Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(2/3/8/5)-(4/7/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5)-(2/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/8/5)-(4/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8/5)-(4/7/3/2)-(7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/2)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/2)-(7/6/5)-(5/10/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(5/10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(5/10/3/2)-(8/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/3/2)-(5/10/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/3/2)-(5/10/3/7/2)-(5/10/3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/10/3/2)-(8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/10/3/2)-(8/5/3)-(8/4/3/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(8/4/3/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(8/4/3/7/2)-(9/8/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/4/3/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7/2)-(8/4/3/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7/2)-(8/4/3/7/2)-(8/4/3/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/3/7/2)-(9/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/6)-(9/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/6)-(9/8/5/6)-(9/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONYOURSIDE         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
2  JANES JENSEN Sep13 Aug15 Jul06     (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
3  UNDERRATED Aug16         (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00    
4  THOR'S LAD Sep21 Aug24 Aug15 Jun28 Apr19 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  WELL SPOTTED Aug22 Apr12 Feb17 Feb01   (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 2.00 ★    
6  SUGARFREE ROOTBEER Sep13         (rangel rica)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 30.00    
7  SHARP STYLE Aug01 Jul04 May30 May08 Apr12 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
CT-2   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL MISS Sep05 Aug13 Jul25 May24 Apr27 (payne b)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
2  PASS THE CASH Sep05 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 May30 (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  TIDBIT Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
4  CHELLS GIRL Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 10.00    
5  MUCHO MACHO MRYTLE Sep19 Aug25 Aug02 Jul24 Jun01 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  HONEY PLEASE Sep12 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
7  INABLINK Sep12 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May11 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50    
8  DASHING LASS Aug12 Jul13 Jun01 May23 May11 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  DIVINE SPIRIT Sep13 Aug04 Jul13 Jun06 May27 (smith val)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
 
CT-3   09/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMMY Sep14 Jul05 May25 May04 Apr18 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
2  THANK YA PETE Sep06 Aug30 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (willia)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SETTLEMENT DATE Sep14 Jun07 May16 May03 Apr19 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 3.50 6% 16.80    
4  DE'S CASTLE Sep14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul20 Jun07 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
5  JUBA BOUND Sep14 Aug23 Jul24 Jul04 Jun15 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
6  TALKING TEDDY Aug15 Jul11 Jun01 May02 Aug31 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 117 4.50    
7  ONE TRUTH Sep01 Aug02 Jul26 Jun20 Jun11 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
8  RUN DIEM Z Aug02 Jun21 Jun07 May27 Apr04 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
 
CT-4   09/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE'S A QUARTER Aug17 Jul16 Jun23 Jun11 May30 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 118 4.50    
2  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Aug15 Aug01 Feb23     (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
3  MAMA MARGE Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jun15 Feb24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 ★    
4  POLISH THE DIAMOND Feb28 Feb01 Jan10 Nov25 Oct14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
5  PHANTOM QUEEN Dec06 Nov10 Oct19 Aug25 Jul22 (cornwel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALL CAPS Dec14 Sep29 Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
7  SMART WINDSOR Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 May30 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
CT-5   09/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF HEARTS Sep14 Aug13 Jun24 May18 Apr26 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
2  MARTHA'S BANNER Sep13 Jul06 Jun23 Jun06 May27 (haughton )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GARY DOING BIZ Aug03 Jul04 Mar20 Feb01 Nov10 (walters)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.00 10% 9.00    
4  ALWAYS SOMETHING Mar27 Mar06 Feb24 Feb14 Feb01 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
5  FORTES Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 May09 Feb16 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  TRUE HEIRESS Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 May31 May10 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
7  CASTLE TOY Sep21 Aug24 Aug18 Jul25 Jul11 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 5.00 ★    
8  RIVER REWARDS RVF Sep21 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul11 (smith osborne)GILPIN SEAN 120 15.00    
9  AT THE HALF Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 Mar23 (davis e)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
10  GREEN GABLES Aug22 Jul04 May09 Apr17 Mar13 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY Aug24 Jun04 May05 Mar23 Feb21 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 12.00    
 
CT-6   09/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Aug22 Aug02 Jul03 Jun16 May17 (martinez j)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 30.00    
2  DING DING Aug22 Jul04 May09 Mar20 Feb22 (sanderson s)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
3  TIZ THE REASON Aug24 Aug02 Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHELLBY Aug24 Aug02 May17 Apr13 Feb16 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 120 10.00    
5  SNOWY JUBA CAT Aug23 Jul18 Jun28 May23 Feb22 (bass cu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.60 10% 9.20    
6  LA RUNA Aug22 Feb23 Feb04 Jan18 Dec08 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
7  VALID REASON Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 Jun06 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 ★    
8  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 May09 Mar09 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 68% 0.50    
 
CT-7   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE WHINING Jun08 May14 Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 3.00    
2  TESHIMA Sep10 Sep03 Jul17 Jun24 May29 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  O K SMARTY PANTS Aug20 Jul19 Jun15 Mar22 Feb03 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 7% 12.70    
4  EMBERLY Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 Jun13 Jun01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  IHEARTRAINACOMN Sep20 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
6  TRANSPARENCY Aug23 Jun14 Apr30 Mar23 Jun18 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
7  BEST VIRGINIA Aug09 Jul11 May09 Mar20 Feb28 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 7% 13.90    
8  IMPRESSIONISM Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 May30 Jan13 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MISS BEE BOP Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 May25 Apr27 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 30.00    
10  UNCAPTURED RUBY Aug22 Jun06 May11 Apr19 Jan27 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
11  PRINCESS MARGARET Sep21 Aug24 Jul12 Jun13 Apr05 (sandova)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
 
CT-8   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDZILLA Aug28 Aug16       (stowers michelle)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
SCR  COLONIAL ROAD Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00    
3  FROSTED CUPP Sep13 Jul27       (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
4  GALACTIC GLORY Sep20 Aug25 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 (dove kevin )CHATRIE E 110 6.00    
5  FUJI FIRE Aug24 Aug15 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
6  RESTRIKE Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Jul25 May27 (garber owen)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VOODOO DEVIL Sep19 Jun26 Apr16     (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.50    
8  TOUCHED UP Aug31 Aug22 Jul13 Jul04   (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
9  CROWN THAT SAINT Aug31 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.