Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(8/5/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-5   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3/2)-(8/5/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3)-(1/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/8/2)-(1/3/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   10/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN WIND Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 Jul12 (adamo anthon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 1.20 39% 1.60    
2  SILVER PISTOL Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul12 Jun09 (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 120 2.50    
3  BUSTA GROOVE Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun28 May28 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 3.00 32% 2.20    
4  PERSEVERE Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
5  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 7% 13.20    
 
FE-2   10/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE PRINCE Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 1.80    
2  CORE Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (warner k)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
3  BIG TIME LOUIE Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  AMAZING SUCCESS Sep17 Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul30 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  MOBILIZER Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   10/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIKEN THE VIKING Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul20 Jun13 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of CARMEN IS MY NAME by SILENT NAME (JPN))
2  CHAMPAGNE KRISTA Jun17 Oct28 Sep24     (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  DAISYCREST Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul11 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 115 10.00 7% 14.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  P T BEAUCETTE Aug26 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of BEAUCETTE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
5  MISS SINGH ANGEL Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 Jul07 (cohen )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.50    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  SPECTACULAR FORCE Sep16 Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul04 (carter angelle)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of PIRATE'S TROVE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
FE-4   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ENDING Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 (davis m)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 75% 0.30    
2  PRIVATE NETWORK Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jul08 Jun25 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 122 5.00    
3  MISTER MESEEKS Sep10 Aug31 Aug09 Jun30 Jun07 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 ★    
4  THELONIOUS Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jul08 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 ★    
5  MAGIC TOMAHAWK Sep10 Sep02 Aug06 Jul21 Jul12 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.00    
6  BOCELLI (IRE) Sep23 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 (keen howard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00    
7  EXCEED Sep17 Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 (new)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-5   10/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 120 15.00    
2  MORE SAVVY Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 Jun06 May11 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 ★    
3  BORN TO BE GOOD Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 (cathcart steven)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
4  SNELL FLICKA Sep03 Aug12 Jul02 Jun04 Oct16 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
5  PRINCESS ALESKA Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul07 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  SO BREANNA Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 (wills daniel)KERR CHEYENNE 117 20.00    
7  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00    
8  LOADED VIXEN Sep03 Aug22 Jul15 Jun30 Jun02 (adamo anthon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 27% 2.80    
9  STORMY SUZIE Sep23 Sep01 Aug08 Aug01 Dec07 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00    
 
FE-6   10/01/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAYLAID Sep24 Aug10 Jun22 Oct06 Sep16 (goldenberg j)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  FOREST FLASH Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (depaulo michael )SALLES LEO 120 2.50    
3  MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE         (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  KOWBOYS SEQUEL Sep10 Aug12       (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00    
5  RESCUE THAT GIRL May31 May17       (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABOUT A BOY         (humber joseph)DAVID MICHAEL 118 15.00 15% 5.70    
7  IRISH RAIDER Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 Jul06   (ceccato sharo)KERR CHEYENNE 113 4.00    
8  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun21   (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
 
FE-7   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASCINATION STREET Sep24 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
2  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 Jun24 May28 (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 122 30.00    
3  UNION COLONEL Sep23 Sep10 Sep03 Jul29 Jul22 (warner robert)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00 ★    
4  ANARCHY Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
5  PARTY OF NO Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul15 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HALF LIT Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 20.00    
7  SUNYANI Sep23 Sep10 Sep03 Jul21 Jul15 (cohen michae)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50    
9  CLASSY BOY Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 (ceccato sharo)KERR CHEYENNE 117 4.50    
 
FE-8   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGNATURE RING Sep10 Aug05 Jul21 Jun11   (mileni nick)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 6.00 53% 0.90    
2  EYE GOT IT GOOD Sep09 Sep03 Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZAFEATHER Sep03 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Oct17 (davis m)SALLES LEO 120 20.00 19% 4.30    
4  CASTLETON Sep23 Sep09 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
5  STOLE THE RING Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul22 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00    
6  LOADED SECRET Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 (chudobiak gar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 (simms c)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
8  RIFLING Sep17 Aug22 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  SPEEDY JOHNY Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 (davies ronald)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 3.00    
10  DIXIE MORNING Sep23 Sep17 Aug30 Jul27 Jun30 (carter angelle)RAMSAMMY E 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.