Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3)-(6/1/3)-(8/3/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(8/3/7/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(8/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-5   WIN (8/3/7/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/6/4)-(8/3/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/6/4)-(8/3/7/6/4)-(8/3/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7/6/4)-(5/3/1)-(4/6/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/2/8/1)-(5/3/2/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(4/6/1/8)-(2/9/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/8)-(2/9/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/9/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/8/4)-(2/9/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/8/4)-(2/9/5/8/4)-(2/9/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR THUNDER Dec03 Nov14 Aug22 Jun30 May25 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
FAYRUZ TRIBUTE Nov11 Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00    
CLEAR THE COAST Nov26 Sep21 Aug11 Jul06 Jun06 (woolley b)VALENZUELA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SKY CLOUD Nov26 Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
BLUES RAPPER Nov27 Nov18 Nov11 Sep08 Aug30 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 11% 8.30    
PICAHOUSE Nov27 Nov11 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 119 3.00    
ECHO CANYON Dec02 Nov18 Mar11 May13 Apr17 (schnell don)TOHILL S 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
TUP-4   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Glendale Overnight Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIES INHERITANCE Sep14 Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Jun08 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 12% 7.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
LOANA Nov04 Sep08 Aug10 Jun30 Apr15 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
ZIPPIN SEVENZ Nov27 Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of GO JACKIE GO by MATTY G)
DON'T BRING CRAZY Nov17 Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Feb23 (o'neill doug)LOPEZ KARLO 119 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LILY MARIA by PAYNTER)
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Sep08 Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Feb19 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 2.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
BIG HUG Oct12 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 51% 1.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
TUP-5   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CAPRICHO Nov15 Oct27 Oct18 Jul28 Jul20 (stubblefi)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
WORDS OF WISDOM Nov16 Oct10 Sep28 May25 May11 (rarick wade)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
PAID IN FULL Nov20 Oct13 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
BROOKYS TAPIT Aug05 Jul20 Jun21 Apr24 Apr09 (matt l)MONTALVO C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HADLEES HONOR Nov20 Oct14 Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 (crowe she)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
CAJUN TREASURE Nov30 Nov20 Nov11 Sep13 Aug25 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ELEVADO Nov18 Oct04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
SURPRISE FASHION Nov30 Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 Sep23 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Nov30 Nov14 Oct11 Oct04 Sep07 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
 
TUP-6   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURR TIGER Nov21 Nov13 Sep26 Sep01 Aug24 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE GIFT Apr30 Apr17 Apr04 Mar20 Mar05 (f)ROJAS EDUARD 121 6.00    
OOPS (GB) Oct19 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Aug24 (o'hagan colleen)MAWING A 121 12.00 34% 2.00    
DANCING NURSE Nov15 Oct20 Oct05 Sep15 Jul27 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
VEGAS CHARM Dec03 Oct20 Sep28 Aug02   (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Nov13 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17   (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
CY'S SILKSTOCKING Nov21 Aug01 Jul05 Jun22 May01 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
NEW WEST Oct25 Oct10 Sep07 Jun30   (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.50    
DAME LORRAINE Dec03 Oct27       (perkinson cc)BARNES JOSE 121 12.00    
 
TUP-7   12/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARCO Sep29 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 124 12.00 19% 4.40    
SHES GOT THE POWER Nov20 Sep13 Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
DESERT RUMBLE Oct27 Sep29 Aug17 Jul26 Jun16 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
PACIFIC ZIP Nov25 Aug22 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.20 32% 2.10    
MERINO WOOL Nov25 Jul28 Jul14 Jun07 May12 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
GYPSY WIFE Nov11 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
LEMON DROP LADY Dec03 Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 Jun23 (bean robe)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
ALWAYS GALLANT Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Sep22 Aug30 (belvoir va)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAZED BY LOVE Aug31 Aug02 Jul06     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
TENFORTHEBIGGUY Oct06         (evans justin)MOJICA O 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
FLYING BLIND Sep06 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 May25 (b)ROJAS EDUARD 121 6.00    
CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Sep23 Feb11 Jan13     (homer jas)IRONEYES R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEZ ALL SMILES Jul27 Jun15       (peery debbie)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 17.20    
AVELLINASA Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 4.00    
TAKE MY ALLOWANCE May04 Apr04 Mar16     (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
KLINKERBRICK Nov29 Nov20 Oct14 Sep22 Sep14 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 5% 17.70    
VINNIEBOB May04 Apr18 Mar27 Feb27 Feb09 (story chad)CRUZ M 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
10  MO MAMBO Jun29 May19 May04 Apr09   (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.