Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - November 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8/5)-(7/6/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/8)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8)-(3/7/4)-(2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(2/3)-(6/5/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/5/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/5/4/7)-(5/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (6/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/7)-(5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/7)-(5/3/7)-(8/5/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(8/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(8/5/1/7)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (8/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7)-(8/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/7)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/7)-(4/5/3)-(8/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(8/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/7/10/2/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-8   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(8/7/10/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-9   WIN (8/7/10/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/10/2/1)-(8/7/10/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/10/2/1)-(8/7/10/2/1)-(8/7/10/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   11/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TECA Sep28 Aug22 Jul11 Jun01   (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 119 1.80    
MISS HARD TO GET Oct16         (sanchez-pinero)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 20.00    
MISS JONES Oct07         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 6.00    
LAGUARDIA Oct16 Oct03       (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
IMPERIO AZTECA Oct09 Sep24 Aug26     (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50    
VICKI VALE Oct03 Sep05 Jul26     (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
VIVI ROSE Oct22 Sep21 Aug26     (bedard alan)RIVERA D 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
KAYA STAR         (padilla hug)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
PRX-2   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRASSE Oct16 Sep16 Aug27 Jul10 Jun21 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 122 5.00    
SCR  STAY FUNNY Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug07 Jul15 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 2.00    
AARAJ Oct21 Oct05 Sep02 Aug07 Feb09 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 3.00 31% 2.20    
ONLYGODCANJUDGEME Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Sep02 Aug21 (st lewi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOT LOVE Oct16 Sep18 Aug27 Jul22 Jul10 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 125 15.00    
TRY HARDER Oct16 Oct02 Aug27 Jan09 Dec19 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50    
JIGGERY POKERY Jun26 Jun04 May22 Mar06 Feb21 (castillo mi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
 
PRX-3   11/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR VALLEY Oct09 Sep03 Aug18 Jul04 May27 (linder loui)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 5.00    
GAVICHI Oct23 Sep18 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
CHLOE ROSE Oct21 Sep12 Sep02 Aug07 Jul23 (lake sc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
PEACELOVENKARMA Oct23 Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 (tapsas i)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 5.00    
SHELL BELLE Oct22 Aug07 Jul23 Jun29 Apr23 (flores)GONZALEZ JR 122 4.50    
GANGSTER RAP Oct02 Sep16 Aug09 May10 Apr19 (padilla o)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.00    
 
PRX-4   11/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIRENETTA Oct23 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 (gallimore trevo)BOWMAN ADAM 122 4.00    
LIKE A PRO Oct07 Aug27 Jul10 Jun12 May28 (st uriah)OTERO AAROM 112 12.00    
MERCY MERCY Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul19 (castillo m)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
ANNA ROCKS Sep25 Sep11 Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 (perez ruper)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
BONITA LASSIE Oct23 Oct07 Sep25 Sep11 Aug29 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00 28% 2.50    
HEART LIGHT Oct23 Sep30 Sep02 Dec18 Nov15 (pino v)AGUILAR JEAN 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
TOMARIE Oct28 Oct07 Sep11 Sep02 Aug21 (lake scott )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-5   11/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENFORCER Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 Aug19 Jul23 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00    
B B BAD Oct08 Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Jul22 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
MAC DADDY TOO Sep16 Aug26 Jul20 Jun27 May10 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  NINJA PRIZE Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 Jul08 Jun11 (padilla h)VARGAS A 122 4.00    
WHAT DOES IT TAKE Oct04 Sep04 Aug02 Jul17 Jun19 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
REAL TALK Sep27 Sep02 Aug16 Jul22 Jun29 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00    
EGO MAN Oct22 Oct02 Sep17 Aug19 Aug02 (maymo ale)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Oct11 Aug22 Jul28 Jun12 May29 (de horaci)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50    
 
PRX-6   11/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AU SOME WARRIOR Oct14 Sep21 Aug15     (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
WE MISS NEIL Sep22 Jul13 Jun24     (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 122 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOWN FAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ENTENTE Oct11 Aug24       (servis jo)VARGAS A 119 4.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of RUPERT'S PROMISE by CAPOTE)
GONE BOY Oct10         (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BRUSHED BY A STAR by EDDINGTON)
PLAY THE GRAY Oct19 Aug20 Aug08 Jun24   (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by VOLATILE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
THE TIRE MAN Oct07 Aug20 Jul23 Jun24   (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LITERATA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
RIVER'S GAMBLE Oct19 Sep21 Sep03     (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARDONMECOMINGTHRU by CHATAIN)
GUN TRADER Oct19 Oct10 Sep21 Aug20 Jul24 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PRX-7   11/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHELBEL Oct19 Oct09 Sep21 Sep02 Aug26 (padilla h)VARGAS A 122 2.00    
SCR  SIRANI Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Aug02 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00    
MISSY SIXTYSIX Oct09 Sep10 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ALCALA Oct19 May20 May06 Apr22 Mar25 (kirby t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
MISS EASY Oct12 Sep12 Aug14 Jul11 Jun04 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
CENTER STAGE Oct19 Sep20 Sep02 Aug24 Jun26 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
FOR SALE Oct23 Aug26 Jul07 Jun08 May20 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
 
PRX-8   11/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUNG SQUIRE Oct01 Aug26 Jun25 Jun08 Apr22 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 122 6.00    
MEET ME AT MUNDIS Oct04 Sep06 Aug11 Jul22 Jun12 (kravets)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00 29% 2.50    
MIDLANER Oct22 Oct02 Sep02 Jul22 Apr14 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 6.00 9% 10.60    
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Oct15 Sep23 Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 6.00    
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  CAPO Oct14 Sep21 Aug26 Jul15 Jul08 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50    
NORMANDY HERO Oct09 Sep18 Jul04 Jun05 Dec31 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50    
MR. ANTONELLI Sep16 Apr21 Mar17 Feb09 Sep22 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PRX-9   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVELOUS MO         (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RISK CONTROL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LEO'S LEGACY Oct02         (simoff andrew)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of PURE LEGACY by SIMON PURE)
GREY IMAGES         (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of KERRY'S RING by KITTEN'S JOY)
L GOLDEN BOY         (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SPECIAL INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
PREMIER CRU         (sanchez-pin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PREMIERE DAME by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MY MILITARY HERO Oct14 Sep21 Sep07 Aug03 Jul13 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DINN RIGH by KARAKONTIE (JPN))
SON OF THOR Oct14         (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by ROWAYTON out of CHARLYBROWN'S ROSE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
ALCHEMISM Oct07         (dotolo davi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of ENCHANTED EVENING by FIRST DEFENCE)
CENTAUR CENTRAL Oct07 Sep21       (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of KEEPNHERINTHEDARK by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  DREAM TALK Oct19 Sep21       (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 6% 16.70    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of WE'LL TALK by TEJANO RUN)
SCR  IL ROSSO         (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of TALEGA DINERO by MUNNINGS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.