Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/1)-(4/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/6/1)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/4/7)-(3/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/7)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/7)-(3/7/4)-(5/8/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Sales Overnight Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMCATSONG Jul27 Jul07 Jun16     (zimmerman p)MONTALVO C 120 12.00 20% 4.10    
  (by PVT. LYNCH out of ANNABELLE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  CAUTION CARDINAL Feb05 Jan15 May02 Apr18 Mar18 (story chad)MAWING A 124 8.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
3  POP D'ORO Jan22 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 0.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUST LIKE POP by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  U CAN DO U Jan22 Dec23 May02 Apr04 Mar18 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
5  LAWS OF MAN Feb06 Jan23 Dec30 Dec05 Nov18 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of WINDY O by OLYMPIO)
 
TUP-3   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW AND ZEN Jan24         (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
2  WHO IS PAVEL Feb05 Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 (bean a)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
3  KNIGHTLINE Jan21 Jan09 Aug25 Aug17 Jul28 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
4  J C'S A LEGEND Jan29 Dec31 Jun28 May04 Apr03 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
5  FURTHER EVIDENCE Feb10 Jan27 Jan07 Dec26 Dec11 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  THIRSTY FRIEND Jan05 Dec18 Nov24 Oct20 Oct05 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 3.00    
 
TUP-4   02/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANADA CANDY Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 Dec08 Dec01 (silva pab)REYES R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  IF YOU WANT IT Jan16 Dec27 May04 Mar18 Jun09 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
SCR  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Feb19 Jan24 Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 (perez sergi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
4  ALOHA KITTEN Feb06 Jan24 Aug30 Aug09 Jul06 (kowalski liz)KRIGGER K 124 5.00 67% 0.50    
5  LOCK IT DOWN Feb13 Jan16 Dec03 Nov18 Sep21 (martin)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00    
6  GYPSY WIFE Dec27 Dec12 Nov11 Sep14 Aug22 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  WILLING TO BURN Jan30 Jan08 Dec11 Sep08 Aug25 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
 
TUP-5   02/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET ME LOVE YOU Feb05 Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 Oct25 (diaz f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00    
2  UNAUDITED Feb05 Jan01 Dec19 Dec05 Sep15 (smith troy)VERGARA P 124 3.50    
3  CANDY CRUSHER Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Oct20   (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  BENNY BUCKETS Feb05 Dec19 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 (tubbs scott)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
5  RUN BABA RUN Jan23 Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 (chambers mike)KRIGGER K 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  EDDIE'S WAVE Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNSET STORM Feb03 Jan23 Dec14 Nov30 Oct04 (brinker)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
8  ATTAIN Feb05 Jan15 Dec23 Nov29 Oct13 (betts )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   02/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CY'S SILKSTOCKING Jan28 Jan08 Dec12 Nov21 Aug01 (belvoir vann)KRIGGER K 124 2.00    
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jan28 Jan08 Dec28 Sep15 Sep01 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
3  PRANCING MATILDA Feb12 Jan24 Jan02 Dec18 Dec03 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 4.00 9% 10.00    
4  CALIFORNIA DIVA Jan28 Dec28 Dec09 Nov29 Nov12 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ONELLA Jan30 Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 Sep01 (ortiz isaiah)CORBETT W 124 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  SORORITY PARTY Jan22 Dec28 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 5.00    
7  KEEPYOURPRANCEON Feb12 Jan28 Jan06 Dec28 Dec10 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  O C RHAPSODY Dec28 Nov12 Sep15 Jul04 Jun15 (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   02/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAMPDRAINER Feb04 Jan13 Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
2  ROSENQUIST Feb04 Jan23 Dec10 Sep25 Sep07 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00    
3  NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Jan15 Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 Aug17 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  MANGIA PANE Feb04 Jan27 Dec26 Sep15 Aug30 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG STICK Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 Jan02 Nov26 (rosale)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50    
SCR  SAN ANDRES Jan23 Jan15 Dec17 Nov27 Oct18 (perkins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
7  LEVON Jan23 Jan15 Dec23 Nov21 Oct18 (barrio sergio)MOJICA O 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
 
TUP-8   02/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST ATBA Sales Overnight Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS ESTRELLA Jan29 Jan16 Sep07 Aug04 Jul04 (kemper kasey)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
2  GO GO SADIE Jan29 Jan16 Jan01 Dec10 Apr25 (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BONUS SPIN by HARD SPUN)
3  GREASE MISSLE Jan22 Aug04 Jun23 Apr27 Apr06 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 6% 15.60    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MIDNIGHTHUSH by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jan09 Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 (warren kayla)HARVEY B 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
5  LUCKY BURGLAR Jan21 Dec19       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of IRISH LUCK by LEMON DROP KID)
6  DESERT GAL Jan25 Jul22 Jun24 May02 Apr17 (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
7  CALEBS LADY Jan27 Dec05 Nov13 Sep08 Jul28 (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 122 5.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
8  STORMYLUX Feb06 Dec26 Mar19 Jan29   (kemper )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of TIZ GOLDILUX by TIZDEJAVU)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.