Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/2)-(5/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/2)-(5/4/2/3)-(3/9/8/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(3/9/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(3/9/8/6/2)-(1/2/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/9/8/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/6/2)-(3/9/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/6/2)-(3/9/8/6/2)-(3/9/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/8/6/2)-(1/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/6/2)-(1/2/3/8)-(6/8/9/7/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/8)-(6/8/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/8)-(6/8/9/7/2)-(2/7/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/8/9/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/7/2)-(6/8/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/7/2)-(6/8/9/7/2)-(6/8/9/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/9/7/2)-(2/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/7/2)-(2/7/6/3)-(8/7/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/3)-(8/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/3)-(8/7/5/1)-(1/4/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/1)-(1/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/1)-(1/4/6/3)-(8/9/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-8   WIN (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/3)-(8/9/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-9   WIN (8/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/4)-(8/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/4)-(8/9/3/4)-(8/9/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MARSHALL Dec29 Dec14 Nov17 Oct25 Sep24 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
CAPT. CANDY Dec12 Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 Jul11 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00 11% 8.50    
DEE JAY Dec12 Nov21 Oct06 Aug30 Aug15 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50    
GOING AT IT Dec27 Nov13 Oct24 Aug29 Aug15 (wolfe jr)TORRES JOMAR 121 20.00    
YES IT'S ROO Jan03 Dec12 Nov20 Aug15 Jul24 (rideout ronald)AGUILAR M 121 30.00    
ONE WAY FARRIOR Jan08 Dec12 Nov21 Oct19 Sep20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00 19% 4.10    
QUICK TEMPO Jan18 Dec10 May06 Jul05 Jun07 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.60 33% 2.10    
 
PEN-2   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBOT'S VALENTINE Dec20 Nov20 Oct05 Sep15 Aug29 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
TILTED TIARA Jan03 Dec13 Nov20 Oct31 Aug28 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 121 4.50 12% 7.50    
SANSA ARIEL Jan08 Dec19 Nov20 Oct31 Oct15 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
LADRO DI FICHI Jan08 Dec20 Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
MELODIOUS SINGER Jan09 Oct23 Aug14 Jul10 Mar14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
BLAME CATALAYA Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Sep14 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 15.00    
 
PEN-3   02/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRECHMO GIRL Nov06 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 15.00    
FLORALOATS Jan02 Nov21 Jun26 May29 Sep05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING CHIME Dec06 Oct31 Aug15 Jul24 Jun27 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
DOLCE VELOCE Jan02 Dec06 Oct31 Sep24 Sep02 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00    
FAR TOO FOXY Jan28 Dec30 Jul24 Jun11 May06 (penaloza migu)RANGEL JOEZER 123 15.00    
KENTUCKY REIGN Jan02 Dec06 Nov06 Oct31 Sep27 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
CITY OF LONDON Dec18 Nov21 Aug07 Jul19 Jun12 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50    
ADIOS MEISTER Nov21 Oct10 Sep20 Aug15 Jul24 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00 13% 6.40    
SMILES FOR DAVID Jan15 Jan03 Nov29 Nov22 Nov01 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
10  AUNT JO Jan25 Dec13 Nov20 Nov13 Oct31 (smith lawrenc)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00    
11  WHEN YOUR STRANGE Jan25 Jan09 Nov25 Nov09 Sep26 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 4.00    
 
PEN-4   02/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN WIGGY Dec13 Nov20 Oct17 Sep30 Sep10 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jan03 Dec20 Dec11 Nov01 Sep14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Jan03 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 Oct23 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
THROWBACK Aug02 Jun13 May29 May09 Apr30 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 4.00    
AMIRATI Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Oct17 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 125 5.00    
BETCHA BOOTS BABE Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Nov08 Oct04 (johnson m)FLORES E 125 6.00    
SCOREBOARD LILY Oct31 Jul03 Jun13 May31 May15 (kravets m)CORA D 125 20.00    
TESTED POSITIVE Dec19 Dec09 Nov08 Oct23 Oct09 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSING BAYOU Jan23 Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct16 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 15.00    
MOLLY OF STRATFORD Jan26 Dec29 Dec20 Nov29 Nov15 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST Nov13 Oct23 Sep29 Aug28 Mar14 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 30.00    
COLLIN'S GREY LADY Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 Oct31 Oct09 (beattie cody)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
MY BOSS LADY Jan03 Nov29 Nov06 Oct11 Sep27 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
G'S FIREBALL Jan26 Jan09 Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
PRINCESS CUPID Jan27 Jan13 Dec04 Nov13 Oct19 (penaloza migu)RANGEL JOEZER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY TAPPY TIM Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
NATURE TRAIL Dec04 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 121 5.00 7% 13.40    
10  PHANCY PHILLY Jan09 Dec19 Nov20 Oct23 Aug28 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00    
 
PEN-6   02/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY IMAGINATION Jan13 Dec16 Dec06 Nov02 Oct19 (bedard a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00    
HOUGHTON SHUFFLE Jan03 Jun26 May31 May08 Mar08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
BROOKLYN GUY Nov21 Sep27 Sep07 Aug10 Jun29 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEN GAUGE Jan13 Dec06 Oct19 Jun23 May07 (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00    
MY REDEMPTION Nov27 Sep02 Aug16 Jul15 Jun24 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00    
TIME TO CRUISE Dec06 Nov19 Nov01 Sep27 Aug21 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 8% 11.00    
TREBLE CLEF Jan13 Dec12 Nov20 Oct22 Sep21 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-7   02/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNTY KILLAH Jan09 Dec18 Dec07 Sep04 Aug28 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHARGE THAT DRESS Dec13 Aug23 Aug15     (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 20.00    
RED BETTY Jan09 Dec18 Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 125 10.00    
SCR  PELOSI Jan09 Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Sep11 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 6.00    
SCR  ONE EYED JACKIE Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 May23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
GO CHLOE GO Jan15 Dec13 Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 (hamilton stephen)CARTER T 125 15.00    
BLAME THE WARRIOR Jan09 Nov29 Nov14 Oct02 Aug29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 1.80 19% 4.40    
INDINI Mar07 Feb22       (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 125 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  SIMPLY TENACIOUS         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 15.00    
 
PEN-8   02/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZINGA D Jan03 Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 Jul12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Aug30 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
CALI HEAT Jan03 Dec11 Nov15 Oct24 Feb01 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DESTINANO Dec18 Jul17 Jun26 May24 Jan18 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
DOUBLE NICKEL Jan14 Jan02 Dec18 Dec04 Nov15 (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 12.00    
PENTATONIC Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Sep23 Aug07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
OUR ETHAN CHARLES Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 Nov15 Sep12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.50    
PURECRAZIGROOVE Nov26 Nov13 Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 (salinas jose)FLORES E 121 15.00    
 
PEN-9   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIR SAHIB Dec20 Dec06 Nov14 Oct30 Sep16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00    
TEXTPECTATION Jan23 Jan16 Dec06 Nov08 Oct30 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 123 50.00    
INDIRECTLY Dec20 Dec06 Oct25 Sep11 Aug21 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOOK MARKER Jan02 Dec04 Nov13 Oct10 Sep09 (kravets m)CORA D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Dec18 Nov13 Oct23 Jul25 Jul12 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.50    
LAKE NAKURU Jan02 Dec20 Dec06 Nov14 Oct30 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
OLYMPIC ROMP Dec31 Nov20 Oct21 Oct07 Sep02 (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00    
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Jan09 Dec12 Oct30 Oct08 Sep21 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 48% 1.10    
OVER AND THUNDER Jan02 Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CUPID'S CLAWS Jan01 Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 Jul21 (dunslow )RODRIGUEZ L 116 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.