Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(10/5/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(10/5/7/8)-(6/7/5/9/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-3   WIN (10/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/8)-(10/5/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/8)-(10/5/3/7/8)-(10/5/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/5/7/8)-(6/7/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/7/8)-(6/7/5/9/8)-(3/4/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/7/5/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/9/8)-(6/7/5/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/9/8)-(6/7/5/9/8)-(6/7/5/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/5/9/8)-(3/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/9/8)-(3/4/7/5)-(6/1/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(6/1/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(6/1/4/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (6/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/9)-(6/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/9)-(6/1/4/9)-(6/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/9)-(8/6/1/2/9)-(2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/6/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9)-(8/6/1/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/1/2/9)-(2/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/10/4)-(2/6/1/10/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Breeders' Futurity Purse ($35K) 2 C/G PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOOLS CONVERSATION Sep21 Aug24       (eikleberry kevin)MOJICA O 120 3.50    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of A DROP DEAD DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
2  EZ IZ ONZAWAY         (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 5.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of ONZAWAY by ARCH)
3  MANZONI Sep27         (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 120 3.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BOLD AND WONDERFUL by OLYMPIO)
4  TIME TO FLY Aug31 Jul27 Jun28     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
5  ODE TO MY BRO BOB Nov25 Nov13 Sep21 Aug24   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MAME'S FLAME by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
6  CREE         (williams )VALENZUELA A 120 6.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of PLENTY by BOUNDARY)
 
TUP-3   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ULTIMATE Sep06 Jul21 Jun07 May24 Apr21 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
2  SHINING TIGER Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Jul28 Jul05 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 10.00    
3  READY TO STORM Nov12 Oct11 Sep25 Aug24 Jun14 (gleason m)TOHILL S 121 6.00 ★    
4  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE Aug30 Aug03 Jul12 Jun14 May12 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
5  LIE AND DENY Nov12 Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 Jul03 (evans justin)MOJICA O 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  OHHH DADDY Nov14 May19 May11 Mar22 Feb22 (rojero lui)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
7  STRENGTH OF AUTISM Nov26 Oct11 Aug11 Jul21 Oct28 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIRROR IMAGE Nov13 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  XTREME MAYHEM Apr30 Apr17 Mar06 Feb20 Oct04 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
10  OVERLY FAST Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 5.00 53% 0.90    
 
TUP-4   12/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGE SUNSET Nov17 Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 (diaz f)GARCIA EPIFANIO 124 20.00    
2  FIGHT ME Nov14 Apr22 Apr11 Mar25 Mar11 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
3  SCRATCHY APACHE Nov26 Jun23 May12 Sep17 Jul09 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
4  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Nov20 Sep01 Aug23 Jul28 Jul13 (johnston kimberl)MONTALVO C 124 10.00    
5  CONNECTER Nov20 Oct13 Oct06 Sep30 Sep16 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 14% 5.90    
6  MISTER MCLEAN Sep03 Jul10 Jun05 Apr19 Apr05 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
7  BOSS OF THEMOSS Nov25 Jul20 Jun30 Jun07 May04 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  IM STILL THIRSTY Nov12 Aug24 Jun14 Jun02 May25 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TRIBUNAL LOVE Nov14 Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 Aug30 (baze robert)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 5.00 6% 16.40    
 
TUP-5   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCATALICIOUS Nov18 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
2  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Nov21 Nov12 Sep15 Sep01 Aug24 (hernandez )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
3  RUBYSA Nov12 Sep26 Sep09 Aug16 Jul21 (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
4  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Nov12 Oct23 Oct04 Sep11 Aug25 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  THE COMRIE RULE Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug17 (brown allen)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEA MISCHIEF May12 Apr10 Mar20 Mar04 Feb15 (bean a)REYES R 122 6.00    
7  TROUBLE N PARADISE Nov12 Sep21 Jul06 Jun23 Apr22 (trela rosem)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
8  LADY ATHENA Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 Sep06 Aug19 (williams )IRONEYES R 119 10.00    
 
TUP-6   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM EMPIRE         (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  WAR IS HELL Nov13 Oct06 Sep07 Aug10   (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00    
3  CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED Sep01         (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 8.00    
4  ROADSWITCHER Oct12 Sep14       (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 7% 12.40    
5  GONE GREY Oct20 Sep14       (gleason ti)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
6  TAKE CHARGE TOM         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  RUSTY'S LEGACY Nov13 Oct06       (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
SCR  THREE PLUS ONE         (essex charles)REYES R 121 5.00    
9  DEBUTANTES DELIGHT Nov16 Oct23 Sep14 Aug17   (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOTTLE CAPS Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 (williams )IRONEYES R 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALLEY ECHO Sep06 Jun23 Jun02 May11   (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 12.00 15% 5.50    
2  CHARYBDIS May20 Apr30       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VERONICA'S DELIGHT Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 119 5.00    
4  LOTSA LACE Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb26 Aug26 (cuccia susa)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
5  STARRY BEACH Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 Aug05 Jul07 (silva-mart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
6  SKY SAILING Nov19 Sep08 Aug25 Aug02 Jun08 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  MINEDANDREFINED Nov19 Sep07 Aug03 Apr09 Feb15 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50    
8  STARDUST DREAMS Apr29 Apr10 Feb22 Jan31 Apr01 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
9  CHARLEY PAINTS Nov19 Sep07 Aug25 Aug08 Jul27 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Breeders' Futurity Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29   (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
2  SQUEEZE THE DAY Jul27 May04 Apr11     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SQUEEZE ME by PAPA CLEM)
3  STAY N LOV Nov13         (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of REINA'S LOV by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
4  BRUMBODOPPELGANGER Sep15 Aug25       (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 120 6.00 ★    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of DADDY'S MELODY by SCAT DADDY)
5  BANGO GAL Nov13         (barraza s)MAWING A 120 15.00    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of VALENTINES GAL by TRIBAL RULE)
6  JUST CALL ME LUCKY Jul27 May04 Apr11     (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of LUCKY LAST by LOTSA MISCHIEF)
7  ROLLING MY EYES Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  LA VALENTINA         (alvarez ser)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 8.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SHESAGAMBLINDEVIL by AWESOME GAMBLER)
9  AUDACITY OF FAITH Aug11 Jul20 Jun29     (barrio sergio)REYES R 120 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of EXCESSIVELYBLESSED by HOLD ME BACK)
10  BE AWARE Nov13         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 120 5.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWARE by EL ROBLAR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.