Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (3/11/2/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/2/10/4)-(3/11/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/2/10/4)-(3/11/2/10/4)-(3/11/2/10/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (3/11/2/10/4)-(4/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-2   WIN (4/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/5)-(4/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/5)-(4/7/8/5)-(4/7/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/8/5)-(9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/5)-(9/7/1)-(6/2/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (9/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/1)-(9/7/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/1)-(9/7/8/1)-(9/7/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1)-(6/2/4/7)-(8/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/7)-(8/3/4/5)-(2/8/5/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SUN-5   WIN (8/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2/8/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/9/10)-(2/8/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/9/10)-(2/8/5/9/10)-(2/8/5/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-7   WIN (6/4/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/8/9)-(6/4/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/8/9)-(6/4/7/8/9)-(6/4/7/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/8/9)-(3/6/1/2)-(5/1/6/7/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
SUN-8   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(5/1/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (5/1/6/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7/8)-(5/1/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7/8)-(5/1/6/7/8)-(5/1/6/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.2K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE LUTE Dec18 Dec02 Nov11     (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of RAPPING KAREN by RAPPER S S)
CHAMPS MONEY Dec10         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of BWANA BE COWGIRL by BWANA CHARLIE)
SHORT ROUND BOUND Dec17 Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 Sep06 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of JUST KEEP MOVIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
AIR SPORT ONE Dec18 Aug02       (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
AMERICAN RED Dec18 Dec02       (dennison h)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of HALOSOVERHOLLYWOOD by IRON HALO (ARG))
KING OF COUNTRY Dec18 Dec02 Nov11     (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 6.00    
  (by COMFORT out of BEAUTYS RAP by RAPPER S S)
SCR  GOLDEN GATO Dec10 Nov11 Oct23 Sep14 Sep06 (henr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 12.00    
  (by METABOSS out of KATIE IT'S FINE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
COLFAX KID Dec18 Nov11 Sep22 Sep06   (cross gary)NEGRON LUIS 121 15.00    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of LIL LAST DANZ by KING BULL)
AFTERNOON BREW Dec02         (young don)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00    
  (by CHIPSHOT out of ALLPOINTBULLETIN by JEFFRIES BAY)
10  SAPELLO RIDDLER Dec17 Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Sep22 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
11  BYE BYE RUSS Dec18 Nov25       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of TWO STEPPER by ATTILA'S STORM)
12  AMERICAN RANGER BB         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of GIFT CARD by GREAT SUN)
 
SUN-2   01/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKATHERGLIDE Dec03 Nov11 Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
SCR  JULIA'S PROMISE Jan09 Dec09 Nov11 Oct23 Sep28 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
BIG HOPES Dec03 Oct13 Sep06 Aug08 Jul28 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 124 4.50    
SIERRA BLANCA Dec04 Sep26 Sep18 Jun16 Dec12 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
MIDNIGHT SUSI Dec03 Nov11 Oct20 Sep29 Sep05 (tsosie terrill)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
STAY BY THE BEACH Dec03 Nov11 Oct27 Oct11 Sep18 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 124 10.00    
AND CHANGE Dec03 Nov11 Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  BASIC Dec16 Dec03 Nov11 Oct27 Sep13 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
 
SUN-3   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOVERY N SIGHT Dec04 Nov05 Sep15 Mar22 Feb22 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN ATTILA Oct18 Sep26 Aug03 Jul19 Jun15 (gomez steve)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
ARTFUL CRITIC Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Nov05 Mar15 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 12.00    
EVERYROSEHASATHORN Dec18 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Aug23 (chavez alejandro)VALDEZ S 124 3.00    
SCR  PANCHO LEFT ME Oct20 Oct12 Sep28 Sep11 May19 (marquez l)JAIME R 124 4.50    
I'M A DREAMER TOO Dec04 Nov05 Oct09 Sep07 Aug03 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00    
MR RIGGER Dec04 Nov19 Dec20 Dec11 Nov07 (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
B R KIDD ROCK Jul20 Jun07 Apr16 Mar27 Mar06 (dennison da)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
KING BRYCE Dec17 Dec04 Nov25 Oct20 Oct05 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.50 73% 0.40    
 
SUN-4   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSPICE Oct18 Sep26 Sep08 Apr20 Dec18 (chacon se)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 8.00    
LAUGH OF THE PARTY Dec17 Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 Oct06 (olguin ever)VALDEZ S 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
ATTILA THE STAR Sep07 Jun09 Apr04 Jan18 Oct15 (gonzales j)ROSENDO J 124 10.00    
SIR RUCKUS Dec10 Dec04 Nov19 Sep06   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00 20% 4.00    
ABETEMARCO Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep26 Sep15 (trujillo j)TORRES J 124 5.00    
BYE BYE LIAM Nov15 Oct30 Sep27 Aug22 Feb18 (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
ATTILA'S ACE Dec17 Dec04 Nov25 Nov05 Aug24 (armstrong sherr)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAE GAE Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00    
SCR  TEE BREAKER Jan10 Dec17 Dec04 Oct09 Sep15 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 5.00    
10  KICKIN' CHARLIE Dec26 Nov17 Nov01 Oct06 Sep07 (tsosie terri)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 20.00    
 
SUN-5   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT TO FANCY Dec04 Nov05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 (danley i)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
HOODWINKED KATE Dec17 Dec04 Nov11 Sep07 Aug17 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
SCARY CHERRY Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 May19 Apr27 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
HONKY TONK HONEY Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Sep07 Mar29 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 8.00 5% 17.50    
SHEZA HAILSTORM Dec16 Dec04 Nov11 Oct20 Oct09 (valerio raymo)JUAREZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE UP A STORY Dec18 Nov25 Nov05 Mar29 Feb18 (fincher w)HEBERT J 124 3.50    
CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Dec17 Sep03 Jul29 Jan15 Jan01 (middleton g)ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
LORA LEE WHO Nov11 Aug05       (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
SUN-6   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEONAS GIRL Dec09 Nov11 Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 (morales danny)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
KENTUCKY GOLD Dec09 Nov25 Nov05 Oct11 Jun09 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
MARKING'S MIRACLE Jan03 Nov11 Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.50    
RUNAWAY GODDESS Sep22 Sep05       (sedillo carlo)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
DREAM MONEY Dec09 Nov05 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
MARKED BY MISCHIEF Dec16 Nov11 Oct12 Aug24 Aug16 (gomez steve)JAIME R 124 20.00    
LEAP YEAR NIGHT Oct12 Nov27 Oct21 Sep02 Aug18 (martinez a)CARRENO J 124 5.00    
CADEN'S GIRL Dec17 Dec02       (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 28% 2.60    
RUN AWAY BAY Dec09 Nov11 Aug23 Jul27 Mar29 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 8% 11.30    
10  QUEEN HADASSAH Nov11 Feb15 Jan05 Dec19 Oct08 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-7   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($47.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER DOME Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Oct12 Apr07 (barton dalla)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 10.00    
ANTONIOS MARK Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 Oct27 Oct12 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 124 6.00    
ROLL PENNY ROLL Jan03 Nov25 Nov04 Oct09 Sep02 (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
MARKING CANYON Dec16 Nov25 Nov19 Sep19 Jul26 (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
STILL IN THE TRAP Dec16 Jun08 Apr13 Mar22 Feb23 (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
ONE MARK Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 Nov27 Oct29 (fincher w)HEBERT J 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
DAVE'S ENCHANTMENT Oct27 Oct11 Sep19 Jun16 May19 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 9% 10.30    
BODIE GOT GOLD Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct27 Sep14 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00 8% 11.00    
SAMBAS MARK Dec09 Nov04 Oct12 Sep02 Mar22 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-8   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Corralito Steak House Purse ($90K) 3 ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIME CHILTON Dec17 Nov11 Aug18 Aug02   (gonzales james )ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
MY PEACHES Q Dec02 Sep22       (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TRAIN RIDER BLUES out of BABY LETS ROCK by ATTILA'S STORM)
HOLY HANK Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 (buechler j)HEBERT J 121 1.20 65% 0.50    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of CITY VEIL by GOTHAM CITY)
HE'S A GENIUS Dec17 Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 (barton )FUENTES T 121 3.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
GAMBLAWAY Dec18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 Sep22 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of GAMBLERS ODYSSEY by EL CORREDOR)
HOLDWHATYOUGOT Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 (green greg)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 5% 17.80    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PERFORMANCE REVIEW by ESKENDEREYA)
STAND UP GUY Dec17 Nov25 Nov11 Oct13 Sep22 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
 
SUN-9   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST LaSenora Purse ($90K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SMOOCH Nov25 Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 (valerio raymond)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by COMFORT out of A KISS FOR MOM by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
BYE BYE HOLLEY Dec03 Nov12       (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of ANNIS by TEXAS GLITTER)
SHES ACTING SINGLE Dec17 Nov25 Oct09 Sep25 Aug31 (aldavaz hermengi)VALDEZ S 121 8.00    
  (by COMFORT out of FINAL DISPERSAL by DISPERSAL)
SIRRAH Dec17 Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 May26 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 5.00    
  (by HARRIS out of PASSION TO WIN by EXCESSIVE PASSION)
MARKED KISS Dec17 Nov25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07 (gonzales j)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 46% 1.20    
  (by MARKING out of BACK SEAT KISS by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
CHARLOTTE'S SPIDER Dec17         (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 5% 18.90    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of SHES A LOOKER R F by SILVER SEASON)
FORTY FIVE Nov25 Nov12 Sep25     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
AMERICAN CHERUB Nov25 Aug18 Aug02     (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of BE MY ANGEL by DIABOLICAL)
SAPELLO SAMBA Dec17 Nov25 Nov12 Sep22   (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 121 15.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of DATTTS DA BOSS by STREET BOSS)
10  NOT A REHEARSAL Dec17 Aug02 Jun15     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of AFRICAN HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
11  MO MONEY MOLLY Dec17 Dec03       (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MOLLY MY LOVE by DOME)
12  SIS SPENDER Dec10 Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
  (by MARKING out of CANDY'S SISTER by STREET BOSS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.