Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pine Mountain
Saturday - November 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PMT-1   11/02/2024 18480ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 5UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAP OF THE GODS Apr06 Mar26       (hendriks pa)HENDRIKS PARKER 160      
COURT RULER (IRE) Mar31 Nov04 Mar26 Nov05 Oct08 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   45% 1.20    
CHOSEN MATE (IRE) Mar31 Oct14 Apr22 Mar26 Nov05 (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 155      
STORM TEAM Nov04 Apr08 Oct08     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 165   31% 2.20    
UCO VALLEY (IRE) Mar31 Mar25 Nov05 Oct15 Aug29 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 160      
 
PMT-2   11/02/2024 18480ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POTUS Sep08 Jul21 Oct22 Oct08 Jul26 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 160      
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of PLACE OF HONOR by FIRST SAMURAI)
ETERNAL STORY (FR) Jul26 Apr30       (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 160      
  (by SIDESTEP out of EARTH AFFAIR by ACATENANGO (GER))
CORKY LEMON         (fisher r)DWAN EVAN 155   53% 0.90    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LEMON DROP CHICK by LEMON DROP KID)
WRESTLINGWITHRAE (IRE) Aug08         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 160      
  (by SNOW SKY out of MOODY QUEEN by SCORPION (IRE))
PING PONG CHAMP Oct22 Oct02       (fisher john )DALTON BERNARD 160      
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DE GREY GUY (IRE) May05         (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 155   26% 2.90    
  (by KINGSTON HILL out of NIKKEI RIDGE by SHAHRASTANI)
SCR  HEY TEACHER (GB) Nov05 Oct08 Oct02     (neilson kat)HENDRIKS PARKER 160      
  (by FASCINATING ROCK out of SEE EMILY PLAY by GALILEO (ARG))
 
PMT-3   11/02/2024 12540ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANZIO Aug12 Jul11 Aug11 May06 Mar15 (webb sandra)WATTERS GRAHAM 145      
FOXY WALK (IRE) Nov04         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 156   60% 0.70    
LYDFORD (GB) Sep01 Aug03       (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 148      
I AM FORTUNATA (IRE) Mar30 Nov04 Sep08 Jul14   (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 143      
FAST VISION (FR) Mar30 Nov04 May13 Nov05 Oct02 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 158      
HE'LL DO Nov05 Oct02       (hendriks pa)HENDRIKS PARKER 153   14% 6.40    
 
PMT-4   11/02/2024 12540ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART UNCLE Oct19 Sep01 Aug13 Oct13 Jul28 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150   50% 1.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
DYNAMITE DAN (IRE)         (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 145      
  (by LAURO out of GRANNY C by GOLD WELL)
MARCEL MAGIC (IRE) Oct19         (neilson kat)HENDRIKS PARKER 150   30% 2.40    
  (by MARCEL out of ANNAROE by BENEFICIAL)
ORDERS ANTHEM (IRE)         (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 150      
  (by ORDER OF ST GEORGE out of BLATH BEAG by SHIROCCO)
CHINA BEACH Dec23 Dec02 Apr08 Mar17 Feb22 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154      
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of STARSHIP FANTASY by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  ANYTIME (IRE)         (parker hill)BOUCHER MELL 137      
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of KINDA WONDERFUL by SILVER TRAIN)
 
PMT-5   11/02/2024 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM Aflac Supreme Hurdle Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PICKANUMBER (IRE) Aug14 Jul21       (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 159      
  (by SHANTOU out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WESTERLAND (GB) Aug28 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11   (neilson kat)HENDRIKS PARKER 150      
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WALK THE WARRIOR (IRE) Jul18         (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 150   69% 0.50    
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of WESTERN APPROACHES by WESTERNER)
SCR  HIGH DEFINITION (IRE) Oct19 Jun09       (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 153      
  (by UNKNOWN out of PALACE by CITY ZIP)
SET POINT (IRE) Oct19 May02       (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 156      
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
BEAT LE BON (FR) Jul26 Oct29 Oct02     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153      
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of FRIDA LA BLONDE by ELUSIVE CITY)
 
PMT-6   11/02/2024 12540ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURT DUNN (IRE)         (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 152      
MISCHIEF AFOOT Oct26 Aug22 Aug03 Aug08 May20 (neilson kathy)BARGARY JAMIE 156      
RUNNIN THE RED Jun10 Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 Jul21 (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 151      
TI SENTO (IRE) Sep16 May26 Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 (hendriks pa)HENDRIKS PARKER 144      
PAVONI Sep05 Aug12 Jul11 Dec01 Oct28 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 144   62% 0.60    
VANA BRIGHT Sep08 Aug01 Jul11 Jun16 Apr06 (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 132   17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.