Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Saturday - January 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/3)-(3/8/2/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/8/2/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/8/2/1/4)-(2/1/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/8/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1/4)-(3/8/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1/4)-(3/8/2/1/4)-(3/8/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/2/1/4)-(2/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/1/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(1/5/8/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-5   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(1/5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/4)-(1/5/8/4/3)-(2/3/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (1/5/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/4/3)-(1/5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/4/3)-(1/5/8/4/3)-(1/5/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/4/3)-(2/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/4/3)-(2/3/5/7)-(1/11/2/12/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7)-(1/11/2/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (1/11/2/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/2/12/3)-(1/11/2/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/2/12/3)-(1/11/2/12/3)-(1/11/2/12/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROLS KITTEN Dec12 Nov13 Oct30 Oct10 Sep26 (williams f)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
2  AUTO BE A STAR Dec12 Nov13 Oct23 Jun27 Jun13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 20.00    
3  FLATTER ME ZEN Oct11 Sep29 Sep13 Aug04 May04 (childs russe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEARDROP TIARA Dec15 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.80 37% 1.70    
5  HIGHLANDER HONEY Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul07 (gou)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.50 12% 7.20    
6  SECRET VERSE Nov23 Nov08 Oct12 Sep29 Sep04 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  LOOKATCHU Nov06 Oct02       (asmussen )TRIANA JR 119 6.00    
 
HOU-3   01/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET READY GAL Oct25 Sep10 Aug19 Jul09 May11 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 8.00    
2  ITS MY MONEY TOO Jan04 Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Oct03 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00    
3  CUECA Nov23 May15 Apr23 Apr01 Nov25 (bravo francis)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
4  BLUEBERRY EYES Jan05 Dec12 Nov30 Aug22 Jun15 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 1.00 34% 1.90    
5  PANTHERA Nov25 Oct04 Sep21 Aug22 Jul07 (davidson n)PARKER L 123 4.50    
6  SUPER LUXE Oct16 Aug29 Aug03 Jul12 Jun15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
HOU-4   01/18/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT KENDRA Dec05 Nov13 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 (mcdaniel bria)CABRERA DAVID 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONTESSA'S SONG Nov30 Nov14 Oct31 Sep27 Aug16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 8% 11.50    
3  OVER THE CLOUDS Sep26 Sep03 Aug24 Jul09   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 3.00 62% 0.60    
4  IMMA GOING TO WIN Dec19 Nov16 Jun16 May31 Apr28 (rangel raul)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIRAGE CODE Oct12 Sep29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 (chi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 30.00    
6  PINK SOLITAIRE Oct05 Sep05 Aug24 Jun30 May27 (willis mindy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00    
7  MIA IS SHORT Dec05 Nov22 Oct17 Sep26 Sep07 (silva mig)TRIANA JR 123 12.00    
8  FACTOR THAT Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 Jun20 (rengsto)GONCALVES R 121 3.50 9% 10.80    
9  WEST TEXAS RUBY Dec07 Nov26       (martin steve)HUCKABY RONNIE 116 50.00    
 
HOU-5   01/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UBSINGINTHEBLUES Jul04 Jun21 May26 Feb09 Jan21 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  FREEWAY Jan04 Nov22       (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 118 1.20 51% 1.00    
SCR  CANDY BINDER Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 May26   (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 20.00    
4  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 Sep17 Jul29 (baldillez al)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIGTIMEINTHECITY Dec12 Nov15 Oct16 Mar05 Feb18 (j)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
6  HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN Jun28 Jun01       (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 8% 10.90    
7  WITT'S RINGER Jan04 Nov30       (gou)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 4.00    
8  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Sep03 Aug13 Jul13 Jun15 May25 (rivera j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 20.00    
 
HOU-6   01/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INACLASSOFMYOWN Nov22         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WIN THE WAR by WAR FRONT)
2  UPTOWN TAPPIN Sep26 Sep07       (werneth a)DIEGO V 122 8.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of A JUMPINANDA JIVIN by JUMP START)
3  THE LAST MOXY Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Oct11 Sep27 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MANHATTAN MOXY by LEMON DROP KID)
4  ROYALIST Nov14 Oct23 Sep14 Sep05 Jul02 (cruz eduardo)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
5  ROAD TO ELDORADO Dec04 Nov16 Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 (capp)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LESS TRAVELED by GOTTCHA GOLD)
6  ATLANTIC STORM Dec28         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ONE IN A ROMP by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
7  JUTE BOX Dec15 Nov22 Oct02     (ashford ray)PARKER L 122 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of METMEYER by DROSSELMEYER)
8  KING OF THE DISCO Dec05 Nov06 Oct23 Jul14 Jun15 (davis sha)TRIANA JR 122 20.00 5% 18.50    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of COAL AND ICE by TAPIT)
9  GET DREAMY Nov22 Nov08       (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DAYDREAM by BELIEVE IT)
 
HOU-7   01/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Nov30 Aug17 Jun29 May18 Apr07 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 121 4.50    
2  CHIVALROUS (BRZ) Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Oct10   (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  MO SATURDAYS Nov29 Oct31 Sep11 Aug30 Aug14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
4  BIG BRAVE OKIE Dec07 Nov26 Nov16 Oct11 Sep27 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 30.00    
5  COUSIN LARRY Jan05 Nov26 Oct12 Sep26 Sep11 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00 9% 10.80    
6  STORMS LAST Jan05 Dec11 Nov09 Oct04 Sep13 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00    
7  LEAR Nov30 Nov19 Sep18 Jul03 Jun23 (a)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  EDIFIED Nov19 Sep14 Aug23 Jul27 Jun19 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00    
 
HOU-8   01/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDDING Dec11 Nov19 Oct16 Sep25 Aug21 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  BIG MUCKITY Jan05 Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 123 6.00 5% 18.20    
3  CALL OF HONOR Jan03 Dec11 Oct30 Sep26 Aug08 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HARD GOLD Jul13 Jun21 May25 Mar17 Mar03 (caldwell r)WADE LYNDIE 123 20.00    
5  TAKE ACTION Jul21 Jul03 Jun14 Apr19 Mar03 (camacho jose)VERA T 123 8.00    
6  FAST TRAFFIC Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 (gou)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 30.00    
7  HARD CANDY Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Nov02 Oct16 (v)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
8  R D C POSSE Dec04 Nov19 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
9  DARYLSLITTLEDIABLO Nov15 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 Mar29 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00    
10  TEXAS PRADO Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May18 Mar17 (pish danny)ELLIOTT S 123 30.00    
11  PINKY RING BLING Dec21 Dec07 Nov18 Oct09 Sep05 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
12  GRAPNEL Jun16 May25 Mar10 Feb02 Jan13 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.