17 (gonzalez andr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLEE MAE Feb13 Jan17 Dec18 Nov26 Nov04 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 124 4.00    
BRAND LOYALTY Feb13 Dec02 Nov04 Sep28 Sep13 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
STACI'S RED DRESS Feb13 Jan17 Dec18 Mar22 Jan19 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
DASHINGLY Feb13 Jan17 Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
RASPBERRY WINE Feb13 Dec02 Oct18 Sep08 Aug10 (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTON PRINCESS Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Nov05 Oct04 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Mar14 Jan24 Dec17 Dec03 Nov12 (gomez ste)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Feb21 Jan17 Dec16 Dec10 Oct20 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 124 20.00    
BLUE BLAZES WHO Dec17 Oct04 Jul28 Apr04 Feb22 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
TURN ON ARCH Feb21 Dec03 Nov19 Sep18 Feb18 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
BIRDIE CURDY Feb21 Jan24 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50    
MISS GRAND SLAM Nov03 Oct25 Oct05 Sep28 Sep21 (tsosie terr)CASTRO M 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-6   03/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREET MOB Jun30 Jun08 Apr14 Mar15   (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  ALWAYS FIRING Mar14 Feb06 Jan17 Dec16 Nov26 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
RUNDOFT Mar13 Feb28 Jan23 Dec02 Nov12 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
WALKIN TALKIN BOB Feb28 Jan23 Dec02 Nov12 Oct16 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN FABULOUS Feb28 Jan24 Feb09 Jan05 Nov06 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 8.00    
STELLA BOY Mar13 Feb06 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 (baldwi)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
SAPELLO SICARIO Feb20 Feb06 Jan23 Dec10 Nov11 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00    
FORWARD OBSERVER Mar29 Mar14 Feb15 Jan11 Dec05 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
 
SUN-7   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODDARD Mar07 Feb06 Jan09 Dec16 Dec09 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
KIRBY DERBY Mar07 Feb06 Dec10 Oct27 Sep26 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
ARCH CITY Mar06 Feb16 Dec18 Nov19 Oct20 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Jan30 Jan23 Jan09 Dec02 Oct05 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 124 8.00    
SEAHAWK CODY Mar07 Feb06 Dec10 Oct12 Sep08 (rust te)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
NAUTICAL MOON Mar07 Jan10 Dec06 Nov16 Nov01 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00    
BLUEGRASS RYDER Feb28 Jan30 Dec16 Dec02 Sep29 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
 
SUN-8   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P BLAMENGAME Feb13 Feb06 Jan23 Jan09 Dec09 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
EMPRESS IN FRONT Feb20 Feb06 Jan09 Nov25 Jun16 (gutierrez taurino)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
AMASS MONEY Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Nov11 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
ABSTRACT LILLY Mar14 Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Feb20 Jan10 Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 (mart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
MARK THE DATE Mar14 Feb20 Jan31 Jan09 Dec16 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 4.50    
COUNCIL'S JAZEL Mar14 Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec09 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
ZAPPIN Mar14 Feb28 Feb20 Jan10 Dec16 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-9   03/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Mt. Cristo Rey Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER ED Jan31 Dec16 May11 Mar15 Aug06 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of AFRICAN HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
SCR  BEACH RUNNER Mar07 Jan03 Dec03 Aug23 Jul27 (ochoa ger)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 30.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of BEACH CLUB by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  STILL IN THE TRAP Jan31 Jan16 Dec16 Jun08 Apr13 (rodriguez vic)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
  (by PROCEED out of RENEWED VOWS by ATTILA'S STORM)
LEAVE THEM BEHIND Feb28 Jan10 Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 8.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of IVY GIMLET by DIABOLICAL)
DAVE'S ENCHANTMENT Feb07 Jan16 Oct27 Oct11 Sep19 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CRAFTY JOI by MR. GROUSH)
SIDEWINDER SLICK Feb13 Jan23 Dec16 Nov25 Oct16 (buechler simon )NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of SIDEWINDER SALLY by MR. GOLD MOVER)
PROBATE Mar13 Feb06 Jan10 Sep14 Aug16 (amparan alber)JUAREZ J 124 15.00    
  (by PRO PRADO out of AQUARELLIST by OLE')
SAMBAS MARK Feb13 Jan30 Jan16 Dec09 Nov04 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
  (by MARKING out of SAMBA QUEEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LET HIM BE Feb07 Nov25 Nov04 Sep14 Jun08 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
10  MARKING CANYON Feb07 Jan16 Dec16 Nov25 Nov19 (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MARKING out of STORMY CANYON by SCATMANDU)
11  TUCUM Jan03 Dec09 Nov04 Oct16 Mar22 (acosta jr)MEDELLIN A 124 20.00    
  (by KING BULL out of LAST DANZ by DANZATORE)
SCR  HENRY ON THE RUN Feb07 Jan23 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 (ochoa )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 30.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
 
SUN-10   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONARY MARY Jan23 Nov02 Oct04 Aug03   (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
SCR  LET HER BE Feb13 Jan10       (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00    
HURRICANE SAYLOR Feb20 Jan17 Dec10     (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
HOOK EM UP Dec02 Oct23 Sep25 Aug14 Jul23 (lambert casey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
BOW TO CLARA Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec17 Nov26 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 121 3.50    
ALEXANDRA ELAINE Feb21 Jan31       (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
NATIVITY Feb06 Nov26 Sep28 Aug17 Jul20 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
AYE CANDY Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 Nov28   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
DONT BE SHY SAY HI Jan30 Jan09 Dec16     (marr h)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
SCR  OGALLALA Mar14 Jan19 Dec19 Dec14 Nov14 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
11  CATRIANNA Feb20 Jan30 Jan10 Dec17 Dec19 (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.