Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/9/4)-(2/7/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(7/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(5/9/4/2)-(8/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/10/2)-(5/9/4/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/4/2)-(8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/2)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(8/2/5/4)-(6/9/3/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/4)-(6/9/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/4)-(6/9/3/1/5)-(7/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/9/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/1/5)-(6/9/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/1/5)-(6/9/3/1/5)-(6/9/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/3/1/5)-(7/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/1/5)-(7/6/8)-(10/1/6/2/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8/1)-(7/6/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/8)-(10/1/6/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/1/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/2/4)-(10/1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/2/4)-(10/1/6/2/4)-(10/1/6/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLAFLEET Aug01 Jan04 Nov09     (pickett crysta)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
2  THUNDAR CLOUD Aug23 Jul06       (brown kelton)LEWIS M 115 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  MY SOFIA ROSE Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul06   (mcclure d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 6.00    
4  KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Aug23 Aug01       (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KEEP IT SAFE Sep02 Aug08 Jul17 Jun22 Dec29 (samanie)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
6  HEY MACARENA Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 Jun06 May17 (pennella rh)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 50.00    
7  GRAN PATRONA Aug23 Aug16 Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 (perez ernesto)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  FLEETNESS Jul06 May30       (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
9  DAWN'S CREED Aug30 Aug16 Feb08 Jan03 Sep27 (brown kei)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 ★    
 
CT-2   09/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May25 (peltroche v)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 12.00    
2  YABBA DABBA DUDE Sep03 Sep30 Aug26 Jul27 Dec14 (heath geo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jul26 May31 Jan31 Jan24 Jan04 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
4  MY BLUE EYES May10 Apr20 Mar07 Feb01 Dec29 (martinez j)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  GOLD FIBER Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 May25 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00    
6  E J'S REVENGE Aug17 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.00    
7  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Aug16 Jun14 May23 May03 Apr04 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
8  MACY'S BOY Dec15 Dec06 Nov24 Nov09 Apr21 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
SCR  JAZZ MAN DO Jul27 Jul06 Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 (pennella rh)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   09/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Feb02 Jan24 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
2  MASON ALEXANDER         (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  TAP THE ARCHES         (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
4  EL MORITO Aug15         (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 6% 17.00    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
5  CATCH THE HUMOR Nov03         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GIRVIN out of SOURCE OF HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  DIVA'S DEMON Aug15 Jul11 Jun21     (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
7  JOHN'S GLORY Jun28 May04       (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of INDIGO SKY by CHEROKEE'S BOY)
8  TRIP SEVENS         (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of ALLISON COURT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  WISHFUL THOUGHTS         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
10  BIG JOE B Aug15 Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 May30 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 8.00 ★    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  JACK AND JUBA         (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
SCR  BROTHER JACKSON         (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of SISTER MIMI by HENNY HUGHES)
 
CT-4   09/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE IS MIKE Sep12 Aug17 May29 Apr11 Nov05 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
2  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jul06 Jun20 May25 Apr13 Mar22 (brown keith )LEWIS M 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
3  ROYAL THUNDER Sep03 Aug11 Jul12 Jun20 May18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  EL DE CHIREL Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 Jun14 (picket)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
5  FLY FLY AWAY Sep15 Aug24 Aug17 Jul28 Jul07 (garber owen)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
6  BIG HAMBONE Sep02 Aug03 Jul27 Jul12 Jun30 (dove kevin )CHATRIE E 112 5.00    
SCR  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun25 Jun11 (rathman el)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 12.00    
8  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Jul12 May16 Apr20 Mar01 Dec15 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
CT-5   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Aug29 Aug14 Jul17 Jun20 May30 (stowers michelle)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
2  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  PRACTICAL MISS Sep05 Aug13 Jul25 May24 Apr27 (payne beale)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
4  GONE WITH THE WYN Sep14 Aug15 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00 6% 16.50    
5  LITTLE BABY GIRL Aug22 Jul12 Jun13 Jun06 May03 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
6  BECCA BELLE Sep14 Mar15 Feb28 Jul23   (garber ow)BOCACHICA J 118 20.00    
7  FROSTY MAYA Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 May11 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
8  BACHELORETTE Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jan24 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  EXTRA DIRTY Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 Jun07 May04 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
SCR  BRACCESCA Jul11 Jun12 Apr28 Jan17 Dec08 (rodrigu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
 
CT-6   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATANDGOOD Aug31 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 May24 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 6% 15.80    
2  REVEREND JACK Sep11 Aug17 Jul25 Dec09 Nov18 (cuttino mar)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
3  TAKE YOUR TIME Aug15 Jul20 Jun29 May31 May02 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
4  TIME TO CHOOSE Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 Jun28 May23 (reyes ruben)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 15.00    
5  RAISE A RUCKUS Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 May31 May10 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY BOY CLYDE Aug27 Jul09 Jun24 Jun07 May24 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  KING OF LUCK Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May25 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
SCR  PARK AVE PRINCE Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80    
9  VALHALLA'S PALACE Aug17 Jul30 Jul03 Jun20 Apr19 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 25% 3.10    
10  SCARE DEM Aug24 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 May09 (pyke joseph)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGAN Sep04 Aug15 Jul20 Jun15 Apr27 (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00 ★    
2  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Jul11 Jun20 Apr20 Mar13 Feb08 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
SCR  GOODBYE ROMANCE Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May26   (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 118 20.00    
4  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 May30 Nov16 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 118 12.00    
5  DEBT RELIEF Jul11 Jun13 May04 Apr12 Mar27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 12.00    
6  BELLA MELA Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 May25 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
7  DREAMY SONDE Aug23 May25 Apr25 Mar27 Feb29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
8  NONESUCH GIRL Aug29 Jul02 Jun13 May02 Apr25 (brown kelton)LEWIS M 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   09/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON FALL Sep13 Aug17 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 4.50 6% 16.40    
3  LEG UP Aug16 Jul12 Jun20 May10 Apr26 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
4  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Aug17 Jul12 Jun15 May31 May18 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Sep03 Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 May17 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 12.00    
6  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Aug01 Jun28 Jun07 May24 May09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
7  AIR MEDAL Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 May31 May10 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
8  EISELE Jul05 May31 May10 Apr19 Mar28 (hummer richa)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
9  STRONG LIL KOKORO Jun03 May10 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 8.00    
10  MY BUDDY FRANK Aug25 Aug03       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  TIZAWINNER Sep25 Sep10 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.