Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - November 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2)-(1/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/2)-(1/10/4/8)-(5/7/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/10/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/4/8)-(1/10/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/4/8)-(1/10/7/4/8)-(1/10/7/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/4/8)-(5/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/10/4/8)-(5/7/2/1)-(8/6/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/1)-(8/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(2/5/8/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/1)-(2/5/8/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/1)-(2/5/8/4/9)-(6/9/2/4/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/5/8/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/4/9)-(2/5/8/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/4/9)-(2/5/8/4/9)-(2/5/8/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/8/4/9)-(6/9/2/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/4/9)-(6/9/2/4/10)-(5/2/10/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/9/2/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/4/10)-(6/9/2/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/4/10)-(6/9/2/4/10)-(6/9/2/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/2/4/10)-(5/2/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/4/10)-(5/2/10/6)-(5/3/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/2/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/10/6)-(5/2/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/10/6)-(5/2/10/6)-(5/2/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/10/6)-(5/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/10/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (5/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/8)-(5/1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8)-(5/1/3/2/8)-(5/1/3/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/16/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIGU STAR Oct25 Sep21 Aug27 Jul01 Jun12 (ashton patr)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 4.50    
2  EYE ON THE CANDY Oct04 Sep14 Sep05 Aug01 Jun23 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ SPEEDY Oct24 Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 (aguirre)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00 12% 7.60    
4  IMPETUD Oct24 Sep14 Aug31 Jun23 Jun02 (gonzalez claud)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  DURKIN'S CALL Oct25 Sep27 Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 (serey mario)ROBLES O 114 20.00    
6  GALATIANS Oct27 Sep27 Sep07 Aug18 Jul19 (dilodovico da)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
7  GIVE IT A GO Oct23 Sep27 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 (gonzalez clau)FUENTES ERICK 109 30.00    
8  DAREDAVITE Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 Aug28 Jul05 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 3.50    
 
LRL-2   11/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK STARTNESS Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Aug21 Jul18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  LE VIN Oct28 Sep25 Mar05 Feb19 Jan28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80    
2  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Oct26 Sep27 Sep07 Aug18 Aug10 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 119 15.00    
3  WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD Oct20 Sep27 Aug31 Aug18 Jul19 (mckenzie )BETANCOURT R 121 4.50    
4  CASSIUS Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 Aug10 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LANGLEE AVENUE Oct24 Oct05 Sep02 Aug18 Jul10 (mckenzie danie)PEREZ XAVIER 119 30.00    
6  RUN FOR YOUR LIFE Oct19 Aug18 May04 Mar31   (alvarado di)ROBLES O 118 12.00    
7  OMAR COMIN Oct12 Oct05 Sep15 Sep02 Aug10 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 ★    
8  CHAT BLANC Oct26 Oct09 Sep29 Sep07 Jun21 (keefe l)RUIZ JORGE 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FORMAL AFFAIR Nov01 Sep29 Aug17 Jul19 May10 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00    
10  EL DE LARRY Nov08 Oct17 Oct05 Sep04 Aug16 (machado a)CARRASCO R 124 12.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  GHOSTLYPRINCE Oct05 Sep19 Aug02 Jul06 Jun29 (rodriguez r)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 2.50    
 
LRL-3   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 35 M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHINGWONDERFUL         (aguirre a)BETANCOURT R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LOVE MY GIRL by EL CORREDOR)
2  SONG TIME         (merryman el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 5% 18.20    
  (by COLLECTED out of RICHETTA by POLISH NUMBERS)
3  NOT A BOTHER Oct24         (graham robin )ALVELO C 126 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of TANKA by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
4  PHANTASMICAL Oct25 Jul30       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124 1.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AFLEETING LADY by AFLEET ALEX)
5  ALANI Oct21 Aug24 Jan24 Dec26 Nov22 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of TRI DELT GIRL by SEFAPIANO)
6  LYSTRA         (anderson p)CRUZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of ASTONISHING ARIANA by VIOLENCE)
7  SOUNDBITE Oct10 Aug05 Jun28 Jun01 Apr20 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ABTASAAMAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
LRL-4   11/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ARM Nov05 Oct28 Oct02 Sep25 Aug23 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Oct27 Jul13 Jun22 May31 May09 (walters hen)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 6.00    
3  PRESSING CONCERN Aug24 Jun16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 (mohan r)SANNA MIRKO 119 30.00    
4  JOHNNYFRENCHFRI Oct25 Sep29 May14 Mar25 Feb19 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DARK TIMBER Oct30 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 Jul18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00    
6  IKIGAI Sep29 Aug25 Jul18 Jul06 Jun23 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIT STOP MAN Jul13 Jun29 Apr26 Apr07 Mar13 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 123 3.00    
8  RAD PAISLEY Oct12 Sep29 Aug25 Jul28 Jun27 (shankle joann)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 62% 0.60    
9  ICING Oct25 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 May16 (payne beale)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 15.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 May27 Nov02 (grullon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 119 50.00    
 
LRL-5   11/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER OF NONE Oct26 Oct12 Sep15 Jul20 Jun22 (praden)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00    
2  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Oct19 Sep15 Aug29 Jul28 Jun28 (brion keri)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Oct27 Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 Aug23 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 15.00    
4  RUNNING RIVER Nov09 Oct04 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 (mohan r)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00 12% 7.10    
5  B WEST Oct25 Sep20 Jul26 Jun30 May16 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  HE'S ON FIRE Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 (mancilla ca)ROBLES O 118 20.00    
7  MARCHED Nov01 Oct24 Oct10 Aug30 Aug04 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
8  MORNING THOUGHTS Oct19 Sep28 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00 18% 4.60    
9  PUDGE BOY PALACE Oct25 Sep27 Aug18 Jun01 Oct20 (perri gina)TORREALBA JG 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FREESTANDING Oct27 Oct06 Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
11  PRINCE KHOZAN Oct26 Oct19 Sep27 Aug16 Jul28 (mccue elizabeth)ACOSTA D 119 20.00    
 
LRL-6   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 2 F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESSED CANDY Aug31 Jul27 Jul06     (machad)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
2  ONYX TEN Oct12 Sep11 Aug14 Aug02 Jul03 (capuano gary )CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 8.00 20% 4.00    
3  MY DEAR ANTONIA Oct25         (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
4  IT'S A SHORE THING Oct13         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.50 6% 14.90    
5  ATLANTIS QUEEN Oct31 Oct05 Sep11 Jun20   (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 119 8.00    
6  MALIBU HOOCH Oct12 Sep15 Aug23     (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
7  NICK'S NOTION Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01   (bailes robe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
8  SAY YOU LOVE ME Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 Jul27   (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00    
9  CHRISTY MY LOVE Oct26 Sep21 Jul21     (singh somraj)FUENTES ERICK 112 4.00 21% 3.80    
10  SAFE TRUST Oct12 Sep15 Aug03 Jun01 May04 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE MY WORLD         (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of WOOD NOT by KISSIN KRIS)
2  YARA'S QUEST         (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 122 4.50 10% 9.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of YARA by PUT IT BACK)
3  ON THE LEVEL         (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SIENA GRACE by MORE THAN READY)
4  DATS TAP Nov09 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 122 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PLUS ONE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  DARING VENTURE Oct06         (russell b)CARRASCO R 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CHOSEN VENTURE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  SMUGGLER'S GOLD Oct17 Aug25 Jul26 Jul04   (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROMNEY MARSH by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  TWAIN (IRE)         (meyers)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAMILA PRINCESS by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
SCR  MAX N FIFO Oct03 Aug29       (rodriguez rudy)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of NOBLE JEWEL by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  DERZ SMART Oct06         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
10  BERNIE THE STAR Oct31         (singh somraj)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MY STAR POTENTIAL by TRITAP)
11  WICKED BOSS         (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CANDY BOSS by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
LRL-8   11/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELIN SO LUCKY Oct17 Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 May10 (perri gina)TORREALBA JG 121 6.00    
2  ISABELLA'S GLORY Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 Aug30 Jul27 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  LOVELY CHARM Oct27 Oct12 Sep07 Sep02 Aug09 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  DIAMOND SUE Oct24 Sep15 Aug30 Jul21 Jun08 (mancilla g)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00    
5  COVER THE SPREAD Oct27 Oct12 Sep27 Sep06 Aug11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  I CAN DO IT Oct19 Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 May31 (perri gina)ALVELO C 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BUCKIN' LUCKY Sep22 Sep02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun30 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 121 20.00    
SCR  CALL ANOTHER PLAY Oct27 Sep07 Aug04 Jul08 May17 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00    
9  DAILY PLANET Oct31 Oct12 Sep05 Aug10 Jul12 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
 
LRL-9   11/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PESCE         (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 126 6.00 36% 1.80    
1A  A B C YA Oct20 Sep20 Aug18 Jul28 Jul13 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 124 6.00    
2  PINE ALLEY Oct10 May19 Mar19 Mar03 Jan14 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 ★    
3  NORTHERN CARDINAL Oct11 Sep15 Sep04 Jul27 Jul07 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 124 5.00 ★    
4  HUNDRED PROOF Mar09 Feb04 Dec30     (klesaris ro)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 30.00    
5  STORMY HOLLOW Oct10 Aug18       (dilodovico )ROBLES O 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  LUCKED IN Nov01         (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 20.00    
7  IS IT FIVE Oct11 Sep01 Aug15 Jul28 Jul06 (stettinius suza)SANNA MIRKO 120 20.00    
8  BAND TOUR Nov01 Oct11 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 (mccue elizabeth)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BOX OF ROCKETS Oct26 Oct11 Jun23 May24 May11 (plummer)BRICENO GREGOR 126 6.00    
10  BAJAN BOY Oct26 Sep20 Sep01 Jul28 Jun13 (capuano phill)FUENTES ERICK 110 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.