Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/8)-(7/2/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/6)-(1/3/5)-(5/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/4/3/1)-(2/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-4   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/1)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/1)-(2/1/4/7)-(6/3/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-5   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(6/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(7/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/7)-(7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/7)-(7/5/6)-(6/5/7/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(6/5/7/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(6/5/7/1/4)-(2/7/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-8   WIN (6/5/7/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/1/4)-(6/5/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/1/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
    DD (6/5/7/1/4)-(2/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/1/4)-(2/7/4/6)-(1/3/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-9   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(1/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-10   WIN (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE'S GRACE Sep09 Aug07       (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 3.50    
2  HOPEFORGREATNESS Sep21 Sep14 Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 (padilla hug)VASQUEZ WILFRED 123 3.00 10% 9.30    
3  BROWNISTHENEWBLACK Sep24         (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 10.00    
4  IMPERIO AZTECA Sep24 Aug26       (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00    
5  INTERNET BIDDER Sep24         (padilla )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
6  U KNOW U WANT ME         (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOLDEN PHILLY Sep14 Aug26 Aug02 Jul13   (ness jamie)AGUILAR JEAN 118 1.80 63% 0.60    
8  ROMANCE BY CHANCE Sep21 Aug17 Jul22     (hawthorne bobb)MOYA F 123 5.00 ★    
 
PRX-2   10/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE REFORMED Sep05 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May21 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.00 20% 4.00    
2  MISS CINNAMON Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 Jun25 Jun18 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Sep16 Aug29 Jul24 Jun30 Jun15 (bedard alan)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00    
4  BYTHENUMBERS Sep16 Aug25 Aug10 Jul24 Jun08 (ness jamie)AGUILAR JEAN 114 10.00 17% 4.90    
5  SUMMERSATTHESHORE Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 3.00    
6  KESTENNA (GB) Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 Aug08 Aug01 (morzan javi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PINK ROSE Sep13 Aug04 Jul26 Jul14 Jun26 (kulp brandon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 4.50    
 
PRX-3   10/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAM'S KISS Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 Jun20 May11 (rosado roberto)AGUILAR JEAN 120 1.60 65% 0.50    
2  GORMLEY GIRL Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 (martinez)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
3  AMALFI LADY Sep23 Jul24 Jun26 Jun11 May14 (christman ki)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 7% 13.40    
4  MO TOWN ANNIE Aug28 Jul24 Jun15 Apr28 Apr17 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00    
5  TESTED POSITIVE Oct02 Sep22 Sep13 Mar29 Mar08 (morzan javi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECRET TEMPTATION Sep23 Sep04 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 (perez flor)SANCHEZ J 122 1.80    
 
PRX-4   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MISSTIQUE Mar13 Jan30 Dec26 Dec07 Nov30 (hamilton st)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PICARDY Sep30 Sep09 Aug15 Jul02 Jun08 (bedard)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
3  CHANCE OCCURRENCE Sep25 Aug26 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 1.60    
4  MARYVIC Sep02 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 Apr27 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
5  ADELEKE Nov18 Oct19       (servis )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 0.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  OUR LADY IN RED Sep18 Aug15 Jun18 Feb21 Feb07 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 122 20.00    
7  ALI'S JERSEY GIRL Sep18 Sep11 May18 May11 Apr15 (hogan william )ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 20.00    
 
PRX-5   10/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGED FOOT Sep18 Sep05 Aug08 May21 Mar22 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
2  DUDLEY DICKERSON Sep28 Sep09 Aug21 Jul27 Jul09 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Sep17 Aug21 Jul23 Jun26 May28 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.50    
4  FESTINATE Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
5  CHIP'S FRIEND Sep25 Sep09 Aug24 Jul23 Jul08 (caban ca)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00    
6  SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Sep25 Sep04 Aug10 Jul09 Jun12 (soto- m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50    
7  WYNN GIANT Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jun03 (tapsas ilia)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-6   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH GIRL Sep11 Sep02 Jul21 Jun27 Jun20 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 12.00    
2  KEYSTORMRISING Sep11 Aug26       (bedard alan)RIVERA D 122 12.00    
3  APOLLONIA VITELLI Sep02 Jun05 May18 Apr23 Mar15 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  PEACH TEA Sep23 Aug27 Jul10 Jul01 Jun04 (allen rand)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
5  CAJUN DOVE Jan06 Aug20       (truehart)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
6  LADY SRIRACHA Sep15 Aug27 Jul02     (moore michael)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
7  LADY ROBO Sep25 Aug19 Jul22 Jun15 May28 (mosco ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6% 15.20    
 
PRX-7   10/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jul27 Jul11 Jun12 May15 May01 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
2  MENDED WE STAND Jul02 Jun17 May14 Apr23 Mar19 (lake scot)VARGAS A 122 15.00    
3  BATTALIA Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 122 10.00    
4  CONFIRMED GENIUS Sep10 Jun12 May20 Apr23 Mar27 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 ★    
5  CABRA CHICA Sep10 Aug20 May04 Apr23 Mar27 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  DIVINE ROMANCE Sep28 Sep15 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SISTER SUPREAM Sep28 Sep04 Jul27 Jul02 Jun11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
8  FAST MOTION Sep10 Aug21 Jul17 Jun25 Jun16 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
 
PRX-8   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE PHENOMENON Sep21 Sep02 Aug22 Jul31 Jul15 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  MIKEY'S SONG Sep16 Aug26 Jul02 Jun08 May20 (guerrero mele)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
3  NOISY ON THE BAY Aug20 Aug01 Apr01 Feb27 Dec27 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 12.00    
4  JEZEBEL JADE Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 May18 Apr23 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JEANNE MARIE Sep16 Aug26 May17 Apr20 Mar05 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50    
6  PACHELBEL Sep21 Sep02 Aug26 Jul09 Jun11 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 122 1.60 27% 2.60    
7  GIRVINIZED Jul04 May15 Apr25 Mar14 Feb08 (allen ferris)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
 
PRX-9   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING ONA PRAYER Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jun24 Jun03 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.50    
2  VOODOO YOU DO Aug26 Jun12 May20 Apr24   (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 8.00 28% 2.60    
3  THEGODDESSOFSNAKES Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 Jul15 Jun12 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00    
4  WARRIOR'S TREASURE Sep09 May02 Apr10     (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
5  SIRANI Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 Aug02 Jul03 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 119 2.50    
6  LADY ANNABELLE Sep24 Aug28 Aug15     (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISSY SIXTYSIX Sep10 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 Jun10 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  SWEET MISCHIEF Sep09 Sep02 Jul24 Jul03 Jun25 (tapsas ilias)AGUILAR JEAN 114 12.00    
 
PRX-10   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAMASCO Sep16 Aug19 Jul10 May22 Apr17 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Sep10 Aug11 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00    
3  SO SWELL Sep25 Jun17 Jun08 May21 May06 (rodriguez irv)RIVERA D 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  BAHAMA PEARL Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 Jun24 (soto- marti)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  CEDAR VALLEY Sep03 Aug18 Jul04 May27 May06 (linder loui)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
6  GIA'S FUEGO Sep24 Sep03 Aug24 Jul20 Jul09 (diaz jorge)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 8.00    
7  MATTY BO Sep24 Sep14 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 11% 8.00    
8  MELODIA Jun25 Jun17 Jun03 May22 May14 (gallim)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.