Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(8/6/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(8/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(8/6/1/3)-(5/6/10/3/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/3)-(5/6/10/3/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/3)-(5/6/10/3/12)-(7/4/5/10/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (5/6/10/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/10/3/12)-(5/6/10/3/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/10/3/12)-(5/6/10/3/12)-(5/6/10/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/10/3/12)-(7/4/5/10/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/6/10/3/12)-(7/4/5/10/3)-(7/9/4/3/8) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-5   WIN (7/4/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/10/3)-(7/4/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/10/3)-(7/4/5/10/3)-(7/4/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/5/10/3)-(7/9/4/3/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/10/3)-(7/9/4/3/8)-(4/2/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (7/9/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/3/8)-(7/9/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/3/8)-(7/9/4/3/8)-(7/9/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/4/3/8)-(4/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4/3/8)-(4/2/8/9)-(1/6/2/7/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (4/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/9)-(4/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/9)-(4/2/8/9)-(4/2/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/9)-(1/6/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/9)-(1/6/2/7/11)-(7/10/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/6/2/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7/11)-(1/6/2/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7/11)-(1/6/2/7/11)-(1/6/2/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7/11)-(7/10/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/3/6)-(7/10/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/3/6)-(7/10/8/3/6)-(7/10/8/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH TRACK Jan26 Jan08 Oct23 Oct08 Dec16 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
2  MIGGI Jan22 Aug09 Jul19 Apr17   (hunt donald)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00    
3  CHACHITA Feb02 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 122 20.00    
4  MIA'S ANGEL Jan22 Jan05 Dec13 Sep26 Aug15 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  CAJUN GAL Jan05 Dec13 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 (tsirigotis j)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  CAMDYN RACE Jan26 Jan09 Dec28 Dec12   (mcgoey mon)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 30.00    
7  BENET Nov28 Sep19 Aug30 Jun06 May09 (hiles jeff )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
TAM-2   02/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA GATA SALVAJE Jan15 Jan01       (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOGO BOOTS         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00 18% 4.60    
3  NOTABLE EXCHANGE         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  SIGNATURE COCKTAIL         (pompay terri)ALLEN D 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
5  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jan25 Dec11 Sep21 Aug23   (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 1.20    
6  GOSHAKI GOSHAKI Jan11 Dec13 Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 4.50    
7  BLUE OPAL Feb01 Jan17       (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 12.00    
 
TAM-3   02/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DITHER Jan18 Jan04 Dec18 Sep08 Aug24 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FENWICK Jan29 Jan05 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 (yanez reyn)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 15.00    
3  STITZY Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 (alessi james)LARA VICTOR 108 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCKY SHOT Oct06 Sep22 Jul14 Jun15 May25 (banks chris)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
5  FACE ABARRIO Jan15 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50    
6  AMERICAN WARRIOR Jan15 Dec24 Nov20 Oct17 Oct05 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 3.50 8% 11.70    
7  NOT THISTIMERANDY Dec14 Nov23 Nov01 Sep14 Aug31 (paterno rober)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 20.00    
8  DUNDIE Jan22 Dec27 Dec05 Nov08 Aug03 (dominguez lui)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
TAM-4   02/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM STILL BRAVE Jan25 Jan11 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
2  MELODY WIN Jan25 Jan04 Sep27 Aug24 Aug02 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
3  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Jan10 Dec28 Apr12 Mar03 Jan31 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 12.00 5% 18.10    
4  NO PROBLEM JOE Jan25 Jan04 Dec20 Dec04 May31 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 15.00    
5  DIVEMASTER Jan25 Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 Jul21 (lightner m)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  BLACK SEAL Dec28 Oct26 Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  UNCAPTURED STAR Jan24 Jan08 Dec21 Oct13 Sep29 (dobber arnoud )CASTANON L 118 6.00    
8  KEIGS Jul31 Jul08 Mar01 Feb11   (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 118 10.00    
9  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Jan25 Jan11 Dec22 Oct26 Sep27 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
10  TIZ LORD Jan08 Dec20 Oct22 Sep12 Aug17 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 10.00 9% 9.60    
11  VERY DEBONAIRE Nov29 Sep22 Sep02 Jul24 Jul09 (johnston m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 20.00    
12  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Jan11 Dec28 Jul14 Apr29 Mar15 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Jan25 Dec11 Nov20 Aug03 Jul21 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
 
TAM-5   02/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP TANGO Jan17 Dec20 Nov12 Jun18 May27 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
2  ENDLESS REIGN Jan22 Dec27 Dec06 Oct17 Sep20 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
3  TWO MINUTES APART Jan17 Jun01 Apr19 Apr03 Feb02 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADIOS BUCCANEER Jan17 Jan05 Dec18 Nov23 Oct05 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 9% 9.90    
5  IMMENSE FAITH Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 Sep22 (yanez reynaldo)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
6  MAMA BANNED ME Dec14 Nov29 Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 (hernandez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 20.00    
7  BOMB CYCLONE Jan17 Dec27 Sep17 Aug18 Jul22 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
8  LAST U TURN Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Feb23 Feb09 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 30.00    
9  BIG TOBY Jan17 Dec20 Nov30 Nov03 Sep14 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 30.00    
10  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Jan24 Jan04 Dec18 Dec04 Jun22 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 15.00 8% 11.70    
11  PHRASEOLOGISM May01 Mar01 Jan21 Jan06 Dec24 (lilly p)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
12  ART HANDLER Dec27 Nov23 Oct18 Sep27 Aug14 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 119 15.00    
 
TAM-6   02/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P FOUR Jan19 Dec20 Oct19     (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of DAZZLING BRIDE by HE'S HAD ENOUGH)
2  EL RABANO         (lopez ro)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAPIT QUEEN by TAPIT)
3  LITTLE SHANCE         (granitz an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of MOON DATE by MALIBU MOON)
4  HIGHTAIL FOX Jan18 Oct22 Oct08 Sep20 Aug28 (connelly ter)BATISTA A 120 12.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of FOXSTER by OXBOW)
5  LOVE BUCKS Jan18 Dec07       (ubide max)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of FABIANA'S FLASH by CITY ZIP)
6  CONSOLIDATED         (cibelli jane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of CAUSEWAY CAROLYN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  OVER THE MARK         (cox brad)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SHE BEAST by THE FACTOR)
8  MY LITTLE WILDCAT Jan26 Jan11       (mendieta alejand)FERRER C 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of BANJO LADY by DIXIELAND BAND)
9  FIRST ACT Jan08 Dec07       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CLASSY ACT by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  BRIDOZA         (pompay terri)ALLEN D 120 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  PLAYA DEL MAR         (mott i)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOR DE LA MAR by TIZNOW)
12  KANTHAROS JR         (vazquez ed)URDANETA J 120 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GRANT PARK by ACTION THIS DAY)
 
TAM-7   02/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMETT Jan15 Dec21 Nov30 Oct11 Sep08 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
2  SINETIC Jan15 Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 Aug30 (machado antonio)CENTENO E 118 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BINGO'S GRIND Jan29 Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 Oct11 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
4  FLASH FROZEN Jan15 Dec22       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 1.00 60% 0.70    
5  MAKOA Jan29 Jan17 Dec12 Oct11 Sep20 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 118 10.00    
SCR  GOD WITH US Jan29 Jan08 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (romero rafael)BRACHO A 118 20.00    
7  SAMMY'S A GIVINE Dec13 Sep02 Aug17 Jul13 Jun01 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 30.00    
8  OZZY Jan15 Dec21 Nov30 Nov03 Oct03 (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  FLAMINGPROPOSITION Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 Oct19 Sep28 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   02/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASER SHARP Nov24 May19 Apr06 Mar07 Feb10 (terranova john)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  MACHISMO Jan03 Aug18 Jul03 Jun02 May12 (cahill f)CENTENO E 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  GUAIO Jan29 Jan08 Dec14 Nov23 Nov16 (agostini a)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 12.00    
4  CROCODILEHUNTER Jan03 Aug03 Jul04 Jun08 May18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00    
5  SNOWNAME Jan29 Jun21 May18 Apr14 Mar24 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00    
6  CAJUN GEM Dec21 Nov30 Jul02     (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  BIG LOUIE Jan24 Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 (dye steven)IORIO MELISSA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAN COSTANTINO Jan15 Jan03 Dec11 Nov29 Sep24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
9  PARALEGAL Jan11 Dec29 Nov30 Oct25 Feb03 (correa ma)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
10  OSPREY Jan19 Dec11 Nov20 Oct12 Sep02 (dominguez lui)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50    
11  DIVINE LEADER Jan11 Dec14 Oct13 Sep21 Sep02 (padilla )GALLARDO A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   02/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SINGALONG KAYLA Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 Sep15 (wilson tony)FERRER C 118 4.50    
2  STARRY HOPE Jan18 Nov30 Oct16 Sep24 Sep16 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118 30.00    
3  VINGATIVA Jan22 Jan12 Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SARATOGA GAZE Jan04 Dec20 Oct26 Sep20 Aug16 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00    
5  VOGELSANG Jan22 Dec22 Sep28 Aug29 Jun13 (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 20.00    
6  BLOSSOMING Dec28 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul13 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  E M'S TREASUREGIRL Jan04 Dec20 Nov23 Sep20 Aug18 (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 51% 0.90    
8  ARIANA VALENTINA Dec14 Nov27 May01 Mar30 Feb24 (aguayo ramon)BATISTA A 120 6.00 ★    
9  UP HER SLEEVE Jan22 Jan04 Dec20 Nov30 Oct11 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 122 4.00    
10  TIMELESS ROSE Jan10 Aug21 Jun20 Apr13 Mar17 (granitz anth)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
11  TEQUILA EMPIRE Dec28 Sep10 Aug08 Jun26 Mar15 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.