Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - February 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3)-(3/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(3/1/4/6)-(11/3/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/6)-(11/3/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/6)-(11/3/8/1)-(3/2/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-3   WIN (11/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/3/8/1)-(11/3/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/3/8/1)-(11/3/7/8/1)-(11/3/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/3/8/1)-(3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/3/8/1)-(3/2/1/5)-(4/5/1/2/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(4/5/1/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(4/5/1/2/10)-(4/8/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/5/1/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2/10)-(4/5/1/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2/10)-(4/5/1/2/10)-(4/5/1/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2/10)-(4/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2/10)-(4/8/3/6)-(5/10/8/7/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-6   WIN (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/6)-(5/10/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/6)-(5/10/8/7/2)-(4/9/2/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (5/10/8/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/8/7/2)-(5/10/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/8/7/2)-(5/10/8/7/2)-(5/10/8/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/8/7/2)-(4/9/2/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/10/8/7/2)-(4/9/2/5/1)-(7/4/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/9/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/5/1)-(4/9/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/5/1)-(4/9/2/5/1)-(4/9/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/2/5/1)-(7/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/6)-(3/6/1/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DED-10   WIN (3/6/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/8/9)-(3/6/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMY DEAL Jan30 Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 Sep17 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 114 15.00    
2  SIMONEAUX STORM Jan29 Jan04 Dec13 Aug31 Aug03 (alberto an)RAMIREZ JR 114 15.00    
3  GLORYLAND Jan30 Dec28 Dec12 Nov22 Oct19 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WELL ACCUSTOMED Jan10 Dec19       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 12% 7.60    
5  BET TOWINIT Jan16 Dec29 Dec06     (landry r)THORNTON G 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  MISS CHEESE BREAD Jan29 Jan04 Nov22 Oct25 Aug09 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 10.00    
7  SHAMAY Jan03 Dec19 Dec06     (alberto anto)BARRERA J 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
8  CLEARLY CREDO Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Oct25   (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 6.00    
 
DED-2   02/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD EXPRESS Jan15 Nov29 Sep20 Oct13 Sep29 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  BIND FAITH Jan03 Dec19 Nov15 Oct25 Aug23 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 6.00    
3  DANCIN WITH ANGELS Nov22 Nov07 Sep11 Aug11 Jun21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  DOCTOR LEO Jan03 Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 Jul20 (wong jonath)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  BARON OF THE NILE Jan17 Dec28 Dec06 Oct25 Jun13 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 122 5.00    
6  REAL ACTION Nov22 Aug23 Jul20 Jun06 May17 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR. B CAUSE Jan30 Jan10 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 (ward ronnie)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
SCR  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Jan31 Oct26 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 20.00    
 
DED-3   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAT'S SOLDIER Jan04 Dec12 Nov26 Nov14 Feb10 (mason shane)BIRZER E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOUSTONS EAGLE Jan24 Dec18       (grimaldo jose)ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
3  LOUISIANA LUCA Jan11 Dec12 Nov14     (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
4  IT'S A SECRET Nov29 Nov05 Aug23 Jul13 May30 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 5.00    
5  DUE WE DARE Jan18 Dec18 Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 (pedigo rand)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 5.00    
SCR  TAUREAN Jan18 Dec12 Nov29 Sep04 Aug17 (richard rus)MELANCON JANSEN 124 4.00    
7  BLUME Dec18 Nov29 Sep23 Aug26 Aug07 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.50 ★    
8  EASY EDDIE A Jan29 Jan04 Dec14 Nov27 Jul14 (prejean raymo)VARGAS P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BERNDT MARSHMALLOW Jan04 Dec12 Sep16 Sep04   (kanhai joseph)PEREZ CARLOS 119 10.00    
10  THE JUDGE Jan11 May22 May09     (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
11  PRINCE PERFECTA Jan04 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 Jun26 (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
 
DED-4   02/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Jan30 Jan02 Dec04 Nov13 Oct30 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  GHENT Dec11 Nov23 Nov01 Sep11 Jul13 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
3  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Nov30 Oct25 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  HUEY DUEY Jan31 Dec06 Aug28 Jul16 Jun11 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
5  HERITAGE PARK Jul27 Jun29 May27 May11 Apr26 (martin timothy )POMPELL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BAD BRAD Jan24 Dec20 Nov26 Nov14 Oct16 (venzor jai)RAMIREZ JR 112 10.00    
7  MYSTERY MAN Jun29 Jun10 May19 Apr14 Mar01 (martin e)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
8  SUNSET WAR Jan30 Jan11 Dec21 Nov29 Nov20 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
9  BLACK CANDY Jan31 Jan15 Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 (west henry)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
 
DED-5   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILEAN WIND         (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 20.00 15% 5.90    
2  CHIEF EXPRESS         (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10% 9.20    
3  MAJESTIC IRONS Jan30         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
4  SIR SAWYER Jan24 Jan02       (castille carro)THORNTON G 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  FERN SPIRIT Jan02 Dec13 Nov15 Aug14 Jul23 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  CUSTOM V K W Jan31 Jan09 Dec07 Oct25 Sep24 (constantine)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 10.00    
7  PASILA Jan09 Oct30       (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 118 6.00    
8  MO VISTA Jan24 Jan01 Dec07     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
9  SIGARRA Jan09 Dec13 Nov29     (delany sarah)BARRERA J 121 12.00    
10  COCO BELLA BLUE Dec27         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   02/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCIDAD Jan18 Nov26 Nov13 Nov01 Oct12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
2  STICK SHIFT Dec28 Nov23 Nov10 Sep27 Aug18 (orseno f)BIRZER E 124 2.00    
3  TEXAS ADOPTER Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 5.00 9% 10.00    
4  SCALLYWAG (GB) Jan19 Jan05 Nov28 Nov08 May27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  JAMIAN Dec18 Jul06 Jun16 May26   (player fle)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
6  CALLE DIAMANTE Jan25 Jan10 Dec04 Oct31   (knudsen kent)VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HERCULES N LOVE Jan18 Aug12 Jul18 Jun01 May16 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
8  HUDSON'S DAY Jul06 Jun13 May01 Apr11   (woodley j)ROSIER R 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
DED-7   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKEN BACK Dec27 Nov23 Nov02 Aug09 Jul27 (segura kear)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
2  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 Aug15 (romero j)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MONITOR MILLS Jan28 Jan10 Dec04 Oct19 Aug09 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  MINT Jan31 Jan08 Nov16 Aug07 Jul19 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 124 20.00    
5  MUFFIN NUTS Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Nov22 Nov05 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
6  CHAOSMOS Jan11 Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Sep23 (richard russell)POMPELL L 124 20.00    
7  FAST VERDICT Jan31 Jan10 Dec04 Nov07 Oct19 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  AFFIRM CHIEF Jan28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 (robbins )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
9  APPLEWOOD Dec21 Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Jul11 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 124 10.00    
10  HOSTILE AFLEET Jan31 Jan16 Nov13 Oct23 Oct12 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 2.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE Jan17 Dec29 Dec05 Sep30 Sep20 (cano muno)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   02/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREET DEAL Jan28 Jan02 Dec04 Sep10 Aug26 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONI DESIGN Jan31 Jan10 Nov16 Mar14 Feb29 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
3  OAK HILL SENIORITA Jan27 Nov22 Oct17 Jul19 Jul09 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 5.00    
4  DOUBLE GEM Jan24 Dec12 Nov21 Oct29   (courville rick)PEREZ CARLOS 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
5  TIME TO CLOSE Jan31 Jan09 Dec19 Dec04 Nov22 (celestine charle)ROSIER R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHARMING KAT Jan16 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 Aug23 (flugence henry)FLORIAN JOSE 119 12.00    
7  GLORIOUS GEARS Jan03 Dec11 Aug23 May25 Apr18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
8  COSTA LADY Jan16 Jan03 Dec06 Nov07 Oct17 (boxie j)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 20.00    
9  TARKINGTON GIRL Jan16 Dec13 Nov27 Oct11 Aug16 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
DED-9   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT JOSTAR Aug25 Jul26 Jun15 May04 Apr11 (wong jonath)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00    
2  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Oct29 Jul18 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
3  SEISMIC SPIRIT (IRE) Jan17 Nov24 Oct31 Sep08 Aug10 (wong jonatha)BARRERA J 124 2.00    
4  SPECIAL DISPATCH Jan18 Dec14 Nov14 Aug17 Jul27 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SALT SPRAY (IRE) Jan08 Jun08 Apr21 Sep14 Dec17 (gibson jona)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 10.00    
6  PEGASO (PER) Jan24 Jan04 Dec12 Nov29 Nov14 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 21% 3.80    
7  CRUSHED IT Jan04 Nov27 Nov05 Sep20 Aug18 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 120 5.00 27% 2.60    
 
DED-10   02/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOK WEST Jan28         (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
2  B D PRIMARY OURS Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov22 Jul05 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 116 5.00    
3  MIDDLEOFTHEFAIRWAY Jan29         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  RIP RULES Jan15 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 119 6.00    
5  FOREST BEAST Oct23         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 5.00    
6  KNIGHT'S GOLD Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov16 Oct23 (cormier carde)VARGAS P 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  SWEET CANDY BOY Jan25 Dec07 Nov01 Oct12   (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
8  TEMPORORY HIGH         (delahoussaye t)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NOT LIKELY Jan03 Jul02 Jun05 May20 Feb09 (richard russel)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  IMPRESSIVE BIDDER Dec18 Oct12 Sep04 Aug01   (norwood joh)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 12.00    
SCR  SERRANO'S WARRIOR Oct12 Aug05 Jul01 Oct22 May24 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.