Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delaware Park
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DEL-1   Win (6/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DEL-2   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DEL-3   Win (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DEL-4   Win (8/2/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DEL-5   Win (4/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DEL-6   Win (13/8/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DEL-7   Win (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DEL-1   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VONGOLE Jul19 Jun29 May19     (gutierrez )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 7% 13.00    
ALLENHURST Sep20 Sep14 Aug25 Jul21   (sacco gregory )BATISTA A 119 6.00 35% 1.80    
SWEET AND FEISTY Sep12 Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 Jun20 (nambo cesar)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 12.00    
XOCHIL Jul31 Jul13       (rodriguez jos)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 12.00    
MORE MAYHEM Sep14 Aug25       (wagner karin)CURTIS BEN 119 10.00    
ESTILO UNICO Sep21 Aug28       (ness jamie)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 0.80 37% 1.70    
DERBY EFFORT Sep25 Aug17 Jul31     (smith g)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS MIA Sep20 Aug31 Jul31     (avila ca)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 10.00    
 
DEL-2   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESANTIS Oct05 Sep18 Sep07 Aug29 Aug14 (simone v)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
BALTASAR Sep25 Sep04 Jul25 Jun15 May22 (arriagada juan)BATISTA A 121 1.80    
OSPREY Sep02 Jul26 Jul02 Jun16 May30 (gonzalez clau)ROBLES O 116 6.00 15% 5.70    
SASSY LAD Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul04 Jun13 (kreiser timot)RAMOS O 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  AFTERNOON HEAT Sep29 Sep21 Aug29 Jul26 Jul07 (jacobson da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
TIE BREAKER Sep27 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 (ward dan)CENTENO E 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Sep27 Aug01 Jul25 Jul11 Jun14 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUR ELISE Aug03         (lawrence l)ADORNO ABNER 115 12.00    
WHIZBANG Oct04 Sep18 Aug17 Aug10 Jul18 (nambo cesa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CRABCAKES N BEER Sep14 Aug17 Jul24     (pecoraro anthony)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
AUTHENTIC KINGDOM Aug17 Jul03 May27     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.50    
INTUITIVE WISDOM Sep13         (sacco gregory )BATISTA A 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
PAY BILLY Aug07         (gorham e)CENTENO E 118 8.00 51% 1.00    
KITTEN'S PLOY Oct04 Jul24 Jul03 Jun05   (ramirez jos)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
QUAHOG REPUBLIC Oct04 Sep26 Sep07 Jul24   (gorham michae)ASTUDILLO FELIX 118 20.00    
SCR  BATTER UP Aug22 Jul18       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00    
SCR  SULLIVAN Sep28         (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 10.00    
SCR  MYLUCKEYVALENTINE Sep15         (lynch catha)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
SCR  PHIL'S ON THE RUN Sep29 Sep13       (allard t)PENNINGTON F 118 10.00    
 
DEL-4   10/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTSY'S MERLOT Oct04 Sep19 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 (richards renal)BATISTA A 116 6.00    
SIX THE HARD WAY Oct04 Sep12 Sep01 Aug22 Aug02 (sanchez-sal)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 3.50 15% 5.90    
NURSE RACHETT Sep27 Sep07 Aug22 Jul17 Jun26 (reed)LUNA PAUL 119 20.00    
MATOULA Oct02 Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 (serey jr)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OUT OF LUCK Sep27 Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 Jul11 (smith d)ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 8.00 10% 8.60    
ROSE E HOLIDAY Aug24 Aug04 Jul12 Jun15 Feb11 (sweezey kent)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Sep27 Jul08 Jun08 May23 Apr20 (simone v)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00 14% 5.90    
MAGNIFICENT PEARL Sep25 Sep07 Aug19 Jul27 Jul17 (ness jamie)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 2.00 27% 2.70    
ALWAYS CONNECTED Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug01 Jul11 (richards rena)ROBLES O 116 10.00    
 
DEL-5   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPPORTUNE NOTION         (reed j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 8.00    
SAUCY HAM         (brya)LUNA PAUL 121 8.00    
SWINGING SOLO         (sacco gregory )BATISTA A 121 8.00    
HEAD OF THE CLASS Sep14 Aug23 Jul06     (pickett g)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
LITTLE TROUBLE Sep14         (robertson mclean)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PILOTE COMETE Sep22 Jul13 May22 Feb16 Jul02 (perkins j)ROBLES O 119 6.00    
GOOD AS HE GETS Sep14         (allard t)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
MATT'S LUCK Sep14         (robertson m)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
DEL-6   10/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOOLZAN Sep14 Aug28 Jul13 Nov11 Oct14 (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 117 10.00    
SCR  MR. REDOLFO Sep12 Aug16 Jul26 Jun20 Oct17 (lawrence l)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00    
UNCLE TRULY Sep14 Aug24 Jun14 May23 Apr26 (arriagada juan)BATISTA A 117 3.50 15% 5.60    
SILK WAR Aug28 Aug02 Jun11 Oct26 Aug23 (graham edward)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KERNESS Sep18 Aug16 Feb14 Dec09 Sep13 (ness jamie)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 1.50    
CARD TRICK Jul08 Jun16 Mar24 Jan27 Dec15 (allard t)PENNINGTON F 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
TREVESSO Sep14 Aug04 Jun24 Jun01 May16 (lynch cathal)CENTENO E 117 15.00    
TWO BY TWO Sep27 Sep14 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (ness jamie)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  COLLECTION DAY Sep27 Sep04 Jul27 Jun08 May17 (gorham e)MENA E 120 1.80    
10  CANDY CORN Jun13 Oct23 Sep07 Jul27   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 6.00    
11  CHUCK ADAMS Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 Jun18 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 117 15.00    
12  A G DIAMOND Sep13 Aug31 Aug22 Jul11 Mar23 (rami)LUNA PAUL 117 20.00    
13  INTO IT Sep05 Jun29 May04 Apr05 Feb11 (dutrow richard)BATISTA A 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
DEL-7   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN BOSS LADY Sep19 Sep12 Sep04 Aug14 Mar07 (siculietano daniel )PANAS A 121 15.00    
QUICK RECOVERY Sep27 Sep12 Dec09 Oct14 Sep16 (simoff andrew)PENNINGTON F 119 0.60 58% 0.70    
IMA SILVER LADY Sep27 Sep19 Aug21 Aug07   (perk)LUNA PAUL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIA MAYIN Aug16 Aug01 Jul07 Jun07 May27 (salazar marc)BERRUGATE KENEDY 121 4.50    
WOKE UP A DIVA Aug31 Aug21 Aug14 Jun05 May25 (nicholson junio)LUGO JR 122 12.00    
UDIDN'TPAY Sep25 Aug20 Aug04 Jul17 Jul03 (king clarenc)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY CAFE         (katz r)BELL BARRINGTON 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.