Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/2/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/10)-(6/2/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/10)-(6/2/1/10)-(6/2/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/10)-(1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/10)-(1/3/7)-(7/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(7/3/1)-(8/7/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(8/7/2)-(6/9/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/3/2)-(8/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(6/9/2/7)-(5/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/7)-(6/9/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/7)-(6/9/2/5/7)-(6/9/2/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/7)-(5/4/8/2)-(5/16/11/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/2)-(5/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/2)-(5/4/8/2)-(5/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/2)-(5/16/11/6)-(5/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/16/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/16/11/6)-(5/16/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/16/11/6)-(5/16/11/6)-(5/16/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/16/11/6)-(5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2/11/9)-(5/8/2/11/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PASSING THRU Sep05 Aug15 May28 May08 Mar14 (short thomas)MURGIA A 121 12.00 16% 5.30    
2  TWO HEARTED Sep25 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 (salas marcelino)ACHARD ALEX 117 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  GOLDEN STORM Aug29 May12 Apr13 Mar29 Feb22 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
4  SHE'S A KEEPER Sep04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul17 Mar15 (esquivel je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00    
SCR  WOODS HOLE Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Jul18 Jun13 (dimmett james)BUSH V 121 10.00    
6  SAVE THE BEES Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jul03 (orantes yoni )JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  SING SCAT Sep25 Sep05 Jul25 Jul16 Jun27 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 119 5.00    
SCR  FOR THE BISCUIT Sep25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 116 3.50    
9  SONHO DE VERAO Sep21 Aug28 Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 117 20.00    
10  LUCKY SHORE Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
BTP-2   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOT GIRL Sep20 Aug30 Aug07 Jul20 Jun15 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  YEHAWMEMAW Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 (short thomas)HESS SARA 114 8.00    
3  SACRED CONNECTION Sep28 Sep13 Aug07 Jul18 Jun29 (smith larry)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  WICKED ECSTASY Sep13 Aug30 Aug07 Jul13 Jun27 (medina to)CORREA L 122 5.00    
5  WILL VIRGINIA DARE Sep20 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 (deck)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 4.50 ★    
6  QUEEN LEXI Sep27 Sep13 Sep04 Jul27 Jul13 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.00    
7  POISED Sep20 Sep06 Jul10 Jun17 May22 (lauer michael)SERPA ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R C IRONSIDE         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
2  NIGIRI         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CHLOE KATE by AFLEET ALEX)
3  CASH BACK         (cowans d)MURGIA A 121 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DEVILISH DISPUTE by DIABOLICAL)
4  CALCULATED MOVE         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 8.00    
  (by CALCULATOR out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
SCR  COLONEL COOPER Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 2.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
6  QUALITY KISS Aug30 Aug14       (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 121 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  MAGIC MOTOWN Aug30 Aug14       (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
 
BTP-4   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TOMMY LEE Aug28 Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 Jun06 (sands sh)CALZADILLA JACKSON 122 4.50    
2  HIGH MEADOWS Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 (hernandez debb)JURADO EDDIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul03 Jun26 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.00 ★    
4  PARTAKE Sep13 Aug07 Jul20 Jun28 May29 (waltermire br)SOSA LAUREANO 121 6.00    
5  TWIRLING RUTH Jun05 May11 Mar20 Feb17 Feb03 (danner do)CORREA L 122 5.00    
SCR  SEAU N'TAP Sep20 Aug07 Jul20 Jun13 May30 (caramori caio)MEZA JOSE 119 8.00    
7  KERLO'S CAUSE Sep20 Aug22 Aug07 Jun29 Jun13 (short thomas)MURGIA A 119 4.00 6% 14.50    
8  INNER HARBOR Sep07 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May11 (alessi james)SERPA ANGEL 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
 
BTP-5   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORNING REFLECTION Sep20 Sep06 Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 6.00    
2  LANDY Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITURGIA Sep13 Aug14 Jul13 Jun27 May29 (alessi james)SERPA ANGEL 122 12.00    
4  FABULOUS PHILLY Sep20 Sep06 Aug09 Jul18 Jun13 (tomlinson ron)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00    
5  ROYAL ITCH Sep20 Sep12 Jul18 Jun28 Jun14 (wilson jr)MURGIA A 121 5.00 ★    
6  CARSONSTRONG Mar23 Jan06 Dec26 Nov29 Oct18 (cahill f)BUSH V 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  SYLLABUS Sep21 Aug23 Aug14 Jul27 Jul18 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WAY BALI Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 Apr28 Jul27 (manning john)HEBERT LINDSEY 122 20.00    
9  HOLD MY CROWN Sep20 Aug07 Mar22 Aug10 May29 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  CHOCTAW BLESSINGS Sep13 Aug12 Jul31 Jul04 Jun08 (williams m)MCKEE J 122 4.50    
 
BTP-6   10/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYFULASITGETS Sep20 Aug22 Jul05 Jun05 May15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
2  FATHER FRANK Sep21 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Sep07 (haehn r)BUSH V 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
3  DISCO MUSIC Sep06 Aug02 Jul05 Jun27 May15 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
4  ROW OF FAME         (bates l)BELISARIO JUAN 117 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BIG ATLANTIC out of WAHL OF FAME by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  ANYGIVENDAY Sep20 Sep06 Aug19 Jul29   (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SATURDAY'S CATCH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  HEIDI N SEEK Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03   (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 122 8.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
7  RAVEN'S HONOR Sep25 Sep11 Aug30 Aug21 Jul31 (holton rebecca )SERPA ANGEL 119 4.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
8  BYRTHDAY BOY         (erwin andrew)ZONETT KEYNER 125 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DADDY SAID by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
BTP-7   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PICKFORD Sep14 Aug22 Jul10 Jun20 Oct16 (conto kevin)BUSH V 122 12.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNEONME Sep25 Aug29       (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 117 20.00    
SCR  STITZY Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jul18 Jun27 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00    
SCR  DEVILS RED Sep20 Sep14 Sep05 Aug11 Jul18 (haehn r)MURGIA A 122 4.50    
5  CHANTRY FLATS Mar30 Mar01 Jan28 Dec07 Nov02 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep20 Sep05 Aug27 Aug14 Jun26 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRIFTWOOD Aug22 Jun27 May30 Mar16 Feb22 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00    
8  COUNT FROST Sep14 Sep05 Aug08 Jun27 Jun15 (caramori e)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN Sep21 Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.00    
10  STEP ON IT Aug30 Jul29 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00    
11  FOUNDER Sep20 Aug06 Jul03 May27 Mar22 (valdez moises)SOSA LAUREANO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  READY TO ROLL (IRE) Sep21 Sep05 Aug27 Jul13 May29 (van thomas)MCKEE J 122 6.00    
SCR  DOG RED Sep19 Aug14 Jul03 Jun06 May13 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 117 15.00    
14  COYOTE ROAD Aug02 Jul10 Jun05 May18 Apr12 (hernandez rey)SERPA ANGEL 122 8.00    
15  ORB OF THE BORO Sep14 Sep04 Aug03 Jul25 Jul05 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
16  KNIGHT'S CROSS Jul10 Jun12 Mar31 Mar07 Dec29 (van thomas)MCKEE J 122 15.00 19% 4.30    
 
BTP-8   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ OBLIVION Sep06         (knippenbe)CORREA L 121 10.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of INTO OBLIVION by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  VINO IN FLORENCE Sep03 Jul11 May30     (cox h)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 5.00 12% 7.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUIRKY by BERNARDINI)
3  BLOSSOM DIVA Sep12 Aug29 Aug07 Jun28 Jun12 (quezada i)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  CAJUN BONFIRE Sep05         (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 20.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LILLY MARLENE by LOST SOLDIER)
5  LEAFLET Sep05 Aug02 Jul20 Jun01 Nov30 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  MY WORD Sep06 May09 Apr17     (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  INTO SWIFT Sep16         (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ULELE by CANDY RIDE)
8  COMPUTADORA (ARG) Sep21 Aug30 Aug19 Jul28 Jun19 (brownfield clau)MOJICA JR 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PALMILLA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
9  SUNNY ATTITUDE         (cline c)MURGIA A 121 8.00 ★    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of EASY ATTITUDE by MANCINI)
SCR  STORY CHANNEL Sep06 Aug21 Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 (monday kevin)JURADO EDDIE 124 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OPEN STORY by OPEN FORUM)
11  AVA MOON PIE Sep21 Apr28 Apr07 Mar09   (ennis john)MCKEE J 121 3.50 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of AVA PIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.