Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/5/3)-(5/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/6/2)-(2/4/3/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/4/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/4/3/10)-(1/3/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/4/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/10)-(2/4/8/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/10)-(2/4/8/3/10)-(2/4/8/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/10)-(1/3/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/10)-(1/3/10/2)-(5/3/8/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/3/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/10/2)-(1/3/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/10/2)-(1/3/10/2)-(1/3/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/10/2)-(5/3/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/3/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/2/9)-(5/3/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/2/9)-(5/3/8/2/9)-(5/3/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA LACE Jan24 Dec26 Dec04 Apr29 Apr15 (cuccia su)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  ROCKY BAY RAE Feb20 Jan27 Dec28 Aug11 Jul14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00    
3  LUCKY BURGLAR Feb22 Jan21 Dec19     (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00    
4  STORMYLUX Feb22 Feb06 Dec26 Mar19 Jan29 (kemper kas)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  NORTH EAST STAR (IRE) Apr21 Feb15 Jan12 Nov04 Sep30 (evans justin)REYES R 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  VERONICA'S DELIGHT Feb24 Jan27 Dec04 Aug11 Jul14 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
 
TUP-4   03/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHOLE LOTTA GOLD Jan29 Jan15 Sep06     (scott larry)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
2  LOTSA GIRL Feb26 Feb03 Feb15     (owens kor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
3  LOTSA SALITA Mar03 Feb03       (barraza s)GARCIA F 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AWESOME WILDCAT Feb26 Jan24 Jan06 Dec19   (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
5  LA VALENTINA Feb17 Dec04       (kemper kasey)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
6  UNARMED Feb11 Jan15 Dec19     (campo stac)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
7  INZAWAY Feb26 Feb13 May02 Apr16 Mar26 (dennis cl)JENSEN P 124 15.00    
SCR  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Feb26 Jan29 Jan06 Dec19 Apr30 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 124 1.60    
 
TUP-5   03/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APOLLO RISING Feb07 Dec01 Nov13 Oct23 Jun07 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
2  MY MAN BIGGIE Feb18 Jan25 Dec02 Nov17 Mar18 (simpson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MASTERING Feb21 Feb22 Feb01 Dec12 Oct01 (green greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
4  STAMP MY PASSPORT Feb01 Dec28 Nov02 Apr06 Mar03 (powell leo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
5  KEEN HEIR Feb24 Jan29 Dec30 Sep08 Aug18 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
6  STREET HUMOR Feb24 Jan30 Jan13 Dec26 Dec05 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
7  NOLONGERAHOBBY Feb04 Feb12 Dec26 Dec09 Dec02 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   03/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLLYWOOD HERO Mar04 Feb24 Jan23 Jan01 Dec23 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
2  BAD SNEAKERS Feb27 Dec16 Nov18 Oct12 Aug26 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  ANOTHERBOTTLE Feb26 Jan15 Dec10 Nov02 Sep16 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  REGAL REDWOOD Feb20 Feb04 Jan24 Jan07 Dec27 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 35% 1.80    
5  ROSENQUIST Feb22 Feb04 Jan23 Dec10 Sep25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50    
6  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jan15 Dec23 Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 (dennis cl)JENSEN P 122 20.00    
7  ATTAIN Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Nov29 (betts )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00    
8  BLUES RAPPER Mar04 Feb24 Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 6.00 ★    
9  BIG STICK Feb22 Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 Jan02 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00    
10  TALK OF THE TOWN Feb27 Jan29 Jan17 Dec04 Nov23 (hodgson barry)MONTALVO C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   03/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Jan08 Dec27 Dec18 Dec05 Nov18 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  TEAM CONCEPT Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 Jan21 Dec11 (silva juan)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOY IN GRACE Feb13 Jan08 Dec11 Nov25 Sep29 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  DEFICIT MAJA Feb25 Feb06 Jan25 Dec27 Dec05 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 124 8.00    
SCR  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Feb17 Feb06 Jan13 Jan01 Dec11 (ferguson cu)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 15.00    
6  FALL MOON Feb17 Jan08 Dec18 Nov25 Nov11 (woolley l)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
7  CANADA CANDY Feb22 Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 Dec08 (silva pab)REYES R 124 5.00    
SCR  MERINO WOOL Mar03 Feb17 Jan30 Jan08 Dec12 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
9  CHROME'S BEST COPY Feb17 Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 Nov27 (birdwell te)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
10  LOCK IT DOWN Feb22 Feb13 Jan16 Dec03 Nov18 (martin)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-8   03/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAKAS SECRET Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 Dec27 Nov26 (nunnal)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
2  CANDY CRUSHER Feb22 Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Oct20 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 118 15.00 11% 8.40    
3  EXTREMELY WICKED Feb26 Feb12 Jan29 Jan09 Dec27 (matt l)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  GALLOPING MAJOR Feb16 Jan23 Dec15 Nov30 Oct12 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
5  CHIRAG Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Jan08 Dec03 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  CRUEL ENDEAVOR Feb25 Feb10 Jan07 Dec28 Dec16 (soto antonio)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
7  BIG BAD BERT Feb12 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct14 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 8.00    
8  SIZE LORD Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan02 Dec23 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00 14% 6.40    
9  BENNIGAN Feb13 Jan28 Jan09 Dec16 Nov29 (rosales jorge)REYES R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.