Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - February 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(6/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(7/3/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/7)-(7/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/7)-(7/3/4/1)-(1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/1)-(1/6/3)-(9/5/4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(9/5/4/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(9/5/4/6/2)-(7/10/5/4/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (9/5/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/6/2)-(9/5/4/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/6/2)-(9/5/4/6/2)-(9/5/4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/4/6/2)-(7/10/5/4/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/6/2)-(7/10/5/4/8)-(7/5/1/9/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LRL-6   WIN (7/10/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/4/8)-(7/10/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/4/8)-(7/10/5/4/8)-(7/10/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/5/4/8)-(7/5/1/9/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/10/5/4/8)-(7/5/1/9/4)-(1/2/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-7   WIN (7/5/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/9/4)-(7/5/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/9/4)-(7/5/1/9/4)-(7/5/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/1/9/4)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/9/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBA MINDSET Jan17 Nov30       (boniface kevin)PEREZ XAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIFTING         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
3  WHITE BLUE Jan18 Nov30       (salazar )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 15.00    
4  WARRIOR'S NOTION Dec22         (walters hen)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
5  TETCHED Jan17 Dec13 Nov30     (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  KEVIN OF BLACKROCK Dec22         (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
7  DAD JOKE Dec22 Nov09       (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  REAL TALENTED Jan18         (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 124 4.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN GUVNAH Jan15 Dec27 Dec11 Sep29 Sep12 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
LRL-2   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER FOREVER Dec20 Nov03 Oct11     (gonzalez claud)CONNER TYLER 117 20.00    
2  MANDY'S MISS Dec19 Nov27 Oct03     (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
3  WHY NOT GRACE Dec13 Nov28 Aug02 Jul13 Jun20 (gorham e)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
4  FIRST PEARL Dec20 Oct02 Sep11 Aug14 Jul13 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 121 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  CRUZ CHICA Dec11 Oct30 Oct20 Sep25 Sep11 (cash norman)HAMILTON WESTON 121 3.50    
6  GOLDEN PHILLY Jan13 Dec20 Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
7  A SHAWTOWN GIRL Dec28 Oct11 Sep14 Aug31   (deiter ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-3   02/01/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN Jan25 Dec11 Aug29 Aug12 Jul27 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  NOTMYFIRSTRODEO Dec20 Nov17 Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 10.00    
3  LIGHTNING BOSS Dec20 Nov30       (de ho)CARRASCO R 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  AMY'S MUSIC Dec18 Nov08 Oct06 Sep15 Aug22 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
5  GENERATIVE Dec13 Nov30 Oct25 Sep28   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00    
6  CRABCAKES N BEER Nov01 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul24 (pecoraro an)DEL SARA 111 20.00    
7  BANGKOK BOB Dec27 Oct16 Sep11 Aug14 Aug07 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 117 1.60 30% 2.30    
SCR  LET'S HAVE A PARTY Dec14 Oct16 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (bailon he)CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
 
LRL-4   02/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAPE NOTE Jan09 Dec20 Nov17 Oct19 Sep08 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  NANCY MADE MY DAY Jan18 Dec28 Nov29 Nov02 Aug23 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 126 2.50    
3  HE'S ORIENTATE Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 Oct25 Oct06 (heil nan)RODRIGUEZ L 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOTTS GOT IT Dec28 Nov30 Oct08 Sep18 Aug13 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
5  ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Dec13 Nov17 Nov10 Oct13 Jul07 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 123 4.50    
6  BORRACHO Dec31 Nov26 Oct17 Aug12 Jul13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 30% 2.30    
7  WHISKEY AND YOU Jan18 Dec15 Nov28 Oct10 Sep07 (peacock r)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
 
LRL-5   02/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINED BLUE Dec28 Nov30 Oct25 Oct12 Sep22 (frock charl)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 12.00    
2  FASHIONISTA Jul18 May30 May03 Feb23 Feb08 (allen fer)DEL SARA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KITTY'S PRETTY Dec29 Nov29 Oct24 Sep21 Sep04 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 122 8.00    
4  MAXIMO MADNESS Jan25 Dec29 Dec15 Nov29 Oct27 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 9% 10.10    
5  LADY CHARLOTTE Dec29 Dec06 Nov15 Oct24 Sep27 (gaudet lace)HAMILTON WESTON 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  BALI HAI Jan11 Dec07 Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 (scott alf)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MADDIE TEN Jan10 Dec29 Dec06 Nov29 Jul05 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00    
8  BUCCHANERA Jun15 May19 May01 Apr06 Jan10 (juarez c)RODRIGUEZ L 119 15.00    
9  GILDA'S GIRL Dec13 Nov13 Sep30 Feb16 Jan28 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
LRL-6   02/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEASIDE ROAD Jan17         (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ZISTER by CITY ZIP)
SCR  CROSS OF VALOR         (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
3  FOUND GRACE Dec28 Nov24 Sep26 Aug31   (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINESTORM by MINESHAFT)
4  BABY LADY Oct06 Aug25       (dilodovico dam)TORREALBA JG 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ACCOMPLISH FIRST by FIRST DEFENCE)
5  COMPLEXITY JANE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BESTINTHEBUSINESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  FROSTED DREAMS         (alvarado)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DREAM SPINNER by HARD SPUN)
7  MO HYPE Oct26         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of JUST TALKIN by MIDSHIPMAN)
8  CYNTHIA GAIL         (meyers ma)CARRASCO R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of A LADY WITH AN ACE by FIRST SAMURAI)
9  GREATWHITEFLEET Dec28 Dec08       (ambrogi j)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THE NOW CROWD by TIZNOW)
10  PASSAGE EAST (IRE) Dec29 Aug26       (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SALTEN SAPITY by CONGRATS)
11  TIZ COMPLEX Nov10         (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TIZACITY by TIZWAY)
 
LRL-7   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OXIDE Dec27 Apr12 Mar02 Jan13 Dec29 (gaudet lace)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTAIN CARDO Jan17 Jan03 Dec22 Oct30 Sep30 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 123 12.00    
3  GAMBLING TZAR Jan18 Dec22 Nov28 Nov02 Sep28 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.50    
4  IMPETUD Dec22 Dec08 Nov16 Oct24 Sep14 (gonzalez clau)MORALES ANGEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EL DE LARRY Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 Nov08 Oct17 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
6  FORMAL ORDER Nov28 Nov02 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 (campbell)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 5.00    
7  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Dec07 Nov02 Aug31 Jul19 Jun15 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
8  HE'S ON FIRE Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 (mancilla ca)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 112 12.00    
9  RUNNING RIVER Jan24 Jan17 Dec21 Dec13 Nov28 (mohan david )WHITACRE GRANT 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   02/01/2025 5940ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME LAW Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 Sep25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 0.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  MY LAST MISSION Dec06 Oct30 Oct09 Sep15 Jul21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 0.60    
2  MOSE PERFECT Dec22 Dec06 Oct24 Oct03 Aug16 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  PENNY LOAFER Dec22 Dec06 Oct03 Aug17 Jul13 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FAN CLUB Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 Oct10 Sep30 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00    
SCR  MASAKADO Jan06 Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 Jul24 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00    
6  RICCIO Dec16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 (sillaman richa)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00    
 
LRL-9   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTY'S SON Dec01 Nov09 Oct26 Sep28 Sep14 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by CUPID out of FREE KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  WICKED BOSS Nov16         (meyers madison)TORREALBA JG 124 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CANDY BOSS by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  PERCY Dec22 Nov15 Aug10     (capuano phi)HAMILTON WESTON 124 5.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of STORM SWEPT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  VENETO Jan17 Dec22 Dec13 Dec01   (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BAMBOLA DI PEZZA by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  DERZ SMART Dec07 Oct06       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
6  GREY BIGGSY Dec01 Nov09 Oct18     (lynch cathal)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GIFT BOX out of JOY by PURE PRIZE)
7  GONE BOY Dec28 Nov04 Oct10     (sanchez-p)HERNANDEZ A 124 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BRUSHED BY A STAR by EDDINGTON)
SCR  MYLUCKEYVALENTINE Jan17 Dec13 Sep15     (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of DEREK'S GATOR GIRL by BROTHER DEREK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.