Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Tuesday - January 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/8/3/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/9/4)-(7/8/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/9/4)-(7/8/3/9/4)-(7/8/3/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/3/9/4)-(5/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/9/4)-(5/3/4)-(1/6/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/6/5/2)-(6/5/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(6/5/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/2)-(6/5/3/10)-(5/8/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/5/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/10)-(6/7/5/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/10)-(6/7/5/3/10)-(6/7/5/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/10)-(5/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/10)-(5/8/1/6)-(4/2/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/6)-(5/8/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/6)-(5/8/4/1/6)-(5/8/4/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/1/6)-(4/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/6)-(4/2/7/1)-(7/2/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/1)-(7/2/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/1)-(7/2/8/3)-(8/10/9/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/3)-(8/10/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/10/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/9/2/3)-(8/10/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/9/2/3)-(8/10/9/2/3)-(8/10/9/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHEZA SALTY GAL Sep18 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 8.00    
2  DEE'S LIL FOOL Jan09 Dec13 Nov27 Aug16 Jul26 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 20.00    
3  CAROLINA JACY Aug27 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May07 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  SHO NUFF Dec13 Mar09 Jan07 Dec28 Nov21 (nicholas rober)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHACHA TO CATALINA Jan09 Sep06 Feb01 Dec18 Dec06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00    
6  KISSTER Dec21 Nov13 Oct16 Jul25 Jul12 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
7  MOION Jan10 Dec18 Nov16 Oct29 Aug01 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
8  SECRETLY SWEET Jan10 Nov26 Oct10 Sep16 Mar20 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
9  MISSNEVERSATISFIED Jan09 Dec07 May24 May11 Apr10 (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00 6% 16.10    
10  DISCREET DEAL Jan02 Dec04 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
SCR  TALKABOUT Jan12 Nov22 Oct29 Aug01 Jul18 (broussard jar)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
 
DED-2   01/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAP HOT Jan03 Dec14 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 2.50    
2  VOODOO ZIP Dec07 Nov16 Sep11 Aug17 Jun05 (cano mun)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00    
3  LAGOON Jan03 Dec11 Oct18 Jul11 Apr11 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  AXEL STEEL Dec28 Mar03 Jan28 Dec04 Oct08 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
5  EMPIRE OF GOLD Jan03 Aug29 Aug17 Jun29 May27 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  SOLIDIFY Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Oct13 Sep18 (cano jua)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
 
DED-3   01/28/2025 4950ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW RESPECT (IRE) Jan10 Nov30       (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by AWESOME BET out of RESPECT UR ELDERS by GRAND MARSHALL)
2  E R'S MIREYA Jan02 Dec21 Nov15 Sep24 Aug22 (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of VALIDALIA by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SCR  REMEMBERIN RONALD Jan10 Dec01 Aug05 Jul20 Jul07 (robinsjr aaron)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
4  DOUBLE CUTE Jan10 Nov30 Oct23     (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 119 5.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of YOUJUSTCANTBETER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Jan10 Oct16 Sep14 Jul25 Jul16 (nelson eric)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
6  DAY STORM Jan10 Aug22 Jul20 Jul06 May30 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
  (by HARD ACES out of DEELITEFUL DAY by STORM DAY)
SCR  LAINESONDUTY Jan10         (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 4.50    
  (by AWESOME BET out of LAINES HOWDY DOODY by PLANET EARTH)
8  EASTON'S MOON Jan10         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 124 8.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of BEASTLIE MOON by THREE WONDERS)
 
DED-4   01/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARBUCK LUCK Jan11 Dec12 Nov30 Jun20 May25 (segura kear)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
2  LADY BE GONE Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Nov21 Oct26 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
3  DEAL ME A PENNY Oct26 May18 Feb24 Feb07 Dec20 (ward ronnie)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EASY BET Jan11 Dec14 Nov14 Oct17 Aug24 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00    
5  FOLLOW THE SAINT Dec27 Aug26 Aug12 Jun04 May21 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DR STRICKLANDS ACE Dec13 Nov25 Nov02 Aug11 Jul22 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
7  CUSTOM CANDY Jan08 Dec18 Nov14 Oct29 Sep03 (ramirez eduardo)BIRZER E 124 3.50 ★    
8  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Dec27 Nov30 Oct26 Sep23 Jul13 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 120 5.00    
SCR  I'M ALL MIXED UP Nov14 Oct29 Sep18 Sep03 Jul29 (tillis e)DEONAUTH P 120 20.00    
10  CHERRY STAR Dec11 Nov05 Jul26 Jun21 May18 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   01/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHING ANGELBABY Jul27 Jun20 May30 May17 May03 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HELLO HELLO MISTER Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Sep25 Sep11 (garza joaquin )ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
3  SNIVELING Jan10 Dec21 Oct05 Aug12 Jun26 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
4  AFFIRM CHIEF Jan10 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct23 (robbins )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★    
5  MUFFIN NUTS Jan08 Dec18 Nov22 Nov05 Oct17 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
6  STATE OF THE UNION Jan10 Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 Nov02 (flugence henry)HERNANDEZ V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Jan11 Dec21 Dec04 Nov07 Aug16 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 6.00    
8  BIG ROJO Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
9  MONITOR MILLS Jan10 Dec04 Oct19 Aug09 Jun20 (chatters benar)PEREZ CARLOS 116 8.00    
10  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Nov23 Oct19 Sep23 Sep14 Aug19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
DED-6   01/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR APRIORITY Jan01 Dec12 Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of ARMS RACE by GOLDEN MISSILE)
2  MUSEUM QUALITY Dec20 Jun23 May10 Apr28 Apr06 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  DONEGAL MOONSHINE Dec22 Nov05 Jun28 May31   (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  DONEGAL FREEDOM Dec22 Nov05 Aug14 Jan26   (noel dane)VARGAS P 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WARM SUNSHINE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  THAT'S APRIORITY         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of THAT REAL WORLD by ROGER THAT (GB))
6  KONAWA         (ziadie kirk)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of SOMETHING BREWING by MEADOWLAKE)
7  LOOK WEST         (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of PURSE STRINGS by EL AMANTE)
 
DED-7   01/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER HOT MESS Nov13 Jun08 Apr05 Feb16 Jan18 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
2  FORGOTTEN FORTUNE Nov26 Oct30 Aug22 Jun28 Jun14 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  MY LUCKY BREAK Jan03 Nov20 Aug16 Jul27 Jun28 (west henry)VARGAS P 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PERFECT WISH Nov08 Sep29 May27 Apr26 Apr05 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
5  MAJESTIC WAYS Dec04 May27 May03 Apr06 Feb17 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 4.50    
6  JUBELLA Aug10 Jul18 Apr28 Mar08 Jan27 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50    
7  ROYA Oct30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul04 Jun08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  BEST PERFORMER Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 Sep27 Jul28 (cano jua)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
DED-8   01/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETHEART VISION Dec19 Nov26 Nov02 Jun27 May24 (garcia migu)LEDET THEODRICK 121 4.00    
2  BRAND BOIS         (journet albert)DEONAUTH P 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  NICEPROBLEMTOHAVE Apr06         (west henry)HERNANDEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RED REVENGER Dec19 Dec05 Aug24     (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00    
5  CHINA Dec20         (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  LA CANTAROS Jan02 Nov29 Nov15 Oct29 Sep16 (melancon donal)ARANA KELVIN 119 12.00    
7  SHELLEY'S ROSE Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18   (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00    
8  TAKA Jan05 Nov28 Sep21     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
9  R SECRET LOVE         (ziadie kirk)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
10  KOKOMO STARLET Dec06 Nov07 Oct10 Sep16 Aug26 (jackson richard )BIRZER E 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.