Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-2   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-3   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-4   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-5   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (8/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-7   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-2   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROWENDI Sep14 Jul29 Jun28 Dec15 Nov20 (gleason tyr)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 24% 3.20    
STAND BY TIME Sep22 Sep13 Aug27 May20 Apr21 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50    
FLYING LADY Sep21 Sep13 Aug11 Jun29 Apr04 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 (lavanway dayson)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
JANIS Sep21 Sep08 Jul31 Jul04 Jun18 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00    
DEL MAR LABOR DAY Sep21 Aug24 Aug18 Aug03 Jun15 (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
ARP-3   10/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER SKY Sep06 Aug31 Jun30 Jun15 May18 (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00    
HORNS N HALOS Sep15 Jul19 Jun08 Mar29 Feb18 (guadarrama oma)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCHLEICHER Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul07 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
PALACE PATCH Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 (vicchrilli russ)CARDOSO DAVID 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
WOLFRAM Sep07 Sep01 Aug18 Jun15 Jun02 (mitchell ch)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 8% 11.30    
TIZ RED TIME Sep21 Sep08 Sep02 May03 Apr14 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-4   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVERSPORT Sep28 Sep13 Sep07 Sep02 Aug18 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00    
GOOSE DRANK WINE Sep21 Sep01 Aug23 Jul28 Jun30 (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00    
TAP THE BRAKES Sep16 Aug30 Aug17 Jul29 Jun17 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
INCITATUS Sep21 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 May03 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
PREACHER Jun29 Jun09 May26 May04 Apr06 (rushton tem)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 7% 12.90    
SUEZ Sep14 Sep07 Aug07 Jul10 May25 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  ONE SON OF A CHIEF Jul11 Apr06 Feb17 Dec02 Nov08 (wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
 
ARP-5   10/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE CUP MARTINI Sep20         (kemper kerr)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
MS BUMBLEBEE Aug25 Jul29 Jun14 Aug26 Jul29 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
DONNA'S SHINEYGIRL         (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 117 8.00 22% 3.50    
PERFECT TIME         (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
FLY FREE Sep20 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 122 4.50    
I'M A TRUMPER Sep20 Sep09 Aug12 Jul29   (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50    
 
ARP-6   10/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL WIN Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 May18 (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
RIDIN SOLO Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 122 6.00    
HOLY MISSION Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 Jul23   (hall monk)IRONEYES R 116 10.00    
PURE CRYSTAL Sep21 Jul13 Jun03 May18 Sep03 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8% 11.30    
THE BUSINESS MAN Sep22 Sep15 Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 124 10.00 5% 17.40    
TIZKANDOIT Sep20 Jun28 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
COLONEL PUNCH Sep21 Sep06 Aug18 Aug11 Jun30 (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Sep20 Sep06 Jun09 May26 Apr19 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
 
ARP-7   10/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON Sep08 Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Sep09 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 (lemburg mar)IRONEYES R 119 4.50    
CELEE'S LAST TE Sep21 Sep08 Jul14 Jun15 Sep23 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
MISS GRAND SLAM Sep28 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00    
ART QUEEN Sep08 Jul17 Jun16 Jun08 May19 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.00    
LORRAINE'S LEGACY Aug25 Jul27 Jul05 Jun03 Apr29 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00    
SATIN HEART Sep21 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul14 (scudder jr)ARANA MINOR 124 12.00    
ZORINA Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (moreno carlo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.