Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(5/1/6)-(7/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(7/6/5)-(6/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(6/5/7)-(7/9/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(7/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(7/9/5/3)-(1/6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/3)-(7/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/3)-(7/9/5/3)-(7/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/5/3)-(1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5/3)-(1/6/4/7)-(8/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(8/6/3)-(7/10/3/11/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/4/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/4/5/6/3)-(8/4/5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/3)-(7/10/3/11/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3)-(7/10/3/11/1)-(10/2/1/6/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/10/3/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/3/11/1)-(7/10/3/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/3/11/1)-(7/10/3/11/1)-(7/10/3/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/3/11/1)-(10/2/1/6/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/2/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/6/9)-(10/2/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/6/9)-(10/2/1/6/9)-(10/2/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   01/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VELOCISSIMA Dec21 Dec13 Nov20 Sep06 Aug23 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
OSCAR GAZE Jan03 Oct21 Sep08 Aug18 Jul14 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 122 2.00    
QUEEN OF CHILL Dec18 Dec04 Sep25 Sep07 Aug24 (ashmore co)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 10.00    
NUMERIC Jan03 Dec13 Dec04 Oct27 Oct06 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Jan12 Dec22 Dec11 Nov30 Nov09 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
BURN THE BREEZE Dec27 Sep29 Sep06 Aug30 Aug04 (romero rafa)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMWIFEDREAMLIFE Dec18 Oct16       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  THATSTHEWAYITIS Nov25         (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
FUTURE FORTUNE Jan10 Jun30 Jun16 Apr26 Apr14 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 8.00    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Jan10 Dec18 Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50    
FUSSY GIRL Nov30 Nov01 Sep20 Aug09 Jul20 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
STARVIEW TWINKLE Jan10 Oct11 Jul06     (mazza w)FERRER C 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAPTITUDE Jan05 Dec18 Nov29 Sep20 Jun27 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00    
SONG RUNNER Jan05 Dec18 Nov20 Jul14 May09 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
RUSSIAN HAMMER Dec29 Dec11 Nov27 Oct19 Oct10 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
ZINGALES KING Dec28 Nov30 Oct18 Sep28 Aug17 (rose orland)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 6.00    
ROAD MINISTER Jan08 Dec18 Oct29 Oct03 Sep14 (dimmett j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMART JOKER Dec29 Oct17 Sep25 Jul01 Jun10 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
SIR ROBERT HALL Jan05 Dec18 Nov30 Jul27 Jul07 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
TAM-4   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MT. D'ORO Jan11 Dec21       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
MY LITTLE WILDCAT Jan11         (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 2.50    
SCR  WIN WIN MOON Jan11 Dec07       (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
THAT'S FUNNY         (sacco d)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
MISSPENT Jan04 Dec11 Nov20 Oct13   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
MADAM MITOLE Dec24 Dec07 Sep21 Aug30   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
GOLD STAMP         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   01/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE TRULY Nov29 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Jun14 (arriagada j)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
MOHS Dec14 Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jun22 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.20    
PANDO Jan12 Dec22 Dec04 Oct16 Aug31 (wilson tony)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIGEL Dec29 Dec07 Sep11 Aug12 May25 (sancal m)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Jan11 Dec14 Nov30 Oct11 Sep21 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PAYNTED WARRIOR Jan11 Dec24 Oct14 Sep30 Aug26 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 12.00    
GROUNDED Dec14 Oct24 Oct03 Aug07 Jul15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 118 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  IMPACTO Jan15 Jan04 Nov29 May01 Apr06 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.00    
A WESTERN YARN Jan11 Dec06 Oct14 Sep14 Jul10 (posadas pedro)CENTENO E 118 5.00 10% 9.10    
 
TAM-6   01/26/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALAGADOOLA Dec18 Nov23 Oct17 Oct05 Aug08 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 1.60 66% 0.50    
LADY DOMINANCE Jan15 Jan03 Dec11 Aug17 Jul27 (torres r)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
DIOSA CATRINA Jan12 Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 Oct10 (wright michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
VIKING QUEEN Jan08 Jan01 Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 (ward dennis)FERRER C 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
INOUAINTALKINTOME Jan15 Jan04 Dec27 Nov13 Oct21 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 6.00    
SING SCAT Jan12 Dec18 Nov30 Oct26 Oct04 (davis scooter)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
SPUNFORFUN Jan01 Dec22 Dec04 Oct10 Aug31 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   01/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULF COAST GIRL Jan08 Dec20 Dec04 Oct01 Sep08 (dini mike)CASTANON L 122 10.00    
TOO HOT TO STOP Jan05 Dec21 Sep26 Aug15 Jul28 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 30.00    
REAL MIKEY Jan12 Dec13 Nov23 Jul27 Jul07 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
THREE RUN BOLT Jan12 Dec29 Nov02 Sep01 Aug24 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 3.00    
BOLT OF PARADISE Jan05 Dec18 Oct12 Sep21 Jul26 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 118 3.50    
CLASSY LIL BETTY Aug30 Aug16 Apr05 Feb28 Feb07 (rountree cathy)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S CONNECT Sep17 Aug25 Jul21 May25 Apr05 (mann m)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00    
MISS TAPTRESS Dec27 Nov29 Oct19 Jun27 Oct19 (lightner)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 68% 0.50    
C. S. VIVACE Jan05 Oct27 Aug31 Jun16 Jun01 (baxter georgina)FERRER C 118 15.00    
10  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Jan05 Dec18 Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 30.00    
SCR  SHAMU Jan12 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 Oct16 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00    
SCR  UDIDN'TPAY Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 Nov06 Oct28 (ashmore co)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
 
TAM-8   01/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOUVEAU RICHE Jan10 Nov03 Oct23 Oct13 Aug18 (cascallares nest)LEON SONNY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE CARLEY Jan10 Dec24 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 (kutt don)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00    
BARBARESCO BABY Jan10 Dec24 Nov03 Oct26 Oct04 (spanabel k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  FORTUNE DREAMS Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 (lopez rob)LARA VICTOR 112 8.00    
STARSHIP SOPHIA Dec29         (ferraro anthony)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S CHARADE Jan19 Dec18       (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 2.00    
JESS'S BREW Dec13 Aug28       (cudworth pau)BATISTA A 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
TRUE HONEY Dec24         (serra)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 30.00    
CAMDYN RACE Jan09 Dec28 Dec12     (mcgoey)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 30.00    
10  HIGH TRACK Jan08 Oct23 Oct08 Dec16 Nov19 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
11  BLACK AND SILVER Dec13 Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (dobber arnou)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   01/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME CATHERINE Jan05 Dec18 Oct30 Sep27 Sep14 (wilson ton)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 5.00 15% 5.50    
COMPASS RISES Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct17 Sep07 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 16% 5.40    
SISTER NELL Oct04 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 10.00    
ALLONS Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 Jun07 May26 (creel rick)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00    
HARD SPICE Dec28 Jul12 Jun20 Apr19 Mar17 (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 30.00    
ULTIMATE MISSION Jun23 Nov10 Aug18 Jul11 Dec28 (hunt donald)FERRER C 118 12.00 6% 16.30    
CAPTIVATING SOUND Jan15 Jan05 Dec13 Oct06 Sep28 (torre)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
CHERBOURG Dec20 Dec04 Oct13 Sep02 Jan26 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
BIANCA Sep17 Sep09 Aug13 Jul24 Jun26 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHAKREVENGE Jan05 Dec11 Oct27 Oct13 Aug24 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  CALMING SEA Dec19 Nov30 Nov09 Oct18 Sep21 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  FROTHY Jan05 Dec21 Nov03 Sep27 Aug04 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.