Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(5/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/8/2/4)-(11/8/10/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/4)-(11/8/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/4)-(11/8/10/3)-(8/6/7/9/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (11/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/10/3)-(11/8/10/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/8/10/3)-(11/8/10/9/3)-(11/8/10/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/8/10/3)-(8/6/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/8/10/3)-(8/6/7/9/10)-(6/8/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/6/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/9/10)-(8/6/7/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/9/10)-(8/6/7/9/10)-(8/6/7/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/7/9/10)-(6/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/9/10)-(6/8/7/9)-(8/6/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/9)-(6/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/9)-(6/8/7/9)-(6/8/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/9)-(8/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/9)-(8/6/2/1)-(2/6/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1)-(8/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/1)-(2/6/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/1)-(2/6/9/7)-(2/5/9/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/7)-(2/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/7)-(2/6/9/7)-(2/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/9/7)-(2/5/9/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/7)-(2/5/9/10/3)-(3/13/8/9/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (2/5/9/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/10/3)-(2/5/9/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/10/3)-(2/5/9/10/3)-(2/5/9/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/9/10/3)-(3/13/8/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/13/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/13/8/9/1)-(3/13/8/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/13/8/9/1)-(3/13/8/9/1)-(3/13/8/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLOFT Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 Nov30 Oct24 (dini mike)CASTANON L 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  CALL ME SUE Nov24 Nov16 Oct17     (mcpherson )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 1.80    
3  ITS PIZZA TIME Feb07 Dec18 Nov23 Oct27   (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  INDIE FREEDOM Feb12 Sep28 Aug25     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY LUCKY ANGEL Feb07 Jan05 Dec24     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
6  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.00    
 
TAM-2   03/05/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUXTON ROCKS Jan17 Dec11 Oct08 Sep23 Aug19 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00    
2  SHABAM Jan01 Dec13 Nov23 Oct10 Sep14 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 4.50 7% 13.60    
3  AUBURN Jan03 Dec21 Dec11 May01 Apr19 (lusk bria)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 30.00    
4  WOODS HOLE Feb15 Feb05 Jan22 Jan03 Dec11 (dimmett james)BUSH V 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREY PRINCESS Feb05 Jan17 Nov09 Sep28 Sep08 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  CINDY'S SONG Jan17 Nov30 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 (rondon-mora ca)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
7  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Jan17 Jan01 Dec21 Nov23 Nov07 (richards renaldo)HESS SARA 113 10.00    
8  GRANDMA'S PUDDING Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Sep21 Aug23 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.40 26% 2.90    
 
TAM-3   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTRIC RUNNER Jan29 Jan15 Jan03 Jul21 Jun27 (mancha)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 30.00    
SCR  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Feb07 Dec22 Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 (kintz matthe)COTTO L 122 15.00    
3  SMART BEAUTY Jan17 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HUGGIN AND LOVIN Jan31 Nov24       (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00    
5  BELLS OF BRAM Feb23 Oct19       (gardea abraham)TORRES R 122 30.00    
SCR  STORMY DISCO Dec09 Sep15 Sep01     (dini mike)LEON SONNY 122 4.00    
7  SHE'S GONE ROGUE Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Apr06 Mar17 (ubide max)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
8  LAURISTON (IRE) Jan17 Dec14 Oct20 Aug31 Feb25 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
9  LIPOCHROME Feb05 Dec21 Oct24 Aug24 Apr21 (mcburney patric)CENTENO E 122 6.00 ★    
10  VICTORY GIRL Feb05 Jan19 Dec22 Sep15 Jul26 (pimental john )CASTANON L 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
11  AUTUMN'S TURN Jan25 Dec06 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  NOUVEAU RICHE Feb19 Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Nov03 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 30.00    
SCR  JAMMER INSURANCE Feb05 Jan03 Sep17 Jun18   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.00    
 
TAM-4   03/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILCHIN Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Nov30 Oct26 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
2  KEIGS Feb09 Jul31 Jul08 Mar01 Feb11 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 118 15.00    
3  ZALFIERRO Nov22 Oct17 Sep29 Sep05 Aug23 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 118 30.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Jul14 Apr29 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
5  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Jan24 Jul24 Jun29 May10 Mar03 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
6  SA SA SA Dec20 Jan19 Dec30 Dec13   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Jan25 Dec11 Nov20 Aug03 Jul21 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 12% 7.30    
8  SINCERITO Feb23 Jan25 Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 111 2.50 30% 2.30    
9  SWEN Feb23 Jan22 Jan03 Dec22   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 7% 14.20    
10  GUAICAIPURO Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 Dec06 Nov10 (rondon-mora carl)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
 
TAM-5   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA GAZE Feb09 Jan04 Dec20 Oct26 Sep20 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.00    
2  TIKI BAR Jan22 Dec28 Dec18 Oct20 Sep11 (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Oct11 Sep11 Aug22 Jun29 Sep22 (downing willi)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
SCR  TIMELESS ROSE Feb09 Jan10 Aug21 Jun20 Apr13 (granitz anthon)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00    
SCR  ICE QUEEN Feb01 Jan04 Nov22 Aug09 Jul26 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
6  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Feb09 Jan04 Dec20 Nov23 Sep20 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 51% 0.90    
7  ARIANA VALENTINA Feb22 Feb09 Dec14 Nov27 May01 (aguayo ramon)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 8% 11.10    
8  MRS. KATZ Feb22 Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 (contessa c)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 10% 8.70    
9  PACIFIC PRINCESS Oct27 Jul14 Jun06 May12 Jan31 (laurin roger)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LINNY KATE Jan22 Jan04 Dec20 Oct25 Sep08 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
11  FABULOUS CANDY Feb02 Jan17 Jan08 Dec21 Nov27 (moyse)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
SCR  RED WIND Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec20 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  VINGATIVA Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 Jan12 Jan04 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00    
SCR  UP HER SLEEVE Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 Jan04 Dec20 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.50    
 
TAM-6   03/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Feb12 Jan22 Jan12 Dec21 Nov23 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DUNE ROAD Jan19 Jan04 Dec22 Dec11 Nov27 (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 116 8.00 10% 9.30    
3  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Feb07 Jan22 Jan11 Dec28 Dec20 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 116 6.00    
4  BREAK THE ICE Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 Nov23 Nov03 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 6.00    
5  GREYZER Feb15 Jan22 Jan10 Dec20 Dec04 (de karla)COTTO L 116 6.00    
6  CUPID'S DUDE Feb19 Feb01 Jan22 Jan12 Dec20 (simone m)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
7  MISSION KEY Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 Dec24 Nov30 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 116 20.00    
8  CATATUMBO Feb15 Jan31 Jan25 Jan03 Dec24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-7   03/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX'S MAP Feb07 Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 Sep21 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 4.50    
2  PEACE NOT WAR Feb02 Jan08 Dec18 Nov29 Oct25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE Feb05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
4  STORM'S REFLECTION Feb21 Jan01 Dec07 Oct13 Sep29 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
5  FENWICK Jan29 Jan05 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 (yanez reynaldo)LEON SONNY 119 20.00    
6  AIR INVASION Jan22 Jan03 Oct25 Mar27 Feb24 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
7  MAGIC HEART Feb08 Dec24 Aug22 Aug11 Jul20 (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TORO FORWARD Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 Apr19 Apr07 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 8.00    
9  SAM STORMY Feb02 Jan24 Dec21 Dec04 Sep28 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 6% 15.60    
10  DIAL HIM UP Feb12 Feb02 Jan17 Jan08 Dec22 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 116 10.00    
 
TAM-8   03/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNEEN BAY Feb12 Feb02 Dec24 Jun15 Jan21 (gardea ab)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00    
2  MOOR STRENGTH Feb12 Jan15 Dec20 Nov23 May30 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  NEGRA GATA Dec24 Oct17 Oct01 Sep04 Aug11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 12.00 10% 9.40    
4  TRIPLET Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 Aug31 Aug17 (lusk bria)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 30.00    
5  RAPID RUBY Jan02 Dec09 Nov14 Oct23 Oct02 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  CAJUN EXPECTATION Feb12 Jan12 Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 (ramos )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00    
7  HOLY COFFEE Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 Dec19 Nov24 (garcia r)LEON SONNY 122 4.00    
8  LOVIELEE Feb12 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Nov20 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 111 12.00    
9  ST. JOE JET Feb01 Jan08 Dec24 Nov27 Oct26 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
10  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Feb14 Jan25 Dec19 Sep13 Aug23 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 11% 7.90    
 
TAM-9   03/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NATASHA         (perez blas)CASTANON L 122 12.00 6% 16.90    
2  GRACIOUS BEAUTY Feb12         (gardea ab)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
3  DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
4  NADJAMEANSBUSINESS Feb12 Jan03 Dec20 Dec07 Oct24 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
5  ELECTRICA Feb12 Oct23 Sep24     (po)LUNA PAUL 122 30.00    
6  PRINCESS MIA Feb12 Jan19 Jan03 Oct12 Sep20 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 122 12.00    
7  ADIOS DEW         (rigattieri john)HESS SARA 115 4.50    
8  CON CAUTELA         (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 3.50 9% 9.70    
9  ATTACK MODE         (hunt donald)BUSH V 122 15.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  MARKET ORDER Feb01 Aug27 Aug07     (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
SCR  RICH GIRL         (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 122 6.00    
SCR  BETTER HAVE CASH Jan31 Jan15 Dec21 Nov02 Sep26 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 20.00    
13  ACT VIOLENTLY         (smith robe)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.