Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - November 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/8)-(6/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/8)-(6/5/8/7)-(9/6/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/7)-(9/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/7)-(9/6/5/1)-(1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/5/1)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/5/1)-(1/2/5)-(6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/1/5)-(3/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/1/4)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESS' CANDY Sep07 Jul04 May27     (sillaman ri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
2  MY HONEYBUNCH Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Aug09 Jul14 (spina charles)CORA D 120 5.00    
3  CARDINAL WAR CRY Aug22 Jul31 Jun27     (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
4  IRISH COCO Oct04 Sep11 Jul25 Feb02 Dec20 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
5  WARRIOR'S DEFENSE Jul25 Jul10 Jun18 May29 Mar14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  FIREBALL EXPRESS Sep30 Aug21 Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00    
7  BEEN REAL BUSY Jan03 Dec15 Oct27 Oct08 Aug30 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
8  FLEETING EMBER Sep19 Aug21 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   11/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNER ACCOUNT Sep28 Jul19 Jun21     (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 10.00    
2  MORE MAYHEM Oct12 Sep14 Aug25     (wagner kari)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 12.00    
3  SADIE'S GRACE Oct09 Sep09 Aug07     (mcclellan c)FLORES E 121 10.00    
4  MY VANILLA Oct11 Sep21 Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 6.00    
5  PEACHYNESS Oct11 Sep15 Aug31 Aug16 Jul21 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  ISLAND RIDE Sep26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun16 Apr07 (potts way)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  LINO AND ME Oct02 Jul31 Jul13 Jun20   (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  JOYS OF SUMMER Oct15 Oct07 Sep17 Aug27   (rojas l)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-3   11/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE THEFT Oct10         (contessa c)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCESS JESSICA Oct23         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE HAZEL Oct07         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 5.00    
4  CHARLOTTE'S POTTER Oct07 Sep09       (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 119 20.00    
5  ROMANCE BY CHANCE Oct09 Sep21 Aug17 Jul22   (hawthorne b)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PERFECT PINK         (wagner kari)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 12.00 34% 1.90    
7  STROKE OF LUCK Oct15         (rojas l)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
SCR  INTERNET BIDDER Oct09 Sep24       (padill)GONZALEZ JR 121 20.00    
9  EACHPEACHPEARPLUM Oct09 Sep19       (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
10  HOPEFORGREATNESS Oct23 Oct09 Sep21 Sep14 Sep09 (padilla o)AGUILAR JEAN 116 3.50    
 
PEN-4   11/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL INVASION Sep18 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Dec15 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  PARTY AT SAM'S Oct15 Sep25 Aug26 Aug02 Jul24 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  LILTONYTWOPHONES Aug07 Jun19 Jun04 May02 Mar27 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 2.50    
4  SUNSHINE JOHNNY Oct16 Sep28 Sep13 Jun12   (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 12.00    
5  CHARLIE SHOWTIME Aug26 Aug07 Jul01 May29   (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 113 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  FORCE OF JUSTICE Oct13 Sep16 Aug28 Jul29 Jul03 (rojas mur)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
 
PEN-5   11/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Oct17 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 May23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  SHY DA RUNNER Oct09 Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 123 3.00    
3  YAHOO OMAR Oct10 Sep26 Aug25 Jul04 Jun13 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
4  GUARDIAN PRINCE Oct13 Sep08 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.00    
5  DANCE FOR GREEN Oct10 Sep20 Aug17 Jul19 Jul07 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  TARSUS WARRIOR Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug05   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
PEN-6   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Oct25 Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PAPA DO PAPA DO Aug18 Jul20 Jul07 Apr24 Feb29 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 120 12.00    
3  BAZINGA D Jul12 Jun20 Jun04 May16 May02 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.40 76% 0.30    
4  TOWN KISSER Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 May19 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SKYHOOK Jul26 May16 May01 Apr08 Mar25 (perez ru)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00    
6  WEMBY Oct17 Sep25 Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 ★    
7  CHASIN' WHISKEY Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 (bravo-estrada jaime)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
PEN-7   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Aug29 Aug22 (richards re)ROBLES O 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PINK ROSE Oct09 Sep13 Aug04 Jul26 Jul14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00    
3  ZIFFY BUG Oct23 Sep19 Sep11 Sep04 Aug24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 8.00    
4  LA MACCHINA ROSSA Oct11 Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 Jul24 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  HUSHEMUP Oct13 Sep13 Jun18 May16 Jul28 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
6  MO TRAFFIC Sep20 Sep05 Jul24 Jun15 May05 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  REACHING STRIDE Jun24 May27 Apr23 Apr01 Feb23 (morzan javi)CALDERON OLIVER 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.